INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - May 20, 2021, 4:01 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Friday, May 21, 2021 



9:45 AM ET. May US Flash Manufacturing PMI



                       PMI, Mfg (Previous 60.6)



9:45 AM ET. May US Flash Services PMI



                       PMI, Services (Previous 63.1)



10:00 AM ET. April State Employment and Unemployment



10:00 AM ET. April Existing Home Sales



                       Existing Sales (Previous 6.01M)



                       Existing Sales, M/M% (Previous -3.7%)



                       Unsold Homes Month's Supply (Previous 2.1)



                       Median Price (USD) (Previous 329100)



                       Median Home Price, Y/Y% (Previous +17.2%)


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes



The Dow closed higher on Thursday and filled Wednesday's gap as it rebounded off the 50-day moving average. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 33,582.10 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the May 14th high crossing at 34,454.05 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Tuesday's gap crossing at 34,741.57. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 35,091.56. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 33,622.36. Second support is the March 25th low crossing at 32,071.41. 

 

The June NASDAQ 100 closed sharply higher on Thursday as it extended the rally off the May 13th low crossing at 12,915.00. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 13,556.54 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.If June renews the decline off April's high, the 75% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at 12,666.46 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 13,445.51. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 13,556.54. First support is the 62% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at 12,912.45. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at 12,666.46



The June S&P 500 closed sharply higher on Thursday and is poised to extend the rally off the May 13th low crossing at 4029.25. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the May 13th low crossing at 4029.25 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. Multiple closes above Wednesday's high crossing at 4179.50 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 4179.50. Second resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 4238.25. First support is the May 13th low crossing at 4029.25. Second support is the March 25th low crossing at 3843.25.  



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



June T-bonds closed up 30/32's at 157-00. 

  

June T-bonds closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 157-09 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June renews the decline off May's high, the March 30th low crossing at 153-29 is the next downside target. First resistance is May's high crossing at 160-15. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 160-15. First support is the March 30th low crossing at 153-29. Second support is the March 18th low crossing at 153-07. 



June T-notes closed down 140-points at 132.150.



June T-notes posted an inside day with a higher close on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June resumes the decline off May's high, the April-29th low crossing at 131.185 is the next downside target. If June renews the rally off April's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 134.054 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 133.001. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 133.230. First support is the April 29th low crossing at 131.185. Second support is April's low crossing at 130.255. 



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



July crude oil closed lower on Thursday and below the 50-day moving average crossing at 62.51. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends today's decline, the April 22nd low at $60.55 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $64.75 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at $67.02. Second resistance is the October-2018 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $76.90.First support is theApril 22nd ow crossing at $60.55. Second support is April's low crossing at $57.63.



July heating oil closed lower on Thursday and below the 20-day moving average crossing at $198.48 extending this week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $190.12 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If July renews the rally off March's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $213.62 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $207.77. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $213.62. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $190.12. Second support is the April 26th low crossing at $183.71. 



July unleaded gas closed lower on Thursday as it extended this week's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $209.66 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If July renews the rally off March's low, the May-2018 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $228.55 is the next upside target. First resistance is May's high crossing at $221.70. Second resistance is the May-2018 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $228.55. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $209.66. Second support is the April-26th low crossing at $195.28.   



July Henry natural gas closed lower on Thursday as it extended the decline off Monday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last-Tuesday's low crossing at 2.881 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If July renews the rally off March's low, the March-2020 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 3.396 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 3.150. Second resistance is the March-2020 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 3.396. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at 2.881. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.846. 



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The June Dollar posted an inside day with a lower close on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off March's high, January's low crossing 89.15 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 90.58 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 90.58. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 91.44. First support is the 87% retracement level of the February-March-rally crossing 89.71. Second support is January's low crossing at 89.15.  



The June Euro posted an inside day with a higher close on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off March's low, the 87% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 123.08 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Friday's low crossing at 120.58 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 122.52. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 123.08. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 120.58. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 119.98. 



The June British Pound closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends this month's rally, February's high crossing at 1.4245 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.4006 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 1.4222. Second resistance is February's high crossing at 1.4245. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.4112. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.4006.

 

The June Swiss Franc closed higher on Thursday.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 1.1233 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1034 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 1.1168. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 1.1233. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1034. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0891.



The June Canadian Dollar closed higher on Thursday and poised to extend the rally off April's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the aforementioned rally, the May-2015 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 83.66 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 81.90 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 83.25. Second resistance is the May-2015 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 83.66. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 81.90. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 80.62. 



The June Japanese Yen posted an inside day with a higher close on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June renews the rally off March's low, April's high crossing at 0.093085 is the next upside target. If June renews the decline off April's high, the April-9th low crossing at 0.090990 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 0.093085. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 0.093874. First support is the April-9th low crossing at 0.090990. Second support is March's low crossing at 0.090180.



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



June gold closed lower on Thursday as it consolidates some of the rally off the late-April low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off April's low, the 50% retracement level of the August-March decline crossing at $1894.10 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $1814.80 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the August-March-decline crossing at $1894.10. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the August-March decline crossing at $1945.50. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1814.80. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1770.60.  



July silver closed lower on Thursday as it consolidated some of the rally off March's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 27.059 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If July extends the rally off March's low, the 87% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 28.451 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 28.451. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 29.199. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 27.059. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 26.171. 



July copper closed lower on Thursday and below the 20-day moving average crossing at 458.82 signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends this week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 430.11 is the next downside target. If July renews the rally off the March 19th-2020 low, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is May's high crossing at 488.80. Second resistance isunknown. First support is today's low crossing at 452.65. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 430.11. 



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



July Corn closed up $0.06 1/4-cents at $6.64 1/2. 



July corn closed higher on Thursday as it consolidates above the 38% retracement level of this year's rally. The mid-close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.83 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If July extends the decline off May's high, the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at $6.06 3/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.83. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $7.35 1/4. First support is the 38% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at $6.37 1/4. Second support is the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at $6.06 3/4. 



July wheat closed down $0.04-cents at $6.75 1/4.  



July wheat closed lower on Thursday as it extends this month's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends the decline off May's high, the 62% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.59 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $7.21 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $7.21 3/4. Second resistance is April's high crossing at $7.15 1/4. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at $6.71 1/2. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.59 3/4.



July Kansas City Wheat closed down $0.08 3/4-cents at $6.25.

 

July Kansas City wheat closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends this month's decline, the 75% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.04 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.87 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.87. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $7.41 1/2. First support is the 62% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.28 3/4. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.04 3/4.



July Minneapolis wheat closed down $0.02-cents at $6.95 1/2. 



July Minneapolis wheat closed lower on Thursday as it extended the decline off May's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.86 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $7.47 1/2 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $7.47 1/2. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $8.07 1/4. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.86. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the March-April-rally rally crossing at $6.55 3/4. 

       

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



July soybeans closed down $0.05-cents at $15.33 1/4.



July soybeans closed lower on Thursday as it extended Wednesday's breakout below below the 20-day moving average crossing at $15.56 3/4 signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends the decline off May's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at $14.69 1/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $15.83 1/2 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is May's high crossing at $16.67 1/2. Second resistance is psychological resistance crossing at $17.00. First support is the April 28th low crossing at $14.90 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $14.69 1/4.



July soybean meal closed down $2.10 to $401.10. 



July soybean meal closed lower on Thursday as it extends the decline off May's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends this month's decline, April's low crossing at $399.40 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $430.80 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $430.80. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $457.20. First support is April's low crossing at $399.40. Second support is March's low crossing at $395.70.      



July soybean oil closed down 71-pts. at 65.76. 



July soybean oil closed lower on Thursday as it extended this week's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 64.05 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If July extends this year's rally, the March-2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 71.26 is the next upside target. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 70.49. Second resistance is the March-2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 71.26. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 64.05. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 57.12.      

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



June hogs closed up $1.30 at $112.25. 



June hogs closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Today's close above the 10-day moving average crossing at $110.95 signals that a short-term low has been posted. If June renews the decline off May's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at $106.54 is the next downside target. First resistance is May's high crossing at $115.00. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2014-2016 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $121.70. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $106.54. Second support is April's low crossing at $100.92. 



June cattle closed down $0.30 at $116.60. 



June cattle closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $119.06 are needed to renew this month's rally. If June renews the decline off last-Wednesday's high, May's low crossing at $112.57 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $119.06. Second resistance is the April 20th high crossing at $119.83. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $114.70. Second support is May's low crossing at $112.57.



August Feeder cattle closed down $1.80 at $151.08. 


August Feeder cattle closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain  neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Close above the 50-day moving average crossing at $153.80 would open the door for additional gains near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $148.86 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $153.80. Second resistance is the April 21st high crossing at $154.93. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $148.86. Second support is May's low crossing at $141.53.          



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



July coffee closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July renews the rally off March's low, the November-2016 high crossing at 17.60 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 14.66 would signal that a short-term top has been posted.             



July cocoa closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Today's close below the 20-day moving average crossing at 24.58 signals that a short-term top has been posted. If July renews this month's rally, the March 11th high crossing at 26.21 is the next upside target.               



July sugar closed higher on Thursday as it consolidated some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends the aforementioned decline, the April-29th low crossing at 16.46 is the next downside target. If July renews the rally off March's low, long-term resistance on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 18.42 is the next upside target.         



July cotton closed lower on Thursday as it renewed the decline off March's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends the decline off April's high, the April 13th low crossing at 81.20 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 86.94 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.           

Comments
By metmike - May 21, 2021, 3:24 a.m.
Like Reply
  • thanks again tallpine!


2012 weather/drought compared to 2021

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69734/


Corn down big

See index /trading forum thread



Weather....... Western to Central Midwest to get nice rains.....ECB waits on rain with heat ridge into early next week. ND amounts going back and forth but still the most rain in a year(which isnt saying much)

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69635/


natural gas....new thread  EIA number on Thursday was BEARISH

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69687/


Exports

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69529/


Crop progress from the field

cutworm-Southeast IN

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69628/

Wayne-Southwest Ontario, Canada

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69629/


US loss of confidence...Wayne, others

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69582/


Inflation-Tim

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69649/


Unleaded.....................Jim and luck/skill trading

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69576/


Crop conditions:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69549/




Funds

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69536/


Hogs....stomper

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69552/