Will we get back in the fields ?
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Started by mcfarmer - May 2, 2024, 8:44 a.m.

My grandfather told me to never complain about rain here in NW Iowa, we are too close to South Dakota. Here in the prairie pothole region it has been wet, wet, wet. 

We managed to get the corn in on April 26th and it has been raining ever since. I would say the area is maybe less than 1/2 planted.

We fought mud in the low ground while planting which hasn’t been the case for the last three years. Plant in dust the bins will bust has been the case, three records in a row.

Equipment doesn’t function as well in wet conditions and the job I did planting was less than ideal and I couldn’t get in a couple small areas. One strike.

The elevator worked until 11pm that night getting fertilizer and herbicide on so I made a point to thank them personally for that.

Now the fields have been saturated for a week and the seeds are sprouting, they are going to need some oxygen to keep going, we are losing yield by the day. Two strikes.

Will this pattern turn around and give the young plants a break ? Don’t need it to quit altogether but some warm dry sunny days would do wonders. Looking for what strike three will be.

The half that isn’t planted yet will have to wait at least a week, getting us to  May 10th, which is where we start to see yield losses from late planting, late varieties will be returned for earlier ones, will they be available ? I have some left over, I was planning on returning them but I think I will hang onto them, in case I need to replant some.

Anyway, the potatoes are up, the peas are up and the asparagus has been growing like never before.


I haven’t  been here for a while, the page loaded very fast, anything change ? No NTR page ?

Comments
By metmike - May 2, 2024, 9:10 a.m.
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Great to read you mcfarmer!!

Some changes were made to speed things up but it temporarily took away the NTR button.

The NTR forum is still alive and well!


                FOR THE NTR FORUM SCROLL DOWN PLEASE            

                            Started by metmike - April 29, 2024, 5:46 p.m.            

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/103625/


On the weather/planting: I have several threads thatyou can go to for additional information.

Our weather thread has 79 separate maps that are constantly updated with the latest weather. Along with the 40+ individual links.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/


Eric gives a daily(during the week) wonderful, comprehensive look at weather via video presentations: 

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/103417/


Also our grain thread with planting and other stuff:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/103397/


In addition, a wheat market thread:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/103420/

+++++++++

We covered your tornado outbreak too:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/103567/


You might be interested in the previous discussion on oats and potential planting delays since that area grows some oats:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/102729/


El Nino:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/103079/


By metmike - May 2, 2024, 9:32 a.m.
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By metmike - May 2, 2024, 9:33 a.m.
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Extended weather.


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

6 to 10 day outlooks

Click below for information about how to read 6-10 day outlook maps
 Temperature        Precipitation
Click below for archives of past outlooks (data & graphics), historical analogs to todays forecast, and other formats of the 6-10 day outlooks
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data

Temperature Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
Precipitation Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
 
8 to 14 Day Outlooks

Click below for information about how to read 6-10 day outlook maps
 Temperature        Precipitation
Click below for archives of past outlooks (data & graphics), historical analogs to todays forecast, and other formats of the 8-14 day outlooks
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data

Temperature Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
Precipitation Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
 
By metmike - May 2, 2024, 9:36 a.m.
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Total rains the next 384 hours from the last 0z GEFS.

By metmike - May 2, 2024, 9:38 a.m.
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Soilmoisture anomaly:


These maps sometimes take a day to catch up to incorporate the latest data(the bottom map is only updated once a week).



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml#

                            

Daily Soil Moisture Pecentile       

        Daily Anomaly Soil Moisture (mm)

        


                       ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Updated daily below:

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/cliwatch/watch.htm#curMonths

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/cliwatch/mtd_cen/month.pperc.png

DROUGHT MONITOR

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/


Last week as of April 23, 2024-no drought in California from the El Nino


As of March 12, 2024


January 30, 2024 below




DECEMBER 12, 2023 below


NOVEMBER 14, 2023




October 17, 2023      



August, 2023, BELOW

April 18, 2023-1 year ago:


DROUGHT MONITOR NOVEMBER 1, 2022-After a long lived La Nina-BEFORE EL NINO wiped out much of the drought OUT WEST the Winter of 2022/23!









         Drought monitor previous years: You can see the natural La Niña, (cold water-in the tropical Pacific)causing the drought! Starting in 2020, then worsening for 2+ years!

Image

                                    


By metmike - May 2, 2024, 9:40 a.m.
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                Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re:  Grains 4-22-24+            

                                     

                By metmike - April 29, 2024, 4:42 p.m.            

                                    Karen Braun@kannbwx

U.S. #corn was 27% planted as of Sunday, exactly as the trade expected and above the recent average. Spring #wheat planting pace is the fastest since 2021, and progress last week was much quicker than analysts thought. Winter wheat conditions down 1 pt as predicted.

Image


See the entire report here:

https://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/8336h188j

https://downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu/usda-esmis/files/8336h188j/g158d508g/rb690187c/prog1724.pdf

tjc,

Oats have seen  FASTER than average planting in every state, except for PA. 

By metmike - May 2, 2024, 10:21 a.m.
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                Re: Re: Re: Re: :  Grains 4-22-24+            

            


                                

By mcfarmer - May 2, 2024, 11:03 a.m.
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Thanks Mike. So the wet looks to hold for a while but maybe on the warmer side. That will at least help the areas that are not ponded.

We had another 1.7 inches last night, the ditches are full and even the patterned tile fields are hurting. When the ditch is full it doesn’t matter how much tile there is, no place for the water to drain to.

Drainage tile needs maintenance and it being dry the last few years this wet spell is showing the lines that have problems. I am on our drainage board and we are getting calls that district tile lines need work.

This is a 100+ year old infrastructure system that is nearing the end of its life expectancy, lots of money might have to be spent in the near future. We just accessed landowners 1.4 million with more to come.