crop conditions 9-18-23
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Started by metmike - Sept. 18, 2023, 10:35 a.m.

Last week's crop conditions:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/98882/

++++++++++++


Early harvest weather for corn and beans is good this week. 

Zero chance for an early freeze in September. 

                Freeze dates in the Midwest            

                            Started by metmike - Aug. 22, 2023, 9:26 p.m.     

       https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/98473/

++++++++++++++++

The pattern change coming up next week will help the Winter Wheat crop to become better established before going dormant late Nov/early Dec. 

This should also help to provide some runoff to the Mississippi River basin that helps the river to rebound from extremely low levels, which will be good for barge traffic(to transport grains south to the Gulf Coastal ports).

All the weather here:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/

Comments
By metmike - Sept. 18, 2023, 10:42 a.m.
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https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=memt1&wfo=meg


                          

Weather Forecast Office Memphis, TN

Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center          


Hydrograph

River at a Glance

Download

                                  

    

                                Mississippi River at Memphis

+++++++++++++++++++++
We remember how low the levels got last year:

Mississippi River record-low water levels ease some, but long-term forecast is dry

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022/10/mississippi-river-record-low-water-levels-ease-some-but-long-term-forecast-is-dry/


By metmike - Sept. 18, 2023, 10:45 a.m.
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The latest 7 day precip forecasts are below.

 

Day 1 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_94qwbg.gif?1526306199054

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_94qwbg.gif?1531339983148

Day 2 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_98qwbg.gif?1528293750112


http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_98qwbg.gif?1531340045174


Day 3 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_99qwbg.gif?1528293842764

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_99qwbg.gif?1531340092706



Days 4-5 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1531339379

 Days 6-7 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1531339379

7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

Extended weather.


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

6 to 10 day outlooks

Click below for information about how to read 6-10 day outlook maps
 Temperature        Precipitation
Click below for archives of past outlooks (data & graphics), historical analogs to todays forecast, and other formats of the 6-10 day outlooks
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data

Temperature Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
Precipitation Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
 
8 to 14 Day Outlooks

Click below for information about how to read 6-10 day outlook maps
 Temperature        Precipitation
Click below for archives of past outlooks (data & graphics), historical analogs to todays forecast, and other formats of the 8-14 day outlooks
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data

Temperature Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
Precipitation Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability


By metmike - Sept. 18, 2023, 10:47 a.m.
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Soilmoisture anomaly:


These maps sometimes take a day to catch up to incorporate the latest data(the bottom map is only updated once a week).



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml#

                            

Daily Soil Moisture Pecentile       

        Daily Anomaly Soil Moisture (mm)

        Monthly Soil Moisture Change


                       ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Updated daily below:

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/cliwatch/watch.htm#curMonths

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/cliwatch/mtd_cen/month.pperc.png

DROUGHT MONITOR

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

Last week, September 12, 2023       











DROUGHT MONITOR NOVEMBER 1, 2022

The severe drought in the Southwest to N. Plains was wiped out this year from the El Nino. 

         Drought monitor previous years: You can see the natural La Niña, (cold water-in the tropical Pacific)causing the drought! Starting in 2020, then worsening for 2+ years!

Image

                                    


By metmike - Sept. 18, 2023, 4:51 p.m.
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Here's the complete USDA report. Nothing significant.

https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog3723.txt


Karen Braun@kannbwx

U.S. #corn and #soybeans are maturing faster than normal, though harvest is still in the early stages. Spring #wheat harvest is nearly wrapped up and winter wheat is 15% planted.

Image

By metmike - Sept. 19, 2023, 12:54 a.m.
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https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/99082/

I included this last graphic from the NOAA El Nino discussion to show how dry it's been in the Midwest the past month.

Here in Southwest IN, our last rain was 29 days ago at 1.5 inches and was sort of a lucky fluke. Missing that one would have meant 6 weeks since the last rain!