latest Snodgrass update
21 responses | 0 likes
Started by mcfarm - June 30, 2022, 10:51 p.m.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7gFAbMJIXYM he has relayed the possibility of the high pressure in the Sc US backing up west and finally allowing some moisture into the very dry areas of the eastern corn belt. Wow, hope he hits a homerun. The last few days the crops have taken on the silver afternoon look of death from drought

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By metmike - July 1, 2022, 1:14 a.m.
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Awesome as usual for Eric. I agree that as we go thru July, things could really dry out again with the heat continuing because of the strong correlation with that kind of weather to the current La Nina.

Thanks mcfarm.

By Jim_M - July 1, 2022, 8:05 a.m.
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Good stuff.  We need some rain here in NE Ohio.  Lawns went brown seemingly overnight and I drove by a cornfield yesterday and the corn is definitely stressed.  It’s been at least 2-3 weeks since I have seen any rain in this area.  

By metmike - July 1, 2022, 12:23 p.m.
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Help may be on the way Jim!

Hopefully, all the rain doesn't stay south and west of you.


https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/

7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

                                    


By mcfarm - July 3, 2022, 3:42 p.m.
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just an update. No help has been on the way. Last rain was 4/10th on June 5th. 90's have persisitant and unwanted. Beans are just sitting there with many not boot high yet. Corn rolled so tight in some places it will not  unroll at nite

By Jim_M - July 3, 2022, 4:08 p.m.
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It looks like all the rain the corn belt was supposed to get went one state south.  At least so far….

By metmike - July 3, 2022, 4:22 p.m.
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Rains the last 72 hours:

https://www.iweathernet.com/total-rainfall-map-24-hours-to-72-hours


Actually the zone of rain on the forecast maps has shifted NORTHEAST of the previous position. Good news for you, Jim!

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/

7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

                                    

By mcfarm - July 5, 2022, 1:23 p.m.
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By metmike - July 5, 2022, 1:52 p.m.
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Thanks very much mcfarm!

Great stuff from Eric!

By metmike - July 5, 2022, 4:51 p.m.
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I found some great new sites thanks to this most recent video.......including this one and this graphic that I manufactured below(similar to the one on his video):

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/cag/regional/time-series/260/pcp/3/8/1895-2022?base_prd=true&begbaseyear=1901&endbaseyear=2000&trend=true&trend_base=10&begtrendyear=1895&endtrendyear=2022


metmike: This confirms that climate change has been INCREASING the amount of rains in the Cornbelt during the main growing season.

There's been only 1 severe, widespread drought (2012) since 1988. 1993 featured the Great Flood.

Prior to 1937, most years were below to much below the mean.

After 1975, most years were above to much above the mean.

Part of this is the microclimate established by the tightly packed corn plants over this massive area that has greatly helped increase the dew points, precipitable water.

By metmike - July 5, 2022, 5:06 p.m.
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I had to copy this one from the video because its a product that Eric pays for.

It shows the big increase in dew points the last 3 decades:

By metmike - July 5, 2022, 5:10 p.m.
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i found my own link that shows the same thing in the US as a whole:


By metmike - July 5, 2022, 5:21 p.m.
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However, Eric totally missed out on the opportunity to explain the main reason for it to be greatly amplified in the J-J-A period in the Cornbelt.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/76156/#76158

metmike: Summers in the Midwest have featured cooler daytime readings and more rain, thanks mostly to the transpiration from 90 million acres of tightly packed  rows of corn.

Summer Climate Change in the Midwest and Great Plains due to Agricultural Development during the Twentieth Century  


https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/32/17/jcli-d-19-0096.1.xml


Fig. 1.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


Fig. 2.


                                    


            

                

By metmike - July 5, 2022, 5:24 p.m.
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America's Corn Fields Are Making the Weather Really Weird

https://www.wired.com/story/corn-fields-are-making-it-rain-more/?mbid=social_twitter_onsiteshare


Americans Have Planted So Much Corn That It’s Changing the Weather

https://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/corn-belt-weather


Climate change should help Midwest corn production

https://weatherfarm.com/2018/05/climate-change-should-help-midwest-corn-production/


The United States’s Corn Belt is making its own weather

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2018/02/america-s-corn-belt-making-its-own-weather


'Corn sweat' adding to heat misery in Midwest

https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2016/07/22/corn-sweat-iowa-midwest-heat-wave-evapotranspiration/87442376/


Why is the humidity so high? The answer is pretty corny.

https://addins.wrex.com/blogs/weather/2011/07/why-is-the-humidity-so-high-the-answer-is-pretty-corny                                   

By mcfarm - July 8, 2022, 10:23 a.m.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Ax2Xh8qASM    another new Snodgrass out Thursday.  He has not much good news. West and SW to remain hot and dry thru July into August. East to cool but remain dry. Later heat returns to that area as well.

By metmike - July 8, 2022, 11:39 a.m.
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Thanks mcfarm!!

I agree with his forecast for dryness from now thru the foreseeable future........unless the pattern breaks down and the La Nina connection is broken.

By mcfarm - July 11, 2022, 3:20 p.m.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aSNy8hWnMYssee    another Snodgrass update. Chances of a 1/2 inch in the next ten days minimal. See last nites grain market. Then today a forecast appears come out with a huge rain across the driest parts of the corn belt. And tomorrow we may do it all over again. Snodgrass admits the rain that came across Iowa last nite was very unexpected.

By metmike - July 11, 2022, 10:19 p.m.
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Thank you mcfarm!

By mcfarm - July 18, 2022, 6:27 p.m.
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Snodgrass for the 18th. Hot, Hot, hot in the plains. Dry in the plains. And although some scattered areas in the eastern belt got rain this week provides little until the 25th to 31st time frame. A farmer friend claims corn in the western Ill bottoms looks as good as he can remember.

By metmike - July 18, 2022, 6:49 p.m.
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Corn condition/rating  increased +4% in IL to 70% Gd/Ex, mcfarm so that doesn't surprise me!

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/87170/#87265

By metmike - July 19, 2022, 11:10 a.m.
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By mcfarm - July 22, 2022, 3:04 p.m.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0QHDP8RMLDM   Snodgrass late Thursday. He still feels next week will be a break from our summer long trials and tribulations....we will see. Hope to heaven he is correct. He has moved the massive ridge to the far west and with its westward movement a large trough will benefit {with moisture flow from the gulf area} more moisture in the dry areas of the corn belt