Severe Storms 7-21-26
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Started by metmike - July 21, 2026, 1:56 p.m.

Get all the comprehensive weather here:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/

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Just issued mesoscale discussion from the Storm Predication Center:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1689.html


MD 1689 graphic


A severe thunderstorm(possibly tornado) watch box is likely in the next couple of hours for the Evansville, IN. Any tornadoes would be weak tornadoes of 110 mph or less as opposed to the more violent, 150+ mph tornadoes that kill most people.

This threat will only be for a few hours late this afternoon before the cold front moves south of the Ohio River. 


Comments
By metmike - July 21, 2026, 2:03 p.m.
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From earlier today:

                Re:  Grains--post breakout of July 6            

                                                        By metmike - July 21, 2026, 11:30 a.m.            

            

We have a shot for rain the next 7 hours here in southwest, IN until this cold front goes thru late afternoon. Some extremely steamy dew points ahead of the front in this air mass, a few at 80+ are pretty impressive just after 10am.

That's the feature causing the Heat Index to soar higher today. The next 3 frames are frozen images.

1. Air temp-10am Central

2. Heat Index-20 deg, higher in spots from humidity

3. Dew Point-75 Deg+ in most places ahead of front


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Constant updates below:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/#83845

https://thermastor.com/dew-point-and-weather-maps/



By metmike - July 21, 2026, 2:11 p.m.
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Look at the current conditions in Evansville, IN here at 1pm. 

Dew point of 80 degrees!  That is making 93 degrees feel like 112 degrees!!!! Feels 19 degrees hotter!!!

My wife just went outside and immediately commented on the intensity of the heat(humidity).

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=282&y=84&site=pah&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=281&map_y=84

Current conditions at            

Evansville, Evansville Regional Airport (KEVV)

            Lat: 38.04°NLon: 87.52°WElev: 417ft.                                                                                

Mostly Cloudy

           93°F

            34°C                                                                                                                                                                           

Humidity66%
Wind SpeedSW 15 G 22 mph
Barometer29.79 in (1008.3 mb)
Dewpoint80°F (27°C)
Visibility10.00 mi
Heat Index112°F (44°C)
Last update                21 Jul 12:54 pm CDT            

                                                                    

More Information:

Local Forecast OfficeMore Local Wx3 Day HistoryHourly Weather Forecast

By metmike - July 21, 2026, 2:13 p.m.
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That hot, extremely humid air is also very buoyant and unstable ahead of the lifting mechanism(cold front).

The highest risk for severe storms or a tornado is EAST of Evansville, IN. However, the yellow shade below is a level 2(slight) out of 5 risk.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

By metmike - July 21, 2026, 2:21 p.m.
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The storms have in fact already developed to our north:

https://www.weather.gov/pah/


                                                            

                           


 https://radar.weather.gov/station/kvwx/standard

 

  

By metmike - July 21, 2026, 2:46 p.m.
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We got the expected Severe Thunderstorm Watch Box:

Note the risk parameters below the watch box. This is NOT a high end threat. 


https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0508.html


WW0508 Radar