Highs days 3-7 shows  Heat from C/S Plains to Midwest.........easing a bit early next week?

How do these temperatures compare to average at this time of year:

High temperature departures:

Low Temperature Departures:

From the GFS ensemble mean products. Temperature anomalies for this coming weekend..........record heat Northeast..............cooling N.Plains.

NCEP Ensemble t = 096 hour forecast

Temperature anomalies at the end of week 2.....most intense heat shifted west?  At least on the GFS ensembles but not all models.

But the European model is MUCH different and very bullish with the "dome of death" heat ridge:

GFS ensembles at 2 weeks below.......heat ridge much farther west, cooler in the East with upper level trough. It is pretty dry though. 

Forecast Hour:  360

CFS week 3 and 4...........HOT week 3, turning cooler week 4 and drier thru the period.

Precip below

NWS guidance for 8-14 day forecast for this afternoon(sneak peak at what it will show)

Precip below:

Canadian control model, top and individual ensemble member solutions. They are all over the place with the heat ridge forecast.............but have gradually shifted west from previous runs.............mainly the result of several members now "seeing" a deep upper level trough digging into the Northeast(to, possibly Upper Midwest). 

Still some ensembles show the heat ridge much farther east, like the European model has it.

384h GZ 500 forecast valid on Jul 13, 2018 00 UTC

Forecasts for the control (GEM 0) and the 20 ensemble members

Looky here at the GFS ensembles. Many(increasing number) of them back up the upper level ridge west(retrograde) and more of them are "seeing" a prominent upper level trough in the east. 

12z GFS was not bullish(6z GFS was)

Lastest 12z GFS at 2 weeks, below:            

gfs_namer_360_200_wnd_ht	gfs_namer_360_500_vort_ht
gfs_namer_360_1000_500_thick	gfs_namer_360_850_temp_ht