Hurricane Lowell in the Pacific +Atlantic Basin-record low!
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Started by metmike - Sept. 7, 2026, 4:57 p.m.
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By metmike - Sept. 7, 2026, 5:01 p.m.
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2026 Pacific hurricane season

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Pacific_hurricane_season


AI Overview

 The 2026 Pacific hurricane season is running above average due to warm waters and favorable conditions driven by an active El Niño pattern. [1, 2]Eastern and Central Pacific Activity
  • Named Storms: The Eastern Pacific has produced 15 named storms as of early September, which is well above the normal pace for this time of year. [1]
  • Hurricanes: The region has recorded multiple hurricanes, including simultaneous major systems active during the peak of the season. [1]
  • Central Pacific:NOAA predicted an above-normal season with 5 to 13 total tropical cyclones (compared to a near-normal baseline of 4 to 5). [1, 2]
Comparison to Average
  • The Contrast: While the Pacific basin is buzzing with above-average activity and multiple strong hurricanes, the Atlantic basin sits completely opposite—experiencing a historically quiet, well-below-average season due to high wind shear

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2026 Atlantic hurricane season

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Atlantic_hurricane_season

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    2026 Hurricane Season...Record breaking in a good way

https://www.winknews.com/news/wink_hurricane_preparedness/2026-hurricane-season-record-breaking-in-a-good-way/article_e3e123bb-b80e-4d2e-83ec-47552be438f1.html


First Hurricanes


0907 Storm Names

By metmike - Sept. 7, 2026, 5:07 p.m.
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Hurricane season maps tracker: cone, alerts and more

We have the maps you need to monitor the tropics, including tracks, rainfall, current weather and other areas to watch.

https://weather.com/2026/09/07/storms/hurricane/hurricane-lowell-marie-karina-pacific-atlantic-maps-tracker

DCT 13

Season activity compared to average

Accumulated Cyclone Energy, or ACE, is a metric that measures the total energy produced by tropical storms and hurricanes over a given period, accounting for both how strong they were and how long they lasted.

It's another measure meteorologists use to gauge how active a hurricane season has been.


ACE season-to-date

Weakest season on record for the Atlantic! WOW! El Nino wind shear is suppressing Atlantic storms!

By metmike - Sept. 7, 2026, 5:20 p.m.
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It's the Atlantic hurricane season's quietest start in 60 years

We've had five tropical storms, but they've been short-lived. Here's why the season has been historically quiet so far.

https://weather.com/2026/09/04/storms/hurricane/atlantic-hurricane-season-least-active-start-in-60-years

Record quietest start 2026 Atlantic hurricane season


Isn't it the peak time?

September is typically the most active month of the season.

That's because sea surface temperatures are at their warmest and atmospheric conditions are the most favorable for tropical development.

September Atlantic hurricane season peak

This graph shows the average storm, hurricane and major hurricane tallies from 1944 through 2020 in the Atlantic Basin. The yellow area highlights an average September. 

(Data: NOAA/NHC)

El Niño's thumbprint

The intensifying El Niño has been the largest contributor to the way this hurricane season has unfolded.

Stronger El Niños typically increase wind shear, or changes in wind speed and direction, in the Atlantic Basin. This increase in wind shear can shred storms before they even develop, or weaken ones that do.

Wind shear since July from the Caribbean Sea to just off the west coast of Africa has been the strongest on record for that time of year since 1979, according to Colorado State University tropical scientist Phil Klotzbach. 

It was this wind shear and dry air that spelled the quick demise of Tropical Storm Dolly in late August and has squashed other tropical waves moving westward off Africa that often give rise to storms and hurricanes this time of year.

That will likely continue. The map below shows all September hurricanes during super El Niño years.

(MORE: Your guide for everything El Niño)

Super El Niño named storms in September.
By patrick - Sept. 7, 2026, 5:47 p.m.
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September 12 is the midpoint of the season & there's nothing on the 7 day map.
From Colorado State