https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/urea
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metmike: The same thing happened with the Ukraine war in 2022, with President Biden playing a major role in causing that by refusing to negotiate with Putin. In fact, shutting down the negotiations with the objective of defeating Russia in a war in Ukraine.
That was over 4 years ago and we are still paying a hefty price
This graph was only thru January 2026. The spike up since Donald Trump's war in Iran is above 600, only exceeded from Biden's war in Ukraine in 2022.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCU325311325311
%20FRED%20St.%20Louis%20Fed.png)
on the bright side every producer has the chance to lock in fert prices and by a huge margin they do
Thanks very much, mcfarm.
I'm puzzled by your statement. How would a producer lock in favorable fertilizer prices right now???
Did you mean HAD as in late last year they could have locked in the much lower price???
Nobody has a crystal ball and could have know this was coming up. Maybe you know something as a producer that I don't about the current price.
Are the local farm co-ops offering huge discounts?
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yes we lock it in over the winter. Most years it pays, problem is it has to be paid for. Major bite for the operating budget.
And ofcourse not many knew Iran was finally going to be dealt with as they most certainly should of been years ago, but just as producers hedge their grain sales this is hedging an expense. Many time future grain sales simultaneously so as not to be caught one sided.
Thanks, mcfarm!
i have 95% of fertilizer hedged, but will they be able to deliver???
Talked to my supplier said they will deliver. They were fearing for those who didn't have it bought, but they were still offering, but at very high prices.
Didn't get my fuel hedged, bummer!!
Thanks, cutworm!
Days like yesterday, when beans closed limit down because of Trump's comments about the meeting with China being postponed at the same time that fuel and fertilizer costs are soaring higher are not fun for producers.
I feel for you, man and was thinking about you guys when I started this thread.
At least the rapidly developing El Nino increases the chances for good weather this growing season but that's not assured.
Our last 2 really bad, widespread droughts in 1988 and 2012 were from La Nina's.
And the CO2 continues to slowly climb, providing FREEEEEEE atmospheric fertilizer to all crops, plants/trees on the planet which is massively greening up.
That is NOT going to change as long as CO2(from humans burning fossil fuels) continues to bless the planet with more of this beneficial gas(optimal level for life on this planet is 900 parts per million and we are not quite half of that currently but will never go over 600 ppm)
Death by GREENING!
52 responses |
Started by metmike - May 11, 2021, 2:31 p.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69258/
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Those that call it CARBON pollution don't even understand basic chemistry.
Carbon is a black solid. CO2 is a beneficial gas that just happens to have 1 atom of carbon in that molecule.
Thousands of things have atoms of carbon in them, INCLUDING ALL OF OUR FOOD!!!
Do we call H2O, the main greenhouse gas HYDROGEN POLLUTION because it has 1 atom of hydrogen in it?
We better cut back on drinking water because its HYDROGEN POLLUTION
The Beauty of Earth
35 responses |
Started by metmike - Feb. 25, 2025, 10:20 a.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/110136/
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Dream about Photosynthesis
Started by metmike - July 8, 2025, 11:19 a.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/113061/
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CO2 Finally Exonerated!!
33 responses |
Started by metmike - March 2, 2025, 8:56 p.m.
After everything that's happened the last 14 months, do you still think Biden sent the Russian army into Ukraine?
Do you still trust the sources that told you this tale?
The US has provided $0 in military aid to Ukraine since 1/20/25 & the war continues.
Patrick, I am not sure about the money. The way Biden and his staff were shoving billions out the door in his last days we most likely will never know where those billions went. At his point I trust Israel much more than I ever trusted Zelinsky
Thanks for the reminder on fuel cutworm. We did not get it all locked but did 5000 just prior to Iran
Hi Patrick,
I already proved this several times to joj.
Coincidentally, I posted the actual facts in a post in your AI thread.
The response to joj in that thread was to fact check and bust chatgpt's twisted version of the authentic facts because chatgpt like other similar sources of information are mainly just regurgitating what the consensus is.
Chatgpt Fact checking MetMike
19 responses |
Started by joj - Aug. 18, 2025, 10:35 p.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/114033/
Do you still trust the sources that told you this tale?
Patrick, you should know by now that i don't trust any sources on either side. I gather my own objective, INDEPENDENT and comprehensive authentic facts and use only those facts NOT how other sources tell everybody else what to believe.
And I always use the scientific method to fact check myself as much as possible, catching myself being wrong 100 times before posting it here.
And its still possible for me to be wrong with others pointing things out that I will immediately correct and learn from it.
This isn't one of them. I spent, literally many hundreds of hours+ researching this one. The authentic facts about what evolved and why BEFORE Putin invaded are crystal clear and documented.
They contradict the propaganda and consensus.
We can both agree about what the consensus is on this but the authentic facts contradict it and once people believe something, its almost impossible to get them to change their minds.
Opinions vs authentic facts
Started by metmike - March 13, 2026, 11:24 p.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/118642/
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Let me just repeat this, Patrick. No sources told me this. I figured it out myself by gathering authentic facts, evidence and empirical data, then applied OBJECTIVE critical thinking.
My starting point was NOT being part of a political party, belief system or leaning towards any of them or any particular source and I actually liked Joe Biden a great deal when he was VP(and previously) and voted for him, along with Obama in 2008.
I feel that this is not something that we will ever agree on but if you provide information that nobody has to contradict the authentic facts that I posted to joj and others previously in half a dozen threads here, I'll be glad to adjust my position.
And I don't care what sources disagree with me or how many there are that disagree, you will have to show that authentic history never happened.
98% of what we've been told about this is propaganda that comes from the Military-Industrial-Political-Media complex message gatekeepers in the United States and NATO countries.
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Let me repeat something else on this topic.
Putin is a murderous psychopath that invaded Ukraine illegally and now can't be stopped. He is responsible for over a million causalities, global inflation and all sorts of additional negative consequences.
The point here is that Joe Biden had the option of negotiating with him over his main demand to keep NATO out of Ukraine and Joe Biden, instead decided it would be the perfect opportunity to take care of Putin once and for all by fighting a war with him.
Using the country of Ukraine and brave Ukrainian soldiers for the battlefield, along with US weapons he was convinced that we would defeat Putin.
Sometimes a leaders choices are not crystal clear good and bad. In this case, the choices were give into Putin's demands about NATO in Ukraine(bad in NATO's view) or fight a massive war with Russia and in their view, destroy Russia forever at the cost of countless Ukrainian lives and US tax payer funded weapons(which was the biggest reason for our morally bankrupt military-industrial-political-media complex to support this war that gave them block busters profits and ratings while the poor Ukrainians paid the price-and absurdly, we called it "supporting Ukraine". Horse manure. The reason Ukrainians elected Zelensky was because he promised peace with Russia before Biden/NATO turned him into their puppet, sacrificing his people because Biden promised him that he would defeat Russia and be a great war hero.
Patrick, our opinion about Putin is exactly the same, actually as is joj's.
Please read this comment/response about Putin's illegal annexation of Crimea a decade ago.
Re: Re: Zelensky Offers No NATO Compromise
By metmike - Dec. 17, 2025, 11:01 a.m.
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My entire point on this is that Joe Biden had 2 main options in late 2021/early 2022 and 1 of them would have prevented the invasion of Ukraine by agreeing with Putin to not let NATO into Ukraine.
Just from a military leadership perspective, there was NEVER a chance to defeat Putin's 5 times bigger army. They wanted a war for the military-industrial-political-media complex and to weaken Putin........the heck with the poor Ukrainians and others.
BTW, soldiers that were born in Russia and had little choice are human beings too and even more of them have died. So when news stories cheer their deaths, its also sad.
Good move on the fuel, mcfarm. I was asleep at the wheel on the fuel.
Something Biden said a month after Russia unprovoked & illegally invaded Ukraine, and Indiana scholastic chess?
Maybe I'm dim, but this is not entirely convincing.
I played high school chess in Ohio, and we never even attacked Shaker Heights.
Good one, Patrick!
You're definitely NOT dim.
However, you seem to be NOT applying your intelligence objectively here, or even reading what I just sent..... which is what just about everybody does. Even intelligent people do it after they've decided they already know something.............and they process all new information so that it lines up with THEIR truth.
All I can do is show the authentic facts. I don't even pretend to be able to get people to look at them as you didn't look at this the first time because your response is that Putin wasn't provoked.
But you're an intelligent guy and seem extremely rational, so I'll try again.
Biden/NATO decided that expanding NATO into Ukraine was worth fighting this war over instead of agreeing with Putin to stop expanding into Russia's "Motherland", Ukraine.
There are actually half a dozen threads here with many hundreds of posts by me explaining many elements related to this. I don't mind rehashing some of the key points for people that were not around the past 4 years for the discussions but would appreciate it if you would actually read what is in the posts below before making a comment that tells me you completely ignored it last time.
I know that copying the entire posts would be more effective but am trying to reduce the length of my already excessively long winded, analytical posts. (My wife tells me all the time that I'm over analytical about everything).
Thanks in advance for reading these posts!
By metmike - Feb. 17, 2025, 4:57 p.m.
By metmike - Feb. 17, 2025, 4:58 p.m.
Re: Re: Post of the week-2-16-25
By metmike - Feb. 17, 2025, 5:04 p.m.
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And we know without a doubt that Biden blew up the natural gas pipeline before the Winter in Europe. The biggest eco-terrorist act in human history committed by the United States.
Methane is 80 times more powerful as a greenhouse gas warming the planet as CO2 and is REAL pollution not a beneficial gas that greens the planet.
NORD STREAM ~ RUSSIA ~ ETC,
38 responses |
Started by 12345 - Feb. 8, 2023, 8:26 p.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/92953/