Climate Crisis: short on proof, drowning in nonsense
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Started by metmike - Feb. 28, 2023, 2:23 p.m.

This comes from Australia:

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/02/28/climate-change-short-on-proof-drowning-in-nonsense/


https://www.spectator.com.au/2023/02/climate-change-short-on-proof-drowning-in-nonsense/









Flood markers attest to the fact that two recent unprecedented flood events are not as severe as in previous years.



The graph below includes recent weak storms that were not detected with less technology years ago. 


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By metmike - Feb. 28, 2023, 2:26 p.m.
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Challenging Net Zero with Science: Lindzen-Happer-CO2 Coalition Paper Released

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/02/27/challenging-net-zero-with-science-lindzen-happer-co2-coalition-paper-released/


Net Zero Plans Are Dangerous and Unsupported by Science and the Scientific Method

 Net Zero initiatives of governments and private organizations are scientifically invalid and will lead to worldwide impoverishment and starvation if implemented, according to a paper published by the CO2 Coalition. 

The 46-page paper details how the objectives of Net Zero to eliminate the use of fossil fuels and the emissions of greenhouse gases are based on analytical methods that violate fundamental tenets of the scientific method which originated more than 300 years ago. 

“Reliable scientific knowledge is determined by the scientific method, where theoretical predictions are validated by observations or rejected by failing to do so,” say the paper’s authors – two renowned physicists and a geologist of more than 40 years.

 “Agreement with observations is the measure of scientific truth,” continues the paper. “Scientific progress proceeds by the interplay of theory and observation. Theory explains observations and makes predictions of what will be observed in the future. Observations anchor understanding and weed out theories that don’t work.”

 

The paper predicts global starvation if fossil fuels are eliminated. At risk in coming decades would be half of the world’s 8.5 billion to 10 billion people who are fed by crops grown with fertilizers derived from fossil fuels. Listed as an example of Net Zero’s potential consequences is the economic and social calamity of Sri Lanka which had banned the use of fertilizers and pesticides made from fossil fuels. 

“The recent experience in Sri Lanka provides a red alert. The world has just witnessed the collapse of the once bountiful agricultural sector of Sri Lanka as a result of government restrictions on mineral fertilizer,” the paper says. 

The paper says that 600 million years of geological evidence shows that CO2 levels are near a record low and that atmospheric increases of the gas follow warming periods rather than precede them.

 These data “are good enough to demolish the argument that atmospheric CO2 concentrations control Earth’s climate and the theory that fossil fuels and CO2 will cause catastrophic global warming. They will not.” 

The paper’s authors are Dr. William Happer, Professor of Physics, Emeritus, Princeton University; Dr. Richard Lindzen, Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Science Emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; and Gregory Wrightstone, a geologist and executive director of the CO2 Coalition. 

The paper says Net Zero regulations and actions are scientifically invalid because they: 

  • Fabricate data or omit data that contradict their conclusions. Net Zero proponents regularly report that extreme weather is more severe and frequent because of climate change while the evidence shows no increase – and, in some cases, a decrease – in such events. 
  • Rely on computer models that do not An analysis of 102 computer models used by Net Zero proponents found that 101 of them had failed significantly to match real-world observations. “Simply stated, the (computer) model essential to every government Net Zero regulation, action and the trillions of dollars subsidizing renewables and electric cars, trucks, home heating, appliances and many other products do not work,” said the paper. 
  • Rely on findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that are government opinions, not The paper says that the conclusions of IPCC scientists that contradict the narrative of catastrophic global warming from fossil fuels are rewritten by government bureaucrats for public reports to support the false narrative of Net Zero proponents. 
  • Omit the extraordinary social benefits of CO2 and fossil fuels. Carbon dioxide, including that from the burning of fossil fuels, serves as plant food that increases crop production and enables the feeding of more people. CO2, as well as the greenhouse gases of methane and nitrous oxide, help to keep Earth at temperatures conducive to life; without them, people would suffer. Fossil fuels are economical and abundant sources of energy necessary for modern societies and are critical feedstocks for fertilizers and pesticides that support the lives of billions of people. 
  • Omit the disastrous consequences of reducing fossil fuels and CO2 emissions to Net Zero. “It cannot be overemphasized that eliminating fossil fuels and implementing Net Zero policies and actions mean the elimination of fossil fuel-derived nitrogen fertilizers and pesticides that will result in about half the world’s population not having enough food to eat,” says the 
  • Reject the science that demonstrates there is no risk of catastrophic global warming caused by fossil fuels and CO2. “We are not aware of any reliable science that supports the National Climate Assessment’s or others’ theory that fossil fuels and CO2 will cause catastrophic global warming,” said the paper’s authors, “We have written extensively on this issue for decades.”

 

This commentary was first published by the CO2 Coalition February 23, 2023.  

 

The Arlington-based CO2 Coalition is a nonprofit organization of more than 100 scientists and researchers engaged in educating the public and policymakers on the benefits of carbon dioxide and on the role of the gas in climate dynamics.


By metmike - Feb. 28, 2023, 2:28 p.m.
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By metmike - Feb. 28, 2023, 2:33 p.m.
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Polar Wildlife Report reveals Arctic and Antarctic animals were thriving in 2022

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/02/27/polar-wildlife-report-reveals-arctic-and-antarctic-animals-were-thriving-in-2022/

Indeed, contrary to all expectations, critical Antarctic winter sea ice has been increasing since 1979. While sea-ice experts have long voiced concerns that computer models of future Antarctic sea icecoverage are seriously flawed, biologists concerned about the future of ice-dependent emperor penguins and Antarctic krill have continued to use them to justify alarmist predictions.

 Crockford concludes: “In both the Arctic and Antarctic, less summer sea ice has meant increased primary productivity, which in turn has meant more food for all animals. This explains in part why polar wildlife continues to thrive, even in areas with much reduced summer sea-ice coverage.”

Key Findings 

  • There were no reports in 2022 that would suggest polar wildlife is suffering as a result of reduced sea-ice extent; in both the Arctic and Antarctic, less summer sea ice and increased primary productivity over the last two decades has meant more food for all animals, which explains in part why polar wildlife has been thriving. 
  • Arctic sea ice in summer has declined since 1979, but has had an overall flat trend since 2007; coverage was again well below average in the Barents and Chukchi Seas in 2022, where continued high primary productivity has provided abundant food resources for wildlife; winter ice coverage in 2022 was slightly lower than 2020 but overall has shown a relatively flat trend since 2011. 
  • Ice-dependent polar bears worldwide probably now number about 32,000, with a wide range of potential error; a survey of Western Hudson Bay polar bears in 2021 generated a population decline of 27% since 2016, but this did not correlate with lack of sea ice. A genetically-distinct subpopulation of polar bears was discovered thriving in SE Greenland, and western Barents Sea bears (Norway) are still doing well despite the most profound summer sea-ice loss of all Arctic regions. 
  • Atlantic walrus numbers are still low, but recovering in the Barents Sea and eastern North America. A new population estimate of Pacific walrus in 2019 reveals more than 200,000 exist in the Chukchi/Bering Sea area. More killer whales were reported visiting the Eastern Canadian Arctic, and in Alaska and the Western Canadian Arctic, bowhead whales are thriving. 
  • Antarctic sea ice extent has barely changed since 1979: vital winter ice has slightly increased overall while summer ice has slightly declined (with its lowest extent in December 2022), all while overall primary productivity has increased. A new sea ice predictive model acknowledges previous flaws and does not predict a future decline until 2050 at the earliest. 
  • Krill are crucial prey for many species of wildlife (especially huge numbers of great whales and penguins) that live or feed in the Southern Ocean. Future intensification of commercial fishing of krill (largely to feed farmed fish) is likely the largest conservation threat to local wildlife, given recent geopolitical tensions over effective fisheries management. 
  • Numbers of fin, blue, humpback, and southern right whales feeding in Antarctic waters in summer have increased in recent years, and while minke whale numbers appear to have declined, an estimated 500,000 individuals still frequent the region. 
  • Killer whales (orcas) are the top predator in the Southern Ocean and most populations appear to be thriving. The IUCN lists all ice-dependent seals in Antarctica as ‘least concern’. 
  • Several albatross and large petrel species are considered ‘vulnerable’ by the IUCN due to deadly interactions with long-line trawlers fishing for Antarctic toothfish (Patagonian sea bass), while over-fishing of this cod-like species and the herring-like Antarctic silverfish is also a concern. 
  • Emperor penguins, the largest and most ice-dependent penguin species, were classified as ‘Threatened’ on the US Endangered Species List in 2022 but remain ‘Near Threatened’ according to the IUCN Red List because of the large size of their breeding population and the acknowledged uncertainty of future sea-ice predictions.
By metmike - Feb. 28, 2023, 2:36 p.m.
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Been stating these things for 2 decades:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/27864/

By 12345 - Feb. 28, 2023, 2:57 p.m.
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LOL  DOES ANYONE "IMPORTANT", NOT BELIEVE THE "RACIST WHITE MAN"???!!!

IT'S US NORMAL FOLKS THAT HAVE OUR OWN THOUGHT PROCESSES. HAHHHAAA

By metmike - March 1, 2023, 8:59 a.m.
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I don’t see this as an issue of race, Jean.

for 2+ decades, scientists like me have been able to show compelling, authentic data/evidence using accurate depictions on graphs and other places.

proving conclusively that ther is no climate crisis Over and over.

the data keeps consistently supporting our scientific case.

but look how much more powerful the crony capitalism, government corruption, ratings generating sensationalism and political agenda is than the authentic science.

bad/biased  scientists are a big part of the problem as they exploit the situation to their professional and financial advantage.

By metmike - March 31, 2023, 11:18 p.m.
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By 12345 - April 13, 2023, 5:01 p.m.
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By metmike - April 14, 2023, 11:03 p.m.
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Thanks much, Jean!

Ross McKitrick: The important climate study you won’t hear about

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/04/14/ross-mckitrick-the-important-climate-study-you-wont-hear-about/

    Mike Maguire              

        April 14, 2023 7:57 pm                

RADIATIVE FORCING BY CO2 OBSERVED AT TOP OF ATMOSPHERE FROM 2002-2019

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1911.10605.pdf

  “The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report predicted 0.508±0.102 Wm−2RF resulting from this CO2 increase, 42% more forcing than actually observed. The lack of quantitative long-term global OLR studies may be permitting inaccu-racies to persist in general circulation model forecasts of the effects of rising CO2 or other greenhouse gasses.”

By metmike - April 20, 2023, 1:40 p.m.
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Blame rice for global warming!? ‘Rice is to blame for around 10% of global emissions of methane’ – ‘Rice cannot be ignored’

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/04/20/blame-rice-for-global-warming-rice-is-to-blame-for-around-10-of-global-emissions-of-methane-rice-cannot-be-ignored/

+++++++++++++++++

Governments in the Western world are all imposing these ludicrous, extremely strict anti science standards on society based on a fake climate crisis but China, India, Russia, the Middle East and many other countries are wanting no part of it. CO2 is well mixed in the global atmosphere.


China, Russia, India to Skip UN Climate Summit

01-15-2023

https://www2.cbn.com/news/world/china-russia-india-skip-un-climate-summit

Leaders from the United Nations' three largest member nations will not attend this week's climate summit, which begins Tuesday.

More than 120 world leaders are expected, but China, Russia, India, as well as Germany and Australia, will not be present in leadership roles.

Meanwhile, some are questioning the science behind the climate change alarmism.

"There's a real problem with the computer models for climate change," Dr. Pat Michaels, director of The Center for the Study of Science at the Cato Institute, said.

"By last count there were 42 separate explanations in the scientific or public literature on why it hasn't been warming. When there are 42 explanations for one phenomenon, I can tell you what that means: scientists don't know what they're talking about," Michaels said.

But that hasn't stopped thousands from marching in New York, London, Berlin, Rio de Janeiro and cities around the world, calling for more action to stop global warming and for a global climate treaty.

New York City teacher Patrick Callahan was among those marching in the Big Apple. Callahan told reporters, "The message here is to get the word out that climate change is real, that science backs it up."

Celebrities Emma Thompson and Peter Gabriel were among those marching Sunday, along with U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon.

Struck by the crowd, Ban said, "I am overwhelmed by such a strong power and energy and voice of people."

"You have to get everyone who knows what's going on, all of them, to take action," Thompson urged.

Previous threads:

                 Net Zero Economy by 2050            

                            Started by metmike - March 5, 2023, 1:28 p.m.       

     https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/93597/

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/93597/#93599


                Energy transition is a hoax            

                            Started by metmike - April 15, 2023, 5:50 p.m.      

      https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/94557/