ProFarmer crop tour August 16-19 2021
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Started by metmike - Aug. 16, 2021, 2:53 p.m.
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By metmike - Aug. 17, 2021, 6:12 p.m.
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@kannbwx

From Monday

The #pftour21 pegged South Dakota #corn yield at 151.45 bu/acre, down 15.5% from the 2020 tour and down 11.1% from 3y avg. Pod counts on #soybeans down 20.3% YOY but down only 3.8% on 3yr avg.

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By metmike - Aug. 17, 2021, 6:12 p.m.
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@kannbwx

Ohio #corn yield measured at 185.06 bu/acre by #pftour21, up 10.4% on the 2020 tour and up 10.7% on the 3yr avg. Pod counts for #soybeans were up 3.4% on last year but up 13.2% on the 3yr avg.

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By metmike - Aug. 17, 2021, 6:15 p.m.
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@kannbwx

My day 2 route through Nebraska for #pftour21. What should I expect to see crop-wise? Any tips for lunch?

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Average pod count for #soybeans in a 3x3 foot plot through the nine stops is 1621. 7 of 9 irrigated. Last year tour in this area was 1302 and three year avg 1256. Counties for our stops were Hamilton, York, Polk, Butler and Saunders.

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@kannbwx

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Nine #corn stops before lunch in east central Nebraska on #pftour21, all but one irrigated. Average 193.2 bu/acre. The tour found 186.3 last year in this district, and the three year tour average is 183.8. High of 224, low of 153. Five over 200.

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By metmike - Aug. 18, 2021, 10:18 a.m.
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@kannbwx


metmike: When I crossed the entire state of IN a month ago, from northeast to southwest, Every field I saw looked good or excellent on my windshield tour! I'm betting we have close to record here in the southwest. 

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Indiana #corn yield is pegged at 193.48 bu/acre by #pftour21, up 7.6% on the 2020 tour and up 10.9% on the 3yr avg. Pod counts for #soybeans were down 3.2% on last year but up 5.8% on the 3yr avg.

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By metmike - Aug. 18, 2021, 10:19 a.m.
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@kannbwx

The #pftour21 found Nebraska #corn yield at 182.35 bu/acre, up 4.1% from the 2020 tour and up 3.8% from 3y avg. Pod counts on #soybeans were down 5.5% YOY and down 3.4% on 3yr avg.

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By metmike - Aug. 18, 2021, 10:20 a.m.
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@kannbwx

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Heading up through western Iowa today on #pftour21. As always, curious what people think I might see and where there's good food along the way!

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By metmike - Aug. 18, 2021, 10:50 p.m.
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@kannbwx

Illinois #corn yield is pegged at 196.3 bu/acre by #pftour21, up 3.6% on the 2020 tour and up 6.5% on the 3yr avg. Pod counts for #soybeans were up 2.6% on last year and up 7.4% on the 3yr avg.

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By metmike - Aug. 18, 2021, 10:52 p.m.
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@kannbwx

The #pftour21 measured western Iowa #corn yields up from last year, to the biggest degree in the west central district. Pod counts on #soybeans were up from last year, especially in the southwest district.

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@kannbwx

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These are the districts and counties:

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By mcfarm - Aug. 19, 2021, 6:33 a.m.
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kannbwx, seems you crossed the state the very last day much of central Indiana got its last rain fall....32 days now....add that to the heat and your drive will look very different today. But you are right about the SW. They got rain again last nite and pretty much the entire season.

By metmike - Aug. 19, 2021, 6:22 p.m.
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Thanks mcfarm,

@kannbwx

Last day of #pftour21. I'm sampling southern Minnesota today.

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By metmike - Aug. 19, 2021, 6:25 p.m.
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@kannbwx



6 stops in SW Minn (Nobles, Murray, Cottonwood Co). Average #corn yield 210.9 bu/acre. Last year's tour was 203.2 in this district and the 3yr avg is 174.9. Soils are dry but the crops are looking pretty good. Looks like the area caught timely rain this year. #pftour21

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@kannbwx

Pods in a 3x3 foot plot for #soybeans averaged 1307 in these same locations. Last year the tour found 1101 pods in this district and 1041 on the 3y avg. #pftour21

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Sure surprised me considering this soil moisture map


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml#

                            

Daily Soil Moisture Pecentile       

By metmike - Aug. 20, 2021, 11:31 a.m.
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The #pftour21 found Minnesota #corn yield at 177.44 bu/acre, down 9% from the 2020 tour and down 2.2% from 3y avg. Pod counts on #soybeans were down 5.4% YOY and down 1.9% on 3yr avg.

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By metmike - Aug. 20, 2021, 11:32 a.m.
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@kannbwx

Iowa #corn yield is pegged at 190.76 bu/acre by #pftour21, up 7.3% on the 2020 tour and up 4.3% on the 3yr avg. Pod counts for #soybeans were up 6.2% on last year and up 5.5% on the 3yr avg.

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By metmike - Aug. 20, 2021, 11:33 a.m.
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@kannbwx

Here's the Iowa tour yields for corn by district in 2016 versus 2021. Iowa had a record corn yield of 203 bu/acre in 2016. However, 367 samples were pulled that year versus 481 this year. Not sure if that's a factor. The 2018 tour also found the state at 188.2.

Don't forget, last year was impacted by the derecho and by drought. The central strip of Iowa, where the derecho impacts were greatest, saw much higher measurements this year.

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By mcfarm - Aug. 20, 2021, 11:44 a.m.
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seems there is just no substitute  for deep dark top soil. Earlier this season many growers had given up all hope it was so dry....and now we are finding very good yields all with later rains. If only we were all so fortunate

By metmike - Aug. 20, 2021, 3:36 p.m.
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metmike: Higher than USDA

which was 174.6 bpa   and 14.75 billion bu

Pro Farmer Releases National Corn and Soybean Crop Estimates

https://www.agweb.com/markets/grain-markets/pro-farmer-releases-national-corn-and-soybean-crop-estimates


Pro Farmer national corn and soybean crop estimates: 

  • Corn: 15.116 billion bu.; Average yield of 177 bu. per acre 
    • Corn +/- 1% = 15.267 billion bu. to 14.965 billion bu.; 178.8 bu. to 175.2 per acre
  • Soybeans: 4.436 billion bu.; Average yield of 51.2 bu. per acre 
    • Soybeans +/- 2% = 4.525 billion bu. to 4.347 billion bu.; 52.2 bu. to 50.2 bu. per acre