Grains Thursday
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Started by metmike - July 5, 2018, 9:54 a.m.

Corn is finally trading heat fill?............but  week 2 might turn cooler?...............which would be bearish.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/5754/

The widespread, big rain events are also over now but the wet areas need to dry out.

 Double bottom on charts?

Comments
By metmike - July 5, 2018, 10:02 a.m.
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For the weather effecting grains, please go here:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/6893/

By mcfarm - July 5, 2018, 10:13 a.m.
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we have been hot for sure and missed the last few rains. We do have  good shot at another chance today and cooler for a couple days after this front today.  thanks for all you info Metmike, I realize you spend a great amount of time gathering for us

By metmike - July 5, 2018, 12:50 p.m.
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You're welcome mcfarm!

I enjoy sharing the weather with you.

By metmike - July 5, 2018, 1:13 p.m.
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After day 10, alot of the guidance brings rains back in. This is the total precip for 384 hours below from the  just out 12z GFS:

   

gfs_namer_384_precip_ptot.gif

By metmike - July 5, 2018, 1:21 p.m.
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  It also pushes the most intense heat south of the Cornbelt.......later in week 2 on this 12z GFS solution just out:

gfs_namer_384_200_wnd_ht_s.gif         gfs_namer_384_500_vort_ht
      gfs_namer_384_500_vort_ht_s.gif   
      gfs_namer_384_1000_500_thick
      gfs_namer_384_1000_500_thick_s.gif   
      gfs_namer_384_850_temp_ht
      gfs_namer_384_850_temp_ht_s.gif
By metmike - July 5, 2018, 1:34 p.m.
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mcfarm shared this great link with us on earlier this week. Here are some new maps I picked up from that site:

https://www.atmos.illinois.edu/~snodgrss/Ag_Wx.html


http://weather.agribleservices.com/ahps/7_day_percent.png

http://weather.agribleservices.com/ahps/30_day_percent.png

                                    


            


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/Figures/daily/curr.w.anom.daily.gif


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/cmi.gif

By metmike - July 5, 2018, 1:57 p.m.
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Soybeans: Wider perspective: Currently at 10 year lows!!!!!


Soybeans 3 months below

                   



Soybeans 1 year chart below   

                   
                    


Soybeans 5 years below



Soybeans 10 years-Wow, look at that high from the drought of 2012...and demand, currently at 10 year lows!

                   
By metmike - July 5, 2018, 2:02 p.m.
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Corn historical perspective:

Who remembers $8 corn not so long(5 years) ago   

Is the bottom in? If we have heat fill(extended heat from late July thru August), it is. If we turn cooler later this month, maybe not.


3 month below


1 year below

                   

5 year below                

                   

 10 year below