Here is the latest radar image.
Rains the past 24 hours......on top of the heat ridge. Heaviest in NE/KS.
https://water.weather.gov/precip/
Go to precipitation, then scroll down to pick a time frame. Hit states to get the borders to see locations better. Under products, you can hit %normal.
Most importantly........forecast rains.
Rains the next 7 days .........dumping on key growing areas for corn/beans over the top of the heat ridge in the south. Some places will have excessive rains but rain makes grain now.
Day 1:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_94qwbg.gif?1526306199054
Day 2:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_98qwbg.gif?1528293750112
Day 3:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_99qwbg.gif?1528293842764
Days 4-5:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162
Days 6-7:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162
Total accumulation
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1526397762
Pretty decent threat area for excessive rains but at this time of year, rain makes grain.
Excessive rain threat too
Current Day 1 Forecast Valid 15Z 06/11/18 - 12Z 06/12/18 |
Day 1 Threat Area in Text Format
Day 2 and Day 3 Forecasts |
Current Day 2 Forecast Valid 12Z 06/12/18 - 12Z 06/13/18 |
Day 2 Threat Area in Text Format
Current Day 3 Forecast Valid 12Z 06/13/18 - 12Z 06/14/18 |
Severe Storm Risk for the next few days, not very high:
Current Day 1 Outlook | Forecaster: Hart/Kerr Issued: 18/1240Z Valid: 18/1300Z - 19/1200Z Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Slight Risk |
Current Day 2 Outlook | Forecaster: Bunting Issued: 18/0600Z Valid: 19/1200Z - 20/1200Z Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Marginal Risk |
Current Day 3 Outlook | Forecaster: Bunting Issued: 18/0731Z Valid: 20/1200Z - 21/1200Z Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Marginal Risk |
Current Day 4-8 Outlook | Forecaster: Bunting Issued: 18/0856Z Valid: 21/1200Z - 25/1200Z Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms (e.g. a 15%, 30% chance that a severe thunderstorm will occur within 25 miles of any point). |
This is what the week 2 dome looked like on the last operational 06z GFS.
gfs_namer_384_200_wnd_ht | gfs_namer_384_500_vort_ht |
gfs_namer_384_1000_500_thick | gfs_namer_384_850_temp_ht |
CFS weeks 3 and 4 really heats things up..............and dries it out.
Turns drier in some places
Late Week 2 heat anomolies:
NWS extended guidance, still very warm/hot and wet:
Temperature Probability 6-10 day |
Precipitation Probability |
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data | |
Temperature Probability 8-14 day | |
Precipitation Probability |
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php