new usda numbers corn 49% and beans 19% ...there will be virtually no progress in the experts predicted drier areas of the east this week with water standing,,,,, and the west is predicted flooding ...so next we have slightly more progress but record late numbers
Sorry you're having a rough time of it. I'll have all the stats in a short while. This will cause us to have a higher open tonight.
These were market expectations:
Table: Crop Progress Expectations 5 yr planting averages, May 19:
#Corn 80%, #soybeans 47%, spring #wheat 80%. Slowest-ever May 19: corn 50% 1995; soy 12% 1983 Slowest May 19 post-2000: corn 68% 2009; soy 24% 2013 #plant19
U.S. planting progress, May 19
#Corn 49% (SLOWEST in records back to 1980; 5yr avg 80%; last wk 30%) #Soybeans 19% (slowest since 1996; 5yr avg 47%; last wk 9%)
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Only 19% of U.S.
#corn had emerged by May 19, tied with 2013 for the slowest in records back to 1999. The 5-year average for the date is 49%. In Illinois, only 11% has emerged versus an average of 71%.
Here's a look at where the
#corn progress was made last week and where it wasn't. The Western Belt (northern areas) made big jumps on the week but the Eastern Belt was slower. The west will likely be wetter than the east this week, though. #plant19
metmike: You can see the tendency for late planted crops to have lower than trend yields. 2012 was the huge exception because of the only drought in over 30 years(which is easily the record for least amount of drought in Cornbelt history)
The official report. Both corn and soy planting about 30% below avg. And what was mudded in will have much lower yield potential especially in cold soils.
I forgot to include that with the other stuff above
Granted that I was out of town when the spike in the corn market occured. None-the-less, I was prepared for it. With corn sinking, in spite of the rains that the corn belt had been receiving, it had to break some time. C was oversold, even against fundamentals.
But now, a week later from the breakout, I am faced with it being overbought for the fundamentals. Which means to me, that I will have to play this close to the cuff. There has to be a correction to normal fundamental values, if the weather permits. And not predicted weather, but actual weather.
..... I understand exactly what you said and aforez_=- mentioned because it is really you ...jumping into three jumping ropes at the same time and try to jump rope and skip it at the same time....
Peace be with you ....and there definitely is a rythm. into jumping into a weather Market
We are at approx. 15 % corn planted We will plant the 1st commercial corn today, in slightly les than ideal conditions but what do you do with such late progress
All of the 15 % planted is sweet corn, of which soil conditions was less than ideal, but sweet corn market makes for early plant and less yield still financially viable to hit the early premium market price
We are at 250 acres of 700 sweet corn so we are behind schedule by a lot, even on wet soils conditions
We planted in wet soils such that the planter disk wheels almost stopped turning on the sweet corn planter, to give you an idea of how wet the soil was. Much power washing to clean up the planter between rain events
Our best window is behind us, so we have to plant in less than ideal conditions
So, just because it is planted does not mean we expect trend line yields
At this time frame we are just trying to plant and hope for something to harvest
Overall I would think some of the corn planted in the corn belt was planted in less then ideal soil conditions, so we will have to wait until harvest to find out yield and total production
Some folks will be having emergence issues [plants missing or uneven] but are taking what ever comes up and going with that Flooded acres will be replntd or not planted the 1st time
We are planting around wet spots even with tile under the wet spots
Personally I have zero corn in the ground
This yr is a struggle for sure
We are in the Great lakes region
Very little corn planted in Ontario with some places being dry enough to start and most with nothing moving, but if the rain holds off, more will start each day
The last couple rains were only 1/4 " which was a blessing, and 3 days apart
Today is the 1st day we have all our machinery in the field, at the same time. with two corn planters working, both on sweet corn
Commercial corn planting will start later today/tonite once the soil dries out after a light pre-plant run with the turbo till, to hasten surface soil dry down
Gotta do what you can at this time of yr
Big investment in machinery and tile and Mother Nature still rules the roost
250,000.00 invested in a used sprayer, 150,000.00 invested in a corn planter, plus 150,000.00 plus invested in tractors and assorted machinery and we spray 30 acre plots. All but one machine was purchased used
New prices, with our loonie is stupid expensive
Combine has done 8 crops and needs to be replaced after this harvest. At least stuff is paid for, including crop being planted, so we will have a fighting chance to survive. No big government pay outs for lost markets in Canada, or our farm.. Western canola boys are in trouble but we did what you wanted with that Chinese lady arrested and now we pay the price, with china
Sure hope you appreciate the favour. Mostly you just ignore us. We got Canadians locked up in prison over this deal, in china, and nobody is helping
Makes you wonder. At least the steel tariff is gone.
Thanks for your thoughts Wayne.
Wow, you have alot of money in your equipment. So a planter only last 8 years?
Hopefully, this year the weather straightens out after this awful start for some of you guys.
Sorry my message was mistaken
A planter will last as long as you are williing to buy parts and do the labour
The tech may change and then it is a decision of ROI
I was talking about a combine
Most the combine machine will lAST FOR A LONG TIIME
hOWEVERR, THE HUGE AMOUNT OF MATERIAL MOVING THRU THE COMBINE WEARS HOLES IN THE SHEET METAL
wE HAVE USED LINERS TO REAIR, BUT A MACHINE NEEDS TO WORK, NOT BE BROKE DOWN DURING HARVEST
cONBINES ARE COMPLEX MACHINES AND LABOUR INTENNSIVE TO REPAIR
yOU SORT OF ROLL; THE DICE ONCE A MACHINE HAS X AMOUNT OF HRS
Is the machine dependable or will it use valuable time being repaired
Some operators that can't do repairs will spend 25-50,000/yr on preventative maintence, and still have harvest down time
So when do you buy new vs repair the old machine
Sorry about the caps
Wow Wayne, you need to be a farm machinery mechanic or have one working for you!
Any guesses on planting progress for Tuesday 3pm USDA report?
I know a ton has been planted here in S.Indiana.
Probably OH and S.IL did some good planting too.
As of tonite we should be 50% corn planted, all on wet soil
Our corn under plastic is 6 plus inches tall and the 1st sweet corn planted with the commercial planter can be rowed
We got a gully washer of rain Sat nite, which stopped the corn planter
We are planting today in wet soil
I saw dust for less than 1/2 day all spring, thus if we did not plant in wet soil, not much would be planted
We will plant any place we don't get stuck, which means going around standing water or soggy soil
Machinery sitting idle does us no good, at this late date
We have to do something different, which means more tile, this fall
I would say the area around us is 25 % planted as of May 24
Well, I had hoped we would miss the rain early in the day. We actually did miss it.
The storm cell went north and missed us. But the second cell came from no where and shut us down at 11:00 P:M. We never have cells develop from no where but this yr stuff happens
June planting for sure as we don't have the PP option
The good part is our Sept cash is 6.11 CAD F.O.B the ethanol plant and other buyers. We truck our own corn.
Of course I have most of my old crop sold, as do many others. Even with a dollar plus for exchange that is a good price
Will be interesting what 2020 corn is worth, come next yr
Butt 1st we have to harvest some thing
A part of a crop will not pay the bills
None the less we will install more tile, gravel where water stands etc
Too much invested in machinery to sit and miss a planting opportunity
We can do it
Just takes money but this is no good