Flash Drought
2 responses | 0 likes
Started by metmike - Sept. 2, 2025, 9:39 a.m.

It has stopped raining in Evansville. Are we in danger of a drought?

https://www.courierpress.com/story/news/local/2025/09/02/it-has-stopped-raining-in-evansville-are-we-in-danger-of-a-drought/85887181007/

+++++++++++++++++++

By my standards, we already have a flash drought. By the time the indices and charts we see show it, it's been there for a little while.

The top of this thread covers it pretty well, so I copied it below:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/

The NWS has been a couple weeks slow in their forecast on this:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/month_drought.png



Comments
By metmike - Sept. 2, 2025, 9:43 a.m.
Like Reply

Soilmoisture anomaly:

These maps sometimes take a day to catch up to incorporate the latest data(the bottom map is only updated once a week).



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml#

                            

Daily Soil Moisture Pecentile       

        Daily Anomaly Soil Moisture (mm)

        Monthly Soil Moisture Change


                       ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


NEW LINK:
https://www.drought.gov/current-conditions

  National Current Conditions

       August 20, 2025 - August 26, 2025



 

DROUGHT MONITOR

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

FLASH DROUGHT!!


By metmike - Sept. 2, 2025, 9:50 a.m.
Like Reply

The outlook is not great but we have chances for rain the next several days.

            

     https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/#83848       

                                    

1. Weather map now.

2. In 24 hours and

3. In 48 hours.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#

Day 1 image not available

Day 2 image not available

Day 3 image not available

                +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Surface Weather maps for days 3-7 below:

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr.shtml

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg_conus.gif

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The latest 7 day precip forecasts are below.

 

Day 1 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_94qwbg.gif?1526306199054

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_94qwbg.gif?1531339983148

Day 2 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_98qwbg.gif?1528293750112


http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_98qwbg.gif?1531340045174


Day 3 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_99qwbg.gif?1528293842764

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_99qwbg.gif?1531340092706



Days 4-5 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1531339379

 Days 6-7 below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1531339379

7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126


++++++++++++

Severe Storm Risk......updated  daily(days 1 and 2 twice daily).

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/

Current Day 1 Outlook
        1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook             
         
          Current Day 2 Outlook
          0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook               
      
          Current Day 3 Outlook
          0600 UTC Day 3 Outlook               
     
          Current Day 4-8 Outlook
          Day 4-8 Convective Outlook