https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmbmkgb-10y?countrycode=bx

look at the 2nd chart on this page.  the outer part of the yield curve is already inverted.  just a little higher on the short end, then the long end drops to give us and inverted curve.

this should happen by next year,  and England should be in a recession within a year after that.