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* Week in Revew Tim New - Fri Jul 30 2010 at 11:32 AM New Home Sales SAAR 300K 330K C+ Nice gain, but coming up from very low.
ICSC Goldman Store Sales W/W 1.4% 0.6% C+
Y/Y 4.2% 3.8%
Redbook Y/Y 2.7% 2.7% C
S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index
10-city, not SA M/M 0.7% 1.2% C+
10-city, SAdj. M/M 0.3% 0.5%
10-city, not SA Y/Y 4.6% 5.4%
Consumer Confidence 52.9 50.4 C-
State Street Investor Confidence Index 89.7 96 C+ Profits up, Corps leaner/meaner
MBA Purchase Apps Purchase Index - W/W 3.4% 2.0% C+
Refinance Index W/W 8.6% -5.9%
Composite Index W/W 7.6% -4.4%
Durable Goods Orders New Orders - M/M -1.1% -1.0% C-
New Orders - Y/Y 14.9% 15.9%
Ex-transportation - M/M 0.9% -0.6%
Ex-transportation - Y/Y 17.6% 15.0%
EIA Petroleum Status W/W 0.4M 7.3M C+
Jobless Claims New Claims W/W 464K 457K C
4-week Moving Average 456K 452.5K
GDP
Real GDP - Q/Q SAAR 2.7% 2.4% C+
price index - Q/Q SAAR 1.1% 1.8%
Employment cost Index Q/Q 0.6% 0.5%
Y/Y 1.7% 1.8%
Chicago PMI M/M 59.1 62.3 B Very strong growth in Purchasing.
New orders up 7.5, backlog up nearly 7, employment index up 2.5
Consumer Sentiment 66.5 67.8 C+
One of the better weeks we've seen in a while, but that's not saying much.
Durable goods orders showed a drop. Consumer confidence down a little, though sentiment was up. Over all, no really bad news this week.
Jobless claims slightly down.
Retail numbers showed some life. New home sales showed a healthy jump, but from a very unhealthy level. Still tepid at best. State Street investor confidence is up. Companies are learning to stretch a dollar further and profits don't look bad. Unfortunately, high levels of efficiency have low to no impact on employment numbers. Employment costs very moderate as a result.
MBA Purchase apps up for a 2nd week. Don't care much about refinance. No where near the impact.
GDP came in at +2.4. If you've been reading this report, you know that it is likely to be revised downward in coming months. The 2nd qtr started reasonably well, but growth in just about all sectors ground to a near halt as the qtr advanced.
The brightest spot this week, and probably the best news I've seen in a few months was the Chicago PMI. It indicates more orders and more hiring. One report doesn't mean much, but hopefully we'll see more of the same in coming weeks.
I'll give the week a C+.
As an aside, I've been thinking of doing quarterly reviews in an executive summary format. Might be enlightening.
* Re: Week in Revew Clarence NW IA - Fri Jul 30 2010 at 6:28 PM The paper market should get an a for effort after this week getting the sledge hammer put to it 2 different days, and coming out of it on top. I believe many times the collective market knows more then the pieces.
Keep up the good work, there must be better times acoming.
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