Rapidly developing NATURAL El Nino with Pacific ocean temperatures soaring higher!
ENSO: Recent Evolution,
Current Status and Predictions
Update prepared by:
Climate Prediction Center / NCEP
1 May 2023
Summary
* Note: These statements are updated once a month (2nd Thursday of each month) in association
with the ENSO Diagnostics Discussion, which can be found by clicking here.
ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Watch
ENSO-neutral conditions are observed.*
Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are near-to-above average across
most of the Pacific Ocean.
ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue through the Northern
Hemisphere spring, followed by a 62% chance of El Niño developing during May-
July 2023.
++++++++
As I've been saying this year, the atmosphere is already in an El Nino dynamic. The NOAA lagged indicator will tell us well after the fact.
Forget the 62% chance from NOAA. WE HAVE AN EL NINO RIGHT NOW!
Previous thread:
El Niño likely coming later this year
16 responses |
Started by WxFollower - April 1, 2023, 5:48 p.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/94277/
Model forecasts:
Only 1 year, 1991 featured notably hotter and drier than average growing season weather when there was a strong El Nino developing!!!
That greatly increases the odds for above trend yields this Summer for all crops in the Midwest and potential for RECORD yields.
https://mrcc.purdue.edu/mw_climate/elNino/impacts.jsp
THERE'S A FEW YOU TUBERS THAT I SOME TIMES WATCH THAT MENTIONED THAT, A WHILE AGO. LONG TERM DOESN'T INTEREST ME AS MUCH...BUT, I ALWAYS KEEP IT IN THE BACK OF MY MIND
