INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - Sept. 26, 2022, 7:30 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

 



 

 

Monday, September 26, 2022   

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. August CFNAI Chicago Fed National Activity Index

 

                       NAI (previous 0.27)

 

                       NAI, 3-mo Moving Avg (previous -0.09)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. September Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey

 

                       Business Activity (previous -12.9)

 

                       Mfg Production Idx (previous 1.2)

 



 

 

Tuesday, September 27, 2022  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. August Advance Report on Durable Goods

 

                       Durable Goods-SA, M/M% (previous +0%)

 

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous +1.2%)

 

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous +0.3%)

 

                       Orders: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +0.4%)

 

                       Shipmnts: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +0.7%)

 

                        

 

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +10.9%)

 

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +10.5%)

 

9:00 AM ET. July U.S. Monthly House Price Index

 

9:00 AM ET. July S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices

 

                       10-City Idx, M/M% (previous +0.4%)

 

                       10-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +17.4%)

 

                       20-City Idx, M/M% (previous +0.4%)

 

                       20-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +18.6%)

 

                       National Idx, M/M% (previous +0.6%)

 

                       National Idx, Y/Y% (previous +18%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. September Richmond Fed Business Activity Survey

 

                       Mfg Idx (previous -8)

 

                       Shipments Idx (previous -8)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. September Consumer Confidence Index

 

                       Cons Conf Idx (previous 103.2)

 

                       Expectation Idx

 

                       Present Situation Idx (previous 145.4)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. August New Residential Sales

 

                       New Home Sales (previous 511K)

 

                       New Home Sales, M/M% (previous -12.6%)

 

                       New Home Sales Months Supply (previous 10.9)

 



 

 

1:00 PM ET. August Money Stock Measures

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

 

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 



 

 

Wednesday, September 28, 2022   

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 

                       Composite Idx (previous 264.7)

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous +3.8%)

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 200.1)

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous +1.0%)

 

                       Refinance Idx (previous 588.1)

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous +10.4%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 2nd Quarter U.S. International Investment Position

 

8:30 AM ET. August Advance Economic Indicators Report

 

10:00 AM ET. August Pending Home Sales Index

 

                       Pending Home Sales (previous 89.8)

 

                       Pending Home Sales Idx, M/M% (previous -1.0%)

 

                       Pending Home Sales Idx , Y/Y% (previous -19.9%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. August Metropolitan Area Employment & Unemployment

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 430.774M)

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +1.141M)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 214.61M)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +1.57M)

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 117.25M)

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +1.23M)

 

                       Refinery Usage (previous 93.6%)

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 18.938M)

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous -0.375M)

 



 

 

Thursday, September 29, 2022   

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

 

                       Jobless Claims

 

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg

 

                       Continuing Claims

 

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

 

8:30 AM ET. 2nd Quarter 3rd estimate GDP

 

                       Annual Rate, Q/Q% (previous -0.6%)

 

                       Chain-Weighted Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +8.9%)

 

                       Corporate Profits, Q/Q% (previous +10.4%)

 

                       PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +7.1%)

 

                       Purchase Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +8.4%)

 

                       Real Final Sales, Q/Q% (previous +1.3%)

 

                       Core PCE Price Idx, Ex-Food/Energy, Q/Q% (previous +4.4%)

 

                       Personal Consumption, Q/Q% (previous +1.5%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 2nd Quarter Revised Corporate Profits

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

 

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf)

 

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf)

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

 

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

 



 

 

Friday, September 30, 2022  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. August Personal Income & Outlays

 

                       Personal Income, M/M% (previous +0.2%)

 

                       Consumer Spending, M/M% (previous +0.1%)

 

                       PCE Price Idx, M/M% (previous -0.1%)

 

                       PCE Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +6.3%)

 

                       PCE Core Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.1%)

 

                       PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +4.6%)

 



 

 

9:45 AM ET. Sept. Chicago Business Barometer - ISM-Chicago Business Survey - Chicago PMI

 

                       PMI-Adj (previous 52.2)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. 2nd Quarter State Quarterly Personal Income

 

10:00 AM ET. 2nd Quarter GDP by State

 

10:00 AM ET. September University of Michigan Survey of Consumers - final

 

                       End-Mo Sentiment Idx (previous 58.2)

 

                       End-Mo Expectations Idx (previous 58.0)

 

                       12-Month Inflation Forecast (previous 4.8%)

 

                       5-Year Inflation Forecast (previous 2.9%)

 

                       End-Mo Current Idx (previous 58.6)

 



 

 

3:00 PM ET. August Agricultural Prices

 

                       Farm Prices, M/M% (previous -0.1%)

 

  N/A               U.S. fiscal year ends

 

  N/A               Latest deadline for new funding deal to avert U.S. Govt shutdown

 


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes  

 



 

The STOCK INDEXES: The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends the decline off August's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading.Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off August's high, June's low crossing at 11,135.00. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,121.74 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 11,821.27. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,121.74. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 11,229.00. Second support is June's low crossing at 11,135.00.



The December S&P 500 was lower in late-overnight trading as it extends the decline off August's high. Overnight weakness sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the aforementioned decline, June's low crossing at 3657.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 3930.04 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3848.60. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3930.04. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 3660.25. Second support is June's low crossing at 3657.00.



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: December T-bonds were lower overnight as it extends the decline off August's high. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off August's high, monthly support crossing at 118-21 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 132-06 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 130-09. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 132-06. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 126-29. Second support is monthly support crossing at 118-21.



December T-notes was lower overnight as it extends the decline off August's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off August's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2000-2020 rally on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 111.233 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 115.031 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 113.291. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 115.031. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 111.250. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2000-2020 rally on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 111.233. 



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



ENERGIES:November crude oil was lower overnight and sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November extends the decline off August's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $74.38 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $85.55 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $85.55. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $88.90. First support is the overnight low crossing at $77.21. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $74.38.



November heating oil was lower overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November renews the decline off August's high, April's low crossing at $2.9170 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.4385 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.4385. Second resistance is the September 6th high crossing at $3.6996. First support is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $3.0693. Second support is the April 7th low crossing at 2.9170.



November unleaded gas was lower overnight and sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $2.1346 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.5458 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.5458. Second resistance is the August 11th high crossing at $2.7173. First support is the September 8th low crossing at $2.2487. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $2.1346.



November Henry natural gas was lower overnight as it extends the decline off August's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November extends the decline off last-Wednesday's high, the 75% retracement level of the June-August rally crossing at 6.598. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 8.430 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 7.811. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 8.220. First support is the 75% retracement level of the June-August rally crossing at 6.598. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the June-August rally crossing at 6.048.     



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The December Dollar was higher overnight as it extends this year's rally. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that a sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off August's low, monthly resistance crossing at $114.782 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $109.784 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $114.445. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $114.782. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $110.513. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $109.784.



The December Euro was steady to slightly lower overnight as it extends the decline off September's high. Overnight weakness sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this year's decline, monthly support crossing at $0.93211 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1.00187 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1.00187. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1.01708. First support is the overnight low crossing at $0.96095. Second support is monthly support crossing at $0.93211.



The December British Pound was lower overnight as it extends this year's decline. Overnight trading sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends this year's decline, psychological support crossing at 1.0000 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1456 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1456. Second resistance is the September 13th high crossing at 1.1759. First support is the overnight low crossing at 1.0392. Second support is psychological support crossing at 1.0000.



The December Swiss Franc was lower overnight as it extends the decline off September's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off September's high, June's low crossing at 1.01300 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.04835 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.04835. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 1.06325. First support is June's low crossing at 1.01300. Second support is May's low crossing at 1.01135.

 

The December Canadian Dollar was lower overnight as it extends the decline off August's high. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off April's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at $72.14 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 75.61 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 74.87. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $75.61. First support is the overnight low crossing at $73.23. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at $72.14.



The December Japanese Yen was steady to lower overnight as it extends the trading range of the past three-weeks. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Thursday's high crossing at 0.071895 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If December renews this year's decline, is long-term support crossing at 0.065720 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 0.071895. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.073226. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at 0.069150. Second support is long-term support crossing at 0.065720. 

 

PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: Decembergold was lower overnight as it extends this year's decline. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December resumes the decline off August's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2016-2020 rally on the weekly chart crossing at $1610.30 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1703.50 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1703.50. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1743.60. First support is the overnight low crossing at $1633.80. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2016-2020 rally on the weekly chart crossing at $1610.30.



December silver was lower overnight and trading below the 20-day moving average crossing at 18.826 marking a possible downside breakout of the trading range of the past two-weeks. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $18.826 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If December renews the rally off September's low, August's high crossing at $21.020 is the next upside target. First resistance is the September 12th high crossing at $20.005. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $21.020. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $18.826. Second support is the September low crossing at 17.400.  



December copper was lower overnight as it extends the decline off August's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off August's high, July's low crossing at 3.1355 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.5223 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the September 13th high crossing at 3.6925. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 3.7835. First support is the overnight low crossing at 3.2740. Second support is July's low crossing at 3.1355.



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



December corn was lower overnight as it extends the decline off last-Wednesday's high, which appears to have marked a short-term double top. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and have turned neutral to bearish signaling that lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the September 16th low crossing at $6.67 1/2 would confirm that a double top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If December renews the rally off July's low, the 75% retracement level of the May-July decline crossing at $7.15 is the next upside target. First resistance is the September 12th high crossing at $6.99 1/2. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the May-July decline crossing at $7.15. First support is the September 16th low crossing at $6.67 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.40. 



December wheat was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Monday's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.52 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off August's low, the 38% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at $9.49 1/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at $9.49 1/4. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at $10.13 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.52. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.23 3/4.    



December Kansas City wheat was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Monday's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average $9.22  3/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the July 11th high crossing at $10.10 is the next upside target. First resistance is the July 11th high crossing at $10.10. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at $10.26 3/4. First support is the 10-day moving average $9.45 1/4. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.22 3/4.



December Minneapolis wheat was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off last- Monday's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at $9.06 1/2 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. Multiple closes above the July 20th high crossing at $9.67 would mark an upside breakout of the July-September trading range while opening the door for additional gains near-term. First resistance is the July 20th high crossing at $9.67. Second resistance is the July 11th high crossing at $10.56 1/4. First support is the September 7th low crossing at $8.80. Second support is the August 18th low crossing at $8.61 3/4. 



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains



November soybeans were lower overnight and sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $14.16 3/4 would open the door for a possible test of the September 8th low crossing at $13.73. If November renews the rally off the September 8th low, the 75% retracement level of June-July decline crossing at $15.12 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of June-July decline crossing at $15.12. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of June-July decline crossing at $15.47 3/4. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $14.16 3/4. Second support is the September 8th low crossing at $13.73.

 

December soybean meal was steady to slightly lower overnight as it consolidated some of the rally off July's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the September 16th low crossing at $417.50 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If December renews the rally off September's low, monthly resistance on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $457.20 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $443.80. Second resistance is monthly resistance on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $457.20. First support is the September 16th low crossing at $417.50. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $413.50.  



December soybean oil was lower overnight as it extends the August-September trading range. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends overnight weakness, the September 8th low crossing at 61.24 is the next downside target. If December renews the rally off the September 8th low, the 62% retracement level of the June-July decline crossing at 69.82 is the next upside target. First resistance is the September 13th high crossing at 68.00. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the June-July decline crossing at 69.82. First support is the September 8th low crossing at 61.24. Second support is the August 4th low crossing at 60.20.     

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



December hogs closed down $2.88 at $82.80. 



December hogs gapped down and closed sharply lower on Friday as it extends the decline off Tuesday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, September's low crossing at $81.35 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $86.13 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $86.13. Second resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $89.08. First support is today's low crossing at $82.60. Second support is September's low crossing at $81.35.  



December cattle closed down $0.68 at $148.68. 



December cattle closed lower on Friday as it extends the decline off Tuesday's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Today's close below the 50-day moving average crossing at $149.52 confirms that a double top with August's high has been posted. If December extends this week's decline, the 50% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at $147.13 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $150.49 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $152.23. Second resistance is April's high crossing at $152.38. First support is the 38% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at $148.35. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at $147.13. 



November Feeder cattle closed up $0.20 at $178.25. 



November Feeder cattle closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of the decline off August's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November extends the decline off August's high, the 75% retracement level of the May-August rally crossing at $176.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $183.57 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $183.57. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $185.70. First support is the 75% retracement level of the May-August rally crossing at $176.00. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the May-August rally crossing at $173.53.     



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



December coffee closed lower on Friday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $22.57 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If December renews the decline off August's high, the August 19th low crossing at 20.95 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $22.57. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $24.30. First support is the August 19th low crossing at $20.95. Second support is August's low crossing at 20.28.                  



December cocoa gapped down and closed sharply lower on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off August's high, weekly support on the continuation chart crossing at 19.46 is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 23.95 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.  



March sugar closed lower on Friday as it consolidated some of the rally off Monday's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the August 30h high crossing at 18.34 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If March extends this summer's decline, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 17.11 is the next downside target.     



December cotton closed limit down on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off August's high, the 87% retracement level of the July-August rally crossing at 87.46 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 103.72 would signal that a low has been posted. 

Comments
By metmike - Sept. 26, 2022, 10:20 a.m.
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Thanks tallpine!