yield curve
2 responses | 0 likes
Started by bear - Aug. 1, 2022, 12:08 p.m.

https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/10-year-minus-2-year-has-gone-negative-again-this-has-been-a-reliable-predictor-of-bad-economic-times-in-a-6-to-18-month-horizon/

so, not only a recession currently,  but, there will probably be recession in the next year or so also.  

maybe this will be similar to the double dip recession of the early 80's.  

Comments
Re: yield curve
0 likes
By metmike - Aug. 1, 2022, 1:02 p.m.
Like Reply

Thanks bear!

Re: yield curve
0 likes
By becker - Aug. 1, 2022, 6:28 p.m.
Like Reply

fwiw, a clear inv h and s pattern to be seen on the TY. The tv dope says maybe rate goes back to %2 on the 10yr. , mid 130's land.  

Check the open interest on GCv22  1875 call options;  +20k.  Who do you think owns those? Who wrote them?