INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - July 13, 2022, 4:46 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Thursday, July 14, 2022 



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 44.7K)

                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 80.1K)

                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 286.4K)



8:30 AM ET. June PPI

                       PPI, M/M% (expected +0.8%; previous +0.8%)

                       Ex-Food & Energy PPI, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +0.5%)

                       Personal Consumption (previous +0.6%)



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

                       Jobless Claims (expected 234K; previous 235K)

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +4K)

                       Continuing Claims (previous 1375000)

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous +51K)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 2311B)

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +60B)

                       

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



Friday, July 15, 2022  



8:30 AM ET. July Empire State Manufacturing Survey

                       Mfg Idx (expected -1; previous -1.2)

                       Employment Idx (previous 19.0)

                       New Orders Idx (previous 5.3)

                       Prices Received (previous 43.6)



8:30 AM ET. June Advance Monthly Sales for Retail & Food Services

                       Overall Sales-SA, M/M% (expected +0.9%; previous -0.3%)

                       Sales, Ex-Auto, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +0.5%)

                       Sales, Ex-Auto & Gas, M/M% (previous +0.1%)



8:30 AM ET. June Import & Export Price Indexes

                       Import Prices (expected +0.7%; previous +0.6%)

                       Non-Petroleum Prices (previous -0.1%)

                       Petroleum Prices (previous +6.7%)



9:15 AM ET. June Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization

                       Industrial Production, M/M% (expected +0.1%; previous +0.2%)

                       Capacity Utilization % (expected 80.5%; previous 79.0%)

                       Capacity Utilization, Net Chg (Pts) (previous +0.1)



10:00 AM ET. May Manufacturing & Trade: Inventories & Sales

                       Total Inventories (expected +1.2%; previous +1.2%)



10:00 AM ET. July University of Michigan Survey of Consumers - preliminary

                       Mid-Mo Sentiment (expected 50.2; previous 50.2)

                       Mid-Mo Expectations (previous 46.8)

                       Mid-Mo Current Idx (previous 55.4)



Monday, July 18, 2022  



10:00 AM ET. July NAHB Housing Market Index

                       Housing Mkt Idx (previous 67)



4:00 PM ET. May Treasury International Capital Data



Tuesday, July 19, 2022 



8:30 PM ET. June New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits



                       Total Starts (previous 1.549M)

                       Housing Starts, M/M% (previous -14.4%)

                       Building Permits (previous 1.695M)



                       Building Permits, M/M% (previous -7.0%)



8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y%

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y%



4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes



The Dow closed lower on Wednesday pressured by the release of June's inflation rate, which was pegged at 9.1%. This figure is the highest rate of inflation since 1981. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 30,854.08 would temper the near-term friendly outlook while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 31,784.04 would open the door for additional gains and a possible test of June's high. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 31,784.04. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 33.272.34. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at 30.355.12. Second support is June's low crossing at 29.653.29. 



The September NASDAQ 100 closed higher on Wednesday. Today's high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 11,723.27 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. If September extends the decline off last-Friday's high, The June 30th low crossing at 11,351.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average 12,133.23 would signal that the near-term trend has turned sideways to higher. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 12,133.23. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 12,973.75. First support is the June 30th low crossing at 11,351.00. Second support is June's low crossing at 11,092.50.



The September S&P 500 closed slightly higher on Wednesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the June 30th low crossing at 3741.25 would confirm that a double top with the June 28th high has been posted. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 3951.88 would open the door for additional gains near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3814.39 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the June 28th high crossing at 3950.0. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3951.88. First support is the June 30th low crossing at 3741.25. Second support is June's low crossing at 3642.00.    



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



September T-bonds closed up 30-pts. at 140-09. 



September T-bonds closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September resumes the rally off June's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 decline crossing at 143-28 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 136-22 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 142-06. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 decline crossing at 143-28. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 136-22. Second support is the June 28th low crossing at 134-08. Third support is June's low crossing at 131-01. 



September T-notes closed up 75 pts. at 118.285.



September T-notes closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September renews the rally off June's low, the 50% retracement level of the December-June decline crossing at 122.204 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.143 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is May's high crossing at 120.195. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the December-June decline crossing at 122.204. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.143. Second support is the June 28th low crossing at 116.110.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



August crude oil closed slightly higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the decline off June's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If August extends the decline off June's high, April's low crossing at $91.66 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $107.90 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $107.90. Second resistance is the June 29th high crossing at $114.05. First support is April's low crossing at $91.66. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rallycrossing at $88.16.  



August heating oil posted an inside day with a slightly higher close on Wednesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.8741 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If August renews the decline off June's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at 3.2689 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.8741. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.9846. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 3.3510. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at 3.2689.   



August unleaded gas closed lower on Wednesday as it extended the decline off June's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If August extends the decline off June's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at 2.9354 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.6330 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.6330. Second resistance is the June 29th high crossing at $3.8672. First support is today's low crossing at $3.1497. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at 2.9354.



August Henry natural gas closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 6.424 would signal that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. If August resumes the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 5.067 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 6.424. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 7.609. First support is the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 5.067 is the next downside target. Second support is the 75% retracement level of 2021-2022 rally crossing at 4.083.      



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The September Dollar closed slightly lower on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this year's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's nights session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off May's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2001-2008 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $108.717 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $105.316 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $108.420. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2001-2008 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $108.717. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $105.316. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $103.924.   



The September Euro closed slightly higher on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this year's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline, the December-2002 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $0.98540 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1.04327 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $1.02823. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1.04317. First support is today's low crossing at $1.00460. Second support is the December-2002 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $0.98540. 



The September British Pound closed slightly higher on Wednesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off May's high, the 87% retracement level of 2020-2021 rally on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.1802 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2127 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2127. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2325. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 1.1823. Second support is the 87% retracement level of 2020-2021 rally on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.1802.  

 

The September Swiss Franc closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the decline off June's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off June's high, the 75% retracement level of June's rally crossing at 1.01656 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.03709 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.03268. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.03708. First support the 75% retracement level of June's rally crossing at 1.01656. Second support is the 87% retracement level of June's rally crossing at 1.00974. 



The September Canadian Dollar closed higher on Wednesday.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 75.79 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 77.77 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 77.77. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 79.84. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at 76.43. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 75.79.



The September Japanese Yen closed lower on Wednesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off May's high, the August-1998 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 0.068730 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.076119 would signal that the short-term trend has turned neutral to high prices are possible near-term. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.074111. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.076119. First support is today's low crossing at 0.072885. Second support is the August-1998 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 0.068730.    



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



August gold closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates below the 87% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at $1744.60. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If August extends the decline off June's high, the August-2021 low crossing at $1710.20 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1795.20 would confirm that a low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $1759.60. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1795.20. First support is today's low crossing at $1704.50. Second support is the August-2021 low crossing at $1710.20.  



September silver closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the trading range of the past five-days. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off March's high, the June-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 17.015 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 20.427 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 19.468. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 20.427. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 18.630. Second support is the June-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 17.015 . 



September copper closed higher on Wednesday due to short covering but not before posting a new low for the year. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends the decline off June's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at 2.8770 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.7297 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 3.5800. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.7297. First support is the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at 3.2498. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at 2.8770.



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



December Corn closed up $0.08 3/4-cents at $5.95 1/4. 



December corn closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the decline off Monday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews the decline off May's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $5.20 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.51 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.51. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.96 1/4. First support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $5.74 3/4. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $5.20 3/4.    



September wheat closed down $0.03 1/2-cents at $8.10 3/4.  



September wheat closed lower on Wednesday as it extended the decline off Monday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off May's high, the 75% retracement level of the January-May rally crossing at $7.23 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.23 1/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.23 1/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $10.46 1/4. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $7.85 1/4. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the January-May's rally crossing at $7.23.



September Kansas City Wheat closed down $0.05 1/2-cents at $8.62 1/4.



September Kansas City wheat closed lower on Wednesday as it extended the decline off Monday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off May's high, February's low crossing at $7.64 1/2 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.84 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.84. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $11.17 1/2. First support is the 62% retracement level of the January-May rallycrossing at $8.32 3/4. Second support is February's low crossing at $7.64 1/2.



September Minneapolis wheat closed down $0.05-cents at $9.13 3/4.



September Minneapolis wheat closed lower on Wednesday as it extended the decline off Monday's  high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off May's high, the 75% retracement level of the January-May rally crossing at $8.12 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.35 1/2 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.35 1/2. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $11.65 1/2. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $8.70 1/2. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the January-May rally crossing at $8.12 3/4.

       

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



November soybeans closed up $0.06 1/2-cents at $13.49 1/2.



November soybeans closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the decline off Monday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November resumes the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $12.11 1/2 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $14.33 3/4 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $14.33 3/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $14.81 3/4. First support is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $12.99 1/4. Second support is January's low crossing at $12.76.



December soybean meal closed up $12.80 at $402.50. 



December soybean meal closed higher on Wednesday and posted a key reversal up as it consolidated some of the decline off Monday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off last-week's low, June's high crossing at $418.00 is the next upside target. If December renews the decline off last-Thursday's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $365.40 is the next downside target. First resistance is June's high crossing at $418.00. Second resistance is the April 21st high crossing at $429.60. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $375.30. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $365.40.  



December soybean oil closed down 121-pts. at 56.71. 



December soybean oil closed lower on Wednesday as it extended the decline off Monday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 53.93 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Tuesday's gap crossing at 62.01 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance last-Tuesday's gap crossing at 62.01. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 64.79. First support is today's low crossing at 55.58. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 53.93.

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



August hogs closed up $1.50 at $110.50. 



August hogs gapped up and closed higher on Wednesday as it extended the rally off June's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Thursday's high crossing at $111.75 would open the door for additional gains near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $106.39 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $111.75. Second resistance is the April 28th high crossing at $114.30. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $106.39. Second support is June's low crossing at $100.25. 



August cattle closed up $0.20 at $136.88 



August cattle closed higher on Wednesday as it extended the rally off June's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off June's low, June's high crossing at $137.95 is the next upside target. Closes below Monday's low crossing at $132.88 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the June 9th high crossing at $137.95. Second resistance is the bottom of the April 25th gap crossing at $138.75. Third resistance is the top of the April 25th gap crossing at $140.27. First support Monday's low crossing at $132.88. Second support is June's low crossing at $131.70. Third support is May's low crossing at $129.97.    



August Feeder cattle closed up $1.23 at $180.80. 



August Feeder cattle closed higher on Wednesday as it extended the rally off Monday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a higher opening when Thursday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends this week's rally, March's high crossing at $182.10 is the next upside target. Close below Monday's low crossing at $170.00 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is March's high crossing at $182.10. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $187.10. First support is Monday's low crossing at $170.00. Second support is the May 31st low crossing at $164.75. Third support is May's low crossing at $162.80.    



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



September coffee posted an inside day with a higher close on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the decline off June's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible. If September extends the decline off June's high, May's low crossing at $20.24 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $22.32 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $22.32. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $22.90. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at $20.47. Second support is May's low crossing at $20.24.                    



September cocoa closed sharply lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off April's high, the November-2020 low crossing at 22.75 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 23.77 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.   



October sugar closed higher on Wednesday as it extended the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Today's close above the 50-day moving average crossing at 19.04 confirms that a short-term low has been posted. If October extends the aforementioned rally, June's high crossing at 19.89 is the next upside target. If October renews the decline off May's high, the February 28th low crossing at 17.57 is the next downside target.                      



October cotton gapped down and closed lower on Wednesday as it renewed the decline off May's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the decline off May's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 87.67 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 108.62 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. 

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By metmike - July 13, 2022, 4:58 p.m.
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Thanks again tallpine!

You never know what to expect with the markets today.

Grain had a bit of a bounce after spiking lower last night and closing higher but off the highs:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/86953/#87074

USDA (wild)guess:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/87021/




Natural gas: 

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/86665/


Weather:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83698/