INO Morning Market Commentary
1 response | 0 likes
Started by tallpine - July 12, 2022, 7:52 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

 



 

 

Tuesday, July 12, 2022  

 



 

 

6:00 AM ET. June NFIB Index of Small Business Optimism

 

                       Small Business Idx (expected 93.0; previous 93.1)

 



 

 

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +12.3%)

 

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +13.1%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. July IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

 

                       Economic Optimism Idx (previous 38.1)

 

                       6-Mo Economic Outlook (previous 30.6)

 



 

 

12:00 PM ET. World Agricultural Supply & Demand Estimates (WASDE)

 

                       Corn, End Stocks (Bushels)

 

                       Soybeans, End Stocks (Bushels)

 

                       Wheat, End Stocks (Bushels)

 

                       Cotton, End Stocks (Bales)

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

 

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +3.8M)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -1.8M)

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -0.6M)

 



 

 

Wednesday, July 13, 2022

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 

                       Composite Idx (previous 305.3)

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -5.4%)

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 232.6)

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -4.3%)

 

                       Refinance Idx (previous 670.3)

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -7.7%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. June Real Earnings

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. June CPI

 

                       CPI, M/M% (expected +1.1%; previous +1%)

 

                       Core CPI, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +0.6%)

 

                       Energy Idx, M/M% (previous +3.9%)

 

                       Food Idx, M/M% (previous +1.2%)

 

                       Real Avg Wkly Pay-Infla Adj, M/M% (previous -0.7%)

 

                       CPI, Y/Y% (expected +8.8%; previous +8.6%)

 

                       Core Annual, Y/Y% (expected +5.7%; previous +6%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. June Online Help Wanted Index

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 423.8M)

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +8.234M)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 219.112M)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -2.496M)

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 111.135M)

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.266M)

 

                       Refinery Usage (previous 94.5%)

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 20.464M)

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous +0.467M)

 

                        

 

2:00 PM ET. U.S. Federal Reserve Beige Book

 



 

 

2:00 PM ET. June Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts & Outlays of the U.S. Govt.

 



 

 

Thursday, July 14, 2022  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

 

                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 44.7K)

 

                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 80.1K)

 

                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 286.4K)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. June PPI

 

                       PPI, M/M% (expected +0.8%; previous +0.8%)

 

                       Ex-Food & Energy PPI, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +0.5%)

 

                       Personal Consumption (previous +0.6%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

 

                       Jobless Claims (expected 234K; previous 235K)

 

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +4K)

 

                       Continuing Claims (previous 1375000)

 

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous +51K)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

 

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 2311B)

 

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +60B)

 

                        

 

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

 



 

 

Friday, July 15, 2022   

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. July Empire State Manufacturing Survey

 

                       Mfg Idx (expected -1; previous -1.2)

 

                       Employment Idx (previous 19.0)

 

                       New Orders Idx (previous 5.3)

 

                       Prices Received (previous 43.6)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. June Advance Monthly Sales for Retail & Food Services

 

                       Overall Sales-SA, M/M% (expected +0.9%; previous -0.3%)

 

                       Sales, Ex-Auto, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +0.5%)

 

                       Sales, Ex-Auto & Gas, M/M% (previous +0.1%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. June Import & Export Price Indexes

 

                       Import Prices (expected +0.7%; previous +0.6%)

 

                       Non-Petroleum Prices (previous -0.1%)

 

                       Petroleum Prices (previous +6.7%)

 



 

 

9:15 AM ET. June Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization

 

                       Industrial Production, M/M% (expected +0.1%; previous +0.2%)

 

                       Capacity Utilization % (expected 80.5%; previous 79.0%)

 

                       Capacity Utilization, Net Chg (Pts) (previous +0.1)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. May Manufacturing & Trade: Inventories & Sales

 

                       Total Inventories (expected +1.2%; previous +1.2%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. July University of Michigan Survey of Consumers - preliminary

 

                       Mid-Mo Sentiment (expected 50.2; previous 50.2)

 

                       Mid-Mo Expectations (previous 46.8)

 

                       Mid-Mo Current Idx (previous 55.4)

 



 

 

Monday, July 18, 2022   

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. July NAHB Housing Market Index

 

                       Housing Mkt Idx (previous 67)

 



 

 

4:00 PM ET. May Treasury International Capital Data

 



 

 

Tuesday, July 19, 2022  

 



 

 

8:30 PM ET. June New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits

 



 

 

                       Total Starts (previous 1.549M)

 

                       Housing Starts, M/M% (previous -14.4%)

 

                       Building Permits (previous 1.695M)

 



 

 

                       Building Permits, M/M% (previous -7.0%)

 



 

 

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y%

 

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y%

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

 

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 



 

 

The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes  

 



 

The STOCK INDEXES: The September NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it consolidates some of last-week's rally.The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 11,711.61 would temper the near-term friendly outlook while opening the door for a test of the June 30th low crossing at 11,351.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 12,155.75 would open the door for additional gains and a possible test of June's high crossing at 12,973.75. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 12,155.75. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 12,973.75. First support is the June 30th low crossing at 11,351.00. Second support is June's low crossing at 11,068.50.  



The September S&P 500 was steady to lower overnight as it consolidates some of last-week's rally. Overnight trading sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3815.89 would temper the near-term friendly outlook while opening the door for additional weakness and a possible test of the June 30th low crossing at 3741.25 is the next downside target. If September resumes the rally off June's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 3958.22 is the next upside target. First resistance is the June 28th high crossing at 3950.00. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3958.22. First support is the June 30th low crossing at 3741.25. Second support is June's low crossing at 3642.00.  



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: September T-bonds were higher overnight as it consolidates some of last week's decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September renews the rally off June's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 decline crossing at 143-25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 136-11 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 142-06. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 decline crossing at 143-25. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 136-11. Second support is June's low crossing at 131-01.



September T-notes was higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September renews the rally off June's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2021-2022 decline crossing at 122.204 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.089 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is May's high crossing at 120.195. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2021-2022 decline crossing at 122.204 is the next downside target. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.089. Second support is the June 28th low crossing at 116.110.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



ENERGIES:August crude oil was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Wednesday's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish with overnight weakness signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If August resumes the decline off June's high, the April 25th low crossing at $93.45 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $108.06 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $104.49. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $108.09. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $95.10. Second support is the April 25th low crossing at $93.45.



August heating oil was steady to lower overnight and sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.0099 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If August renews the decline off June's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $3.2689 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.8712. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.0099. First support is the last-Wednesday's low crossing at $3.3510. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 3.2689.



August unleaded gas was sharply lower overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish with overnight weakness signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.6344 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If August renews the decline off June's high, the April 25th low crossing at 2.9974 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.4984. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.6343. First support is May's low crossing at $3.1835. Second support is the April 25th low crossing at 2.9974.  



August Henry natural gas was higher overnight as it extends the rally off the July 5th low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 6.547 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If August resumes the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of 2020-2022 rally crossing at 5.067 is the next downside target. First resistance is 20-day moving average crossing at 6.547. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 7.632. First support is the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 5.067. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 4.083.    



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The September Dollar was steady to higher overnight as it extends this year's rally. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends this year's rally, the 75% retracement level of the 2001-2008 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $108.717 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $105.187 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $108.420. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2001-2008 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $108.717. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $105.187. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $103.821.  



The September Euro was lower overnight as it extends this year's decline. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off May's high, the December 2002 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $0.98540 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1.04506 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $1.03276. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1.04506. First support is the overnight low crossing at $1.00480. Second support is the December 2002 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $0.98540.  



The September British Pound was steady to lower overnight and sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading.Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews this year's decline, the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.1802 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2136 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2136. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2338. First support is the overnight low crossing at 1.1823. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.1802.



The September Swiss Franc was lower overnight as it extends the decline off June's high. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off June's high, the 75% retracement level of June's rally crossing at 1.01656 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.03838 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.03838. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 1.05910. First support is the 75% retracement level of June's rally crossing at 1.01656. Second support is the 87% retracement level of June's rally crossing at 1.00974. 

 

The September Canadian Dollar was lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish with overnight weakness signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at $75.79 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $77.78 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $77.78. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $79.84. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $76.43. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at $75.79.



The September Japanese Yen was steady to higher overnight as it consolidates some of Monday's decline, which marked a downside breakout of the trading range of the past three-weeks. Overnight trading sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off May's high, the August-1998 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 0.068730 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.076212 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.074198. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.076212. First support is Monday's low crossing at 0.072940. Second support is the September-1990 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 0.072160.  

 

PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: Augustgold was steady to higher overnight and sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If August extends the decline off June's high, the August-2021 low crossing at $1710.20 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average $1800.80 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average $1769.80. Second is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1800.80. First support is the overnight low crossing at $1721.60. Second support is the August-2021 low crossing at $1710.20.



September silver was steady to lower overnight as it extends the trading range of the past four-days. The mid-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off March's high, the June-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $17.015 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $20.535 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $19.636. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 20.535. First support is the overnight low crossing at $18.630. Second support is the June-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $17.015.



September copper was lower overnight as it extends the decline off last-Thursday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September resumes the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 3.2498 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.7780 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.5563. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.7780. First support is the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 3.2498. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 2.8770. 



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



December corn was lower overnight and filled Monday's gap crossing at $6.26 following yesterday's poor close. Overnight weakness sets the stage for a lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.58 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. If December renews the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $5.20 3/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.58 3/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.99 3/4. First support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $5.74 3/4. Second support is the January low crossing at $5.42 1/2.   



September wheat was lower overnight as it extends Monday's losses, which also marked a downside reversal signaling that rally off last-Wednesday's low may have come to an end. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.38 1/4 are needed to signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off May's high, the 75% retracement level of the January-May high crossing at $7.23 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.38 1/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $10.51 3/4. First support is the February 16th low crossing at $7.77 1/2. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the January-May high crossing at $7.23.  



September Kansas City wheat was lower overnight following Monday's downside reversal. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.01 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off May's high, February's low crossing at $7.64 1/2 the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.01. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $11.23 1/4. First support is the 62% retracement level of the January-May rally crossing at $8.32 3/4. Second support is the February's low crossing at $7.64 1/2.



September Minneapolis wheat was lower overnight as it extends Monday's losses. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.52 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline of May's high, the 75% retracement level of the January-May rally crossing at $8.12 3/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.52 3/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $11.71. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $8.70 1/2. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the January-May high crossing at $8.12 3/4. 

     

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains



November soybeans was lower overnight filling Monday's gap crossing at $13.98 3/4 as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Wednesday's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If November extends the rally off last-Wednesday's low, the 20-day moving average crossing at $14.45 is the next upside target. If November resumes the decline off June's high, the 38% retracement level of the crossing at $12.99 1/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $14.45. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $14.85 3/4. First support is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $12.99 1/4. Second support is January's low crossing at $12.74.

 

December soybean meal was lower overnight as it extends Monday's loss. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low, June's high crossing at $418.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $395.40 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is June's high crossing at $418.00. Second resistance is April's high crossing at $419.10. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $375.30. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $365.40. 



December soybean oil was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Wednesday's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Tuesday's gap crossing at 62.01 would temper the near-term bearish outlook while opening the door for additional short-covering gains. If December renews this month's decline, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 53.93 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's gap crossing at 62.01. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 65.81. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 55.69. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 53.93.   

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



August hogs closed down $0.80 at $108.38. 



August hogs closed lower on Monday as it consolidated some of the rally off June's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $105.91 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above last-Thursday's high crossing at $111.75 would open the door for additional gains near-term. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $111.75. Second resistance is the April 28th high crossing at $114.30. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $105.91. Second support is June's low crossing at $100.25. 



August cattle closed up $2.20 at $136.15 



August cattle posted a key reversal up as it closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off June's low, June's high crossing at $137.95 is the next upside target. Closes below June's low crossing at $131.70 would open the door for a test of May's low crossing at $129.97. First resistance is the June 9th high crossing at $137.95. Second resistance is the bottom of the April 25th gap crossing at $138.75. Third resistance is the top of the April 25th gap crossing at $140.27. First support is June's low crossing at $131.70. Second support is May's low crossing at $129.97.   



August Feeder cattle closed up $3.15 at $174.88. 



August Feeder cattle posted a key reversal up as it closed sharply higher on Monday as it extended the June-July trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a higher opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above June's high crossing at $176.88 would mark an upside breakout of the aforementioned trading range. Close below the June 13th low crossing at $169.40 would mark a downside breakout of the aforementioned trading range while open the door for a possible test of the May 31st low crossing at $164.75. First resistance is June's high crossing at $176.88. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $177.50. First support is the June 13th low crossing at $169.40. Second support is the May 31st low crossing at $164.75. Third support is May's low crossing at $162.80.    



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



September coffee closed sharply lower on Monday low as it extends the decline off June's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible. If September extends the decline off June's high, the May 24th low crossing at $21.14 is the next downside target. Closes above July's high crossing at $22.90 would temper the bearish outlook. First resistance is July's high crossing at $22.90. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 24.18. First support is the May 24th low crossing at $21.14. Second support is May's low crossing at $20.24.                    



September cocoa closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 23.84 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off April's high, the November-2020 low crossing at 22.75 is the next downside target.  



October sugar posted an inside day with a lower close on Monday as it consolidated some of the rally off last-Tuesday's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 19.06 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If October renews the decline off May's high, the February 28th low crossing at 17.57 is the next downside target.                      



October cotton closed slightly lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the decline off May's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 87.67 is the next downside target. Closes above the June 23rd gap crossing at 114.66 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. 

Comments
By metmike - July 12, 2022, 12:39 p.m.
Like Reply

Thanks tallpine!

USDA was bearish beans and rain creeping back in, especially ECB in week 2 have made the weather less bullish as the heat ridge continues to back up west but STILL bullish.........Crude down $8 pressuring all markets.

Cooler for NG?

Crude down $8!