LIVESTOCK: August live cattle closed down $0.80 at
107.92 today. Prices closed nearer the session low on
profit taking after hitting a four-month high on Monday.
The bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage.
August feeder cattle closed down $0.52 at $152.72 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today. The feeder cattle
market bulls have the firm overall near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a two-month-old uptrend on the
daily bar chart.
August lean hogs closed down $0.92 at $65.50 today. Prices
closed near the session low and hit another contract low
today. The hog bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage.
GRAINS: December corn futures closed down 4 cents at
$3.67 1/4 today. Prices closed near mid-range and saw some
downside corrective action after hitting a two-week high on
Monday. The bears have the overall near-term technical
advantage. But now there are early chart clues that a
market bottom is in place.
November soybeans closed up 11 1/4 cents at $8.74 a bushel
today. Prices closed nearer the session high, hit a two-
week high and scored a bullish “outside day” up on the
daily bar chart. There was a bullish “key reversal” up
confirmed on the daily bar chart last week, which is one
early chart clue that a market bottom is in place. Also, a
bullish weekly high close last Friday was a better chart
clue that the bean market has put in a bottom. But make no
mistake, the bulls have some heavy lifting to do in the
near term to suggest a near-term price uptrend can be
sustained.
December soybean meal closed up $1.40 at $326.80 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Prices are
still in a two-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
December bean oil closed up 26 points at 28.58 cents today.
Prices closed near the session high today on short
covering. The bears still have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage.
December SRW wheat closed down 2 3/4 cents at $5.29 1/2
today. Prices closed near mid-range on more mild profit
taking after hitting a five-week high on Monday. SRW bulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage.
December HRW wheat closed down 1/2 cent at $5.36 1/4 today.
Prices closed near mid-range and hit a five-week high
today. The bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term
technical playing field.
SOFTS: October sugar closed up 11 points at 11.19 cents
today. Prices closed near mid-range today on tepid short
covering. Prices are not far above the recent contract low.
The sugar bears have the solid overall near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the
daily bar chart.
September coffee closed down 90 points at 110.75 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session low and scored a
bearish “outside day” down today. The bears have the firm
overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a
seven-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
September cocoa closed down $42 at $2,257 a ton today.
Prices closed nearer the session low and hit another four-
month low today. The cocoa bears have the overall near-term
technical advantage.
December cotton closed down 49 points at 86.32 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. The bulls still
have the near-term technical advantage.
September orange juice closed down 195 points at $1.6590
today. Prices closed nearer the session low on more profit
taking. Bulls still have the firm overall near-term
technical advantage. However, there is very strong chart
resistance near the recent highs.
September lumber futures closed up $7.20 at $484.50 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The bears have
the overall near-term technical advantage.
METALS: August gold futures closed down $0.40 at
$1,225.20 today. Prices closed near mid-range. Prices are
not far above last week’s 12-month-low. The gold bears have
the solid overall near-term technical advantage. There are
no strong, early clues to suggest a market bottom is close
at hand.A three-month-old downtrend is in place on the
daily bar chart.
September silver futures closed up $0.095 at $15.52 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and scored a
mildly bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. The
silver bears have the solid overall near-term technical
advantage. There are no early clues to suggest a market
bottom is close at hand.
September N.Y. copper closed up 635 points at 281.05 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today and
scored a bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart.
Heavy short covering was featured. The copper bears still
have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.
ENERGIES: September Nymex crude oil closed up $0.93 at
$68.82 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today.
The bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage.
September heating oil closed up 258 points at $2.1487
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The
bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage.
September (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 172 points at
$2.0700 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The
bulls have the slight overall near-term technical
advantage.
September natural gas closed up 1.9 cents at $2.714 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bears have the
firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a
five-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
CURRENCIES: The September Euro
currency closed down 10 points at 1.1726 today. Prices
closed near mid-range today. The bears have the firm
overall near-term technical advantage, amid recent sideways
and choppy trading.
The September Japanese yen closed up 165 points at .90190
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Short covering
has been featured recently. Bears still have the firm
overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-
week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
The September Swiss franc closed down 10 points at 1.0106
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The Swissy bears
still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.
The September Canadian dollar closed up 11 points at .7608
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The
bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.
The September British pound closed up 39 points at 1.3169
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The
bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.
Prices are in a three-month-old downtrend on the daily bar
chart.
The September U.S. dollar index closed down 0.040 at 94.400
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. A bearish “key
reversal” down has been confirmed on the daily bar chart,
which is one early chart clue that a market top is in
place. But right now the bulls still have the overall near-
term technical advantage.
September U.S. T-Bonds closed up 8/32 at 143 1/32 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high on short covering
after hitting a five-week low early on today. The bond
market bears have the overall near-term technical
advantage.
September U.S. T Notes closed steady at 119.15.5 today.
Prices closed near mid-range and hit another four-week low
today. The bears have the overall near-term technical
advantage.
GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: The U.S. stock indexes closed
higher today, with new multi-month or contract highs
scored. World stock markets were also mostly higher
overnight. Featured in the marketplace early this week is
rising world government bond yields, on ideas the major
central banks of the world will embark upon rolling back
their heretofore easy monetary policies. Reports say the
Bank of Japan is on the verge of scaling back its very
accommodative policies. The key “outside markets” today
find Nymex crude oil prices higher and trading just below
$69.00 a barrel. Meantime, the U.S. dollar index is weaker
today. The big U.S. economic data point of the week is
Friday’s first estimate of gross domestic product (GDP).
The number is expected to come in at up a strong 4.4%.
However, some analysts are even calling for a number of
5.0% or just above.
Thanks much Ken!