Crop conditions last week:
Crop progress/conditions week of 5-2-22
15 responses |
Started by metmike - May 2, 2022, 11:48 a.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83907/
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This week:
https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog2022.txt
U.S. #corn planting is the slowest in 9 years, #soybeans the slowest in 3 years, spring #wheat slowest in 11 years. #Cotton planting is normal so far. Winter wheat conditions improved to 29% good/exc but that is still very low historically.
Expectations below:
U.S. #corn planting progress as of Sunday is expected to have reached 25% - normal is 50%. #Soybeans are seen 16% planted vs normal of 24%. Winter #wheat conditions are seen up 1 pt.
Only 22% of U.S. #corn was planted by Sunday, the slowest pace for the date since 2013 and well behind the 50% average. That is up from 14% last week. Trade expected progress at 25%.
Same as last week, the worst U.S. #corn planting delays as of Sunday were in top growers Iowa and Illinois, who were 49 and 43 percentage points behind normal. Just 22% of the crop had been planted nationally, down 28 points from normal.
The big rain event last week helped the HRW to improve:
Soilmoisture anomaly:
These maps sometimes take a day to catch up to incorporate the latest data(the bottom map is only updated once a week).
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml#
Here's the latest weather for the next 2 weeks and for the Summer:
This is what April rain looked like in Mato Grosso. Among lowest ever, worst since 2016. Second corn was terrible in 2016 but it was also planted much later than in 2022, so that helps this year. May rains are usually much lighter than April, which is why April is critical.