INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - March 14, 2022, 7:22 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

 



 

 

Monday, March 14, 2022   

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. January State Employment and Unemployment

 



 

 

Tuesday, March 15, 2022  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. March Empire State Manufacturing Survey

 



 

 

                       Mfg Idx (previous 3.1)

 

                       Employment Idx (previous 23.1)

 

                       New Orders Idx (previous 1.4)

 

                       Prices Received (previous 54.1)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February PPI

 



 

 

                       PPI, M/M% (previous +1.0%)

 

                       Ex-Food & Energy PPI, M/M% (previous +0.8%)

 

                       Personal Consumption (previous +0.8%)

 



 

 

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +13.1%)

 

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +13.1%)

 



 

 

4:00 PM ET. January Treasury International Capital Data

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

 



 

 

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +2.8M)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -2.0M)

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -5.5M)

 

  N/A               U.S. Federal Open Market Committee meeting

 



 

 

Wednesday, March 16, 2022   

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx (previous 502.5)

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous +8.5%)

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 267.6)

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous +8.6%)

 

                       Refinance Idx (previous 1829.7)

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous +8.5%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February Advance Monthly Sales for Retail & Food Services

 



 

 

                       Overall Sales-SA, M/M% (previous +3.8%)

 

                       Sales, Ex-Auto, M/M% (previous +3.3%)

 

                       Sales, Ex-Auto & Gas, M/M% (previous +3.8%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February Import & Export Price Indexes

 



 

 

                       Import Prices (previous +2%)

 

                       Non-Petroleum Prices (previous +1.4%)

 

                       Petroleum Prices (previous +9.5%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. January Manufacturing & Trade: Inventories & Sales

 



 

 

                       Total Inventories (previous +2.1%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. March NAHB Housing Market Index

 



 

 

                       Housing Mkt Idx (previous 82)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 411.562M)

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.863M)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 244.606M)

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.405M)

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 113.874M)

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -5.23M)

 

                       Refinery Usage (previous 89.3%)

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 21.21M)

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous +0.38M)

 

                        

 

2:00 PM ET. Federal Reserve economic projections

 



 

 

                       Median Fed Funds Rate - 2021 (previous 0.1%)

 

                       Median Fed Funds Rate - 2022 (previous 0.9%)

 

                       Median Fed Funds Rate - 2023 (previous 1.6%)

 

                       Median Fed Funds Rate - 2024 (previous 2.1%)

 



 

 

2:00 PM ET. U.S. interest rate decision

 



 

 

                       Federal Funds Rate

 

                       Federal Funds Rate Change (Pts)

 

                       Fed Funds Rate-Range High (previous 0.25)

 

                       Fed Funds Rate-Range Low (previous 0.00)

 

                       FOMC Vote For Action (previous 9)

 

                       FOMC Vote Against Action (previous 0)

 

                       Discount Rate (previous 0.25)

 

                       Discount Rate Change (Pts) (previous +0)

 

                       Discount Rate-Range High

 

                       Discount Rate-Range Low

 



 

 

Thursday, March 17, 2022  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. March Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey

 



 

 

                       Business Activity (previous 16.0)

 

                       Prices Paid (previous 69.3)

 

                       Employment (previous 32.3)

 

                       New Orders (previous 14.2)

 

                       Prices Received (previous 49.8)

 

                       Delivery Times (previous 23.0)

 

                       Inventories (previous 4.0)

 

                       Shipments (previous 13.4)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits

 



 

 

                       Total Starts (previous 1.638M)

 

                       Housing Starts, M/M% (previous -4.1%)

 

                       Building Permits (previous 1.899M)

 

                       Building Permits, M/M% (previous +0.7%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims (previous 227K)

 

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +11K)

 

                       Continuing Claims (previous 1494000)

 

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous +25K)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

 



 

 

                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 2166.6K)

 

                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 3099.3K)

 

                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 370.2K)

 



 

 

9:15 AM ET. February Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization

 



 

 

                       Industrial Production, M/M% (previous +1.4%)

 

                       Capacity Utilization % (previous 77.6%)

 

                       Capacity Utilization, Net Chg (Pts) (previous +1)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 1519B)

 

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous -124B)

 

                        

 

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

 



 

 

Friday, March 18, 2022  

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. January Metropolitan Area Employment & Unemployment

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. February Existing Home Sales

 



 

 

                       Existing Sales (previous 6.5M)

 

                       Existing Sales, M/M% (previous +6.7%)

 

                       Unsold Homes Month's Supply (previous 1.6)

 

                       Median Price (USD) (previous 350300)

 

                       Median Home Price, Y/Y% (previous +15.4%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. February Leading Indicators

 



 

 

                       Leading Index, M/M% (previous -0.3%)

 

                       Leading Index (previous 119.6)

 

                       Coincident Index, M/M% (previous +0.5%)

 

                       Lagging Index, M/M% (previous +0.7%)

 


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes  

 



 

The STOCK INDEXES: The June NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it consolidates some of last-Friday's decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off February's high, the March-2021 low crossing at 12,727.50 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 13,904.89 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 13,907.89. Second resistance is the March 3rd high crossing at 14,389.00. First support is February's low crossing at 13,031.00. Second support is the March-2021 low crossing at 12,727.50.



The June S&P 500 was higher overnight as it consolidates some of last-Friday's decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 4308.14 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June renews the decline off February's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 4018.92 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 4308.14. Second resistance is the March 3rd high crossing at 4410.50. First support is February's low crossing at 4094.26. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 4018.92. 



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: June T-bonds was sharply lower overnight as it extends the decline off March's high. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off Monday's high, February's low crossing at 151-29 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 156-24 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 156-24. Second resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 160-12. First support is the February 25th low crossing at 153-10. Second support is February's low crossing at 151-29.



June T-notes was sharply lower overnight and posted a new contract low as it extends the decline off last-Monday's high. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this week's decline, weekly support on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 123.084 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 127.122 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 126.224. Second resistance the 50-day moving average crossing at 127.121. First support is the overnight low crossing at 125.050. Second support is weekly support on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 123.084.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



ENERGIES:May crude oil was lower overnight as it extends the decline off last-Monday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $98.86 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If May resumes the rally off December's low, the July-2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $147.27 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $126.42. Second resistance is the July-2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $147.27. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $98.86. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $89.06.



May heating oil was lower in late-overnight as it extends the decline off last-Wednesday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.0784 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If May resumes the rally above the 2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $4.1586, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $4.3138. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.0784. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.7443. 



May unleaded gas was lower overnight. The low-range trade overnight sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.0711 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If May resumes the rally off December's low, the all-time high posted in July-2008 on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $4.1140 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $3.8075. Second resistance is the July-2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $4.1140. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.0711. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.7705.    



May Henry natural gas was lower overnight and is poised to resume the decline off last-Monday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.595 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If May renews the rally off February's low, last-November's high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 5.562 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 5.199. Second resistance is last-November's high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 5.562. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.595. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 4.262.  



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The June Dollar was lower overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June renews the rally off February's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $100.26 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $97.30 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $99.47. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $100.26. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $97.79. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $97.30.



The June Euro was higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $111.88 would signal that a short-term low has likely been posted. If June renews the decline off February's high, the March-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $106.71 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $111.88. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $113.05. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at $108.46. Second support is the March-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $106.71.



The June British Pound was steady to slightly higher in late-overnight trading and sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off January's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally on the weekly chart crossing at 1.2894is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3344 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.3174. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3344. First support is the overnight low crossing at 1.3003. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally on the weekly chart crossing at 1.2894.



The June Swiss Franc was steady to slightly higher in late-overnight trading. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off February's high, the March-2021 low crossing at 1.0713 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0896 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.0844. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0896. First support is the overnight low crossing at 1.0719. Second support is the March-2021 low crossing at 1.0713.  

 

The June Canadian Dollar was lower overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $78.79 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June renews the decline off January's high, December's low crossing at $77.19 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $78.79. Second resistance is the March 3rd high crossing at $79.44. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $77.51. Second support is December's low crossing at $77.19. 



The June Japanese Yen was sharply lower overnight as it extends the decline off December's high. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that a sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March renews the decline off January's high, the 87% retracement level of the 2015-2016-rally on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 0.082304 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.086997 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 0.086489. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.086997. First support is the overnight low crossing at 0.084895. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2015-2016-rally on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 0.082304.  

 

PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: Aprilgold was lower overnight as it extends the decline off last-Tuesday's high. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $1933.90 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If April resumes the rally off January's low, the August-2020 low crossing at $2117.10 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at $2061.00. Second resistance is the August-2020 high crossing at $2117.10. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $1974.60. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1933.90.



May silver was lower due to profit taking overnight. The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $24.949 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If May resumes the rally off February's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at $28.134 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $27.495. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at $28.134. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $24.949. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $23.879.   



May copper was sharply overnight as it extends the decline off last-Monday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends this month's decline, the February 24th low crossing at 4.4470 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 4.6782 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 4.6782. Second resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 5.0395. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 4.5131. Second support is the February 24th low crossing at 4.4470.



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



May corn was lower overnight due to spillover weakness from the energy markets. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $7.04 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If May renews the rally off September's low, the June-2011 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $7.99 3/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is the March 4th high crossing at $7.82 3/4. Second resistance is the June-2011 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $7.99 3/4. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $7.28 3/4. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $7.4 1/4. 



May wheat was sharply lower overnight as it extends last-week's huge decline. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends last-week's decline, the 62% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at $9.77 3/4 is the next downside target. If May renews the rally off February's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $13.63 1/2. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 50% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at $10.51 1/2. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.94.



May Kansas City wheat was sharply lower overnight as it extends the decline off last-Monday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off last-Monday's high, the 50% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at $10.23 1/2 is the next downside target. If May renews the rally off January's low, the 2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $13.84 3/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $12.99 1/2. Second resistance is the 2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $13.84 3/4. First support is the 50% retracement level of the January-March rallycrossing at $10.23 1/2. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.97 3/4.



May Minneapolis wheat was lower overnight as it erased last-Friday's gains. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.36 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If May renews the rally off January's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2008-2009 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $12.21 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $12.11 3/4. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2008-2009 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $12.21 1/2. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.36 1/4. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the January-March rally crossing at $10.01 1/4. 

     

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains



May soybeans was lower overnight as it extends the trading range of the past two weeks. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. If May renews the rally off November's low, the September-2012 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $17.89 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $16.41 3/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is February's high crossing at $17.59 1/4. Second resistance is the September-2012 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $17.89. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $16.41 3/4. Second support is the February 25th low crossing at $15.79.

 

May soybean meal was higher overnight and spiked to a new contract high as it extends the rally off last-October's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off last-October's low, psychological resistance crossing at $500.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $457.50 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $491.60. Second resistance is psychological resistance crossing at $500.00. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $457.50. Second resistance is the February 25th low crossing at $441.70. 



May soybean oil was lower overnight as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 71.82 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If May renews the rally off December's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 78.58. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 71.82. Second support is the February 25th low crossing at 68.22.       


LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



April hogs closed up $2.75 at $102.85. 



April hogs closed higher on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April extends the decline off February's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 97.67 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Friday's gap crossing at $105.05 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $107.45. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $112.85. First support is Monday's low crossing at $98.47. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $97.67. 



April cattle closed up $1.40 at $137.30 



April cattle closed higher on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $141.90 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If April extends the decline off February's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022-rally crossing at $132.46 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $138.39. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $141.90. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $133.50. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022-rally crossing at $132.46. 



April Feeder cattle closed up $1.65 at $157.90. 



April feeder cattle posted an inside day with a higher close on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April resumes the decline off February's high, the 87% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at $152.09 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $164.59 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $159.69. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $164.59. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $154.27. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at $152.09. 



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



May coffee closed lower on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off February's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022-rally crossing at 20.24 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 23.80 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.              



May cocoa closed lower on Friday as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Tuesday's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off March's low, the January 20th high crossing at 27.33 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 25.99 would signal that a short-term top has been posted.    



May sugar closed higher on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 18.31 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If May renews the rally off February's low, November's high crossing at 20.29 is the next upside target.            



May cotton closed sharply higher on Friday and above the 20-day moving average crossing at 119.54 signaling that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends today's rally, the March 1st high crossing at 123.31 is the next upside target. If May renews the decline off February's high, the 50% retracement level of the December-February rally crossing at 113.54 is the next downside target. 

Comments
By metmike - March 14, 2022, 11:44 a.m.
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Thanks tallpine!