beans
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Started by tar - Jan. 11, 2018, 3:32 p.m.

stop out yesterday @ 964.75 on the may beans ya the trade was a bummer -14 cents will keep trying 

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Re: beans
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By mcfarm - Jan. 11, 2018, 6:24 p.m.
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I think 77 cents down since dec is enough. would think this report and some weather may spark a rally..the Rosario grain exchange has cut SA bean plantings 300,000 hectares due to drought

Re: Re: beans
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By Jim_M - Jan. 11, 2018, 10:52 p.m.
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You think increasing ES is bullish?  330k acres is a lot, but it's not really.  Analyst guesses for the SA crop are already creeping up.

By mcfarm - Jan. 12, 2018, 7:11 a.m.
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no, I do not see bullish. However I do see the boat entirely loaded on one side, which is not where I want to be

By jim - Jan. 12, 2018, 10:10 a.m.
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There is plenty of room for many more shorts. The market is way over valued. Today we

will likely see the carryout move over 500 MB.  In all likelihood, it will grow to near 600 MB. While everyone was watching the shiny object (Arg) crops kept getting larger in BRazil. We will probably see a +115 MMT crop there. 

Bottom line > 9.37, then 9.11 and down the road a test of that 8.44 area........

By Vandenplas - Jan. 12, 2018, 10:57 a.m.
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I agree.

By mcfarm - Jan. 12, 2018, 11 a.m.
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damn Jim, you don't have to give us all the good news at once

By tar - Jan. 12, 2018, 11 a.m.
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hope you are right Jim I will buy sharply low report with 14 day rsi @ 30, bullish sediment  lowest it has been since August.Dollar is collapsing.  Thing always look terrible @ the bottom and fantastic at the top.  All bull market start @ the bottom.  

careful boys
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By frey_1999 - Jan. 12, 2018, 11:17 a.m.
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US yields will be coming down on this report will it offset lower exports not sure but could see a 1 bu. reduction in bean yields and a 2 bu. reduction in corn

By mcfarm - Jan. 12, 2018, 11:23 a.m.
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hope you are correct on yields cause I hear corn going to 178 this report

By jim - Jan. 12, 2018, 11:27 a.m.
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    A yield reduction in corn is out of the question......beans > very possible.

But the export projection is off by some 175 MB, and likely to grow. A yield 

reduction will not cover this shortfall. Now I do not think the gooberment will

cut exports anywhere near that today.  But they will start the process.

Re: beans
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By GunterK - Jan. 12, 2018, 11:28 a.m.
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Great discussion in this thread. Thanks to all participants.


By Jim_M - Jan. 12, 2018, 12:11 p.m.
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Lowered production and stocks grew 25 mil.