so my predictions may have been for 5-10 years, not just 2021, but when biden entered office i predicted that...
gold would do well, stocks would be flat to lower, and interest rates would rise.
stocks are up, interest rates are flat, and gold is flat. at least i have not been losing money. for 2022 i will stick with the same strategy. (this is long term thinking not short term trading).
i think bonds and gold are flat because the senate has not passed bidens larger program.
as far as stocks,... watch the yield curve. that will tell us when stocks are about to turn south.
anyone else have predictions for the coming year?
The planet will continue to green up..........even as policies and actions to curtail CO2 emissions accelerate......high confidence.
Fake beer crisis/Death by GREENING!
11 responses |
Started by metmike - May 11, 2021, 2:31 p.m.
Probably too late in 2022 to be an actionable prediction for 2022, but there will be powerful reactions in most/all markets depending on the outrcome of the November elections.
Agree with Tim re: elections
I think crime will top the list if majority pubs
All depends on the Fed and china
If the fed actually reduce asset purchases and raise int rates then stocks down, bond down
Like many investors I am not sure the Fed will do what the Fed says it will do
If Fed raises int as much as even 2 % I think we are headed for a recession [worse than 2008-9]
Stock market will panic and sell
I will probably panic and sell
My wife will hold, she is in for the long haul
So we have two kinds of investors
If china invades Taiwan then all bets are off
At present china is shutting down manufacturing stuff for export re[virus concerns]
This will not be good for almost all world stks and economies
Russia does not want a hot war
Who knows what china will do, but it is almost never good
omicron will end the pandemic in the 1st quarter. Covid will then become an endemic like the common cold.
Dem policy will move closer to the center before the elections.
Inflation will persist
The fed will have inconsistent policy, causing volatility in the bond market
I have no idea about the grain markets.