Happy July 14th!
Still tons of rain in key locations.
Forecast for rains below:
Day 1:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_94qwbg.gif?1526306199054
Day 2:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_98qwbg.gif?1528293750112
Day 3:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_99qwbg.gif?1528293842764
Days 4-5:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162
Days 6-7:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162
7 Day Total precip:
Not much excessive Rainfall threat.
Current Day 1 Forecast |
Day 1 Threat Area in Text Format
Current Day 2 Forecast |
Day 3 forecast below
Severe Storm Risk........not very high with the storms. Press your cursor on the map for full screen.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
High Temperatures today and Sunday......very warm to hot in alot of places............then cooling N.Plains/Upper Midwest on Sunday.
Dew points. 70+ on this scale makes it feel uncomfortable(sticky air)!
Heat and high humidity .....feels like temperature!
Highs days 3-7 shows Most Pleasant Midwest then eastward.
How do these temperatures compare to average at this time of year. Getting back down closer to average in the Midwest! Heat backs up to the West!
High temperature departures:
Low Temperature Departures:
Here is the latest radar image.
Satellite picture....................from satellite in geostationary orbit. More on geostationary orbit later:
Rains the past 24 hours. KS/IA/IL/WI/MI............along the cold front.
You can go to this link to see rain totals from recent time periods:
https://water.weather.gov/precip/
Go to precipitation, then scroll down to pick a time frame. Hit states to get the borders to see locations better. Under products, you can hit "observed" or "Percent of normal"
Drying out the last 2 weeks in many places(data is not updated at the moment to include rains the last day)
https://www.atmos.illinois.edu/~snodgrss/Ag_Wx.html
Missouri/Arkansas to S.Plains in bad shape
Drought has worsened in those areas(MO should be getting some relief):
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/CompareTwoWeeks.aspx
The longer range CFS model, cool and dry for week 3 which has been the theme all of last week but it now has big heat returning in week 4........instead of continuing cool.
Precip below:
Last 0Z run of Canadian ensembles. How deep will the upper level trough in the Northeast back to Upper Midwest be?
Will the strong upper level ridge in Western Atlantic backing up towards East Coast merge with the heat ridge from the Southwest/S.Plains eastward? Will this act to keep the trough from deepening?
Just less than half of the members have this idea.
360h GZ 500 forecast valid on Jul 28, 2018 00UTC
Forecasts for global GEM, control (GEM 0) and the 20 ensemble members