KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:
Tuesday, July 27, 2021
7:45 AM ET. Weekly Chain Store Sales Index
8:30 AM ET. June Advance Report on Durable Goods
Durable Goods-SA, M/M% (expected +2.0%; previous +2.3%)
Dur Goods, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous +1.7%)
Dur Goods, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous +0.3%)
Orders: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous -0.1%)
Shipmnts: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +0.9%)
8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index
Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%
Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +14.5%)
Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +15.0%)
9:00 AM ET. May U.S. Monthly House Price Index
9:00 AM ET. May S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices
10-City Idx, M/M% (previous +1.9%)
10-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +14.4%)
20-City Idx, M/M% (previous +2.1%)
20-City Idx, Y/Y% (expected +16.4%; previous +14.9%)
National Idx, M/M% (previous +2.1%)
National Idx, Y/Y% (previous +14.6%)
10:00 AM ET. July Consumer Confidence Index
Cons Conf Idx (expected 125.0; previous 127.3)
Expectation Idx
Present Situation Idx (previous 157.7)
10:00 AM ET. 2nd Quarter U.S. Housing Vacancies
10:00 AM ET. July Richmond Fed Business Activity Survey
Mfg Idx (expected 20.0; previous 22)
Shipments Idx (previous 8)
1:00 AM ET. June Money Stock Measures
4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin
Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +0.8M)
Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +3.3M)
Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -1.2M)
N/A U.S. Federal Open Market Committee meeting
Wednesday, July 28, 2021
7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey
Composite Idx (previous 698.3)
Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -4.0%)
Purchase Idx-SA (previous 255.8)
Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -6.4%)
Refinance Idx (previous 3267.6)
Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -2.8%)
8:30 AM ET. June Advance Economic Indicators Report
10:00 AM ET. June Metropolitan Area Employment & Unemployment
10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 439.687M)
Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +2.107M)
Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 236.414M)
Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -0.121M)
Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 141.0M)
Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.349M)
Refinery Usage (previous 91.4%)
Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 20.581M)
Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous +1.278M)
2:00 PM ET. U.S. interest rate decision
Federal Funds Rate
Federal Funds Rate Change (Pts)
Fed Funds Rate-Range High (previous 0.25)
Fed Funds Rate-Range Low (previous 0.00)
FOMC Vote For Action (previous 11)
FOMC Vote Against Action (previous 0)
Discount Rate (previous 0.25)
Discount Rate Change (Pts) (previous +0)
Discount Rate-Range High
Discount Rate-Range Low
Thursday, July 29, 2021
8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims
Jobless Claims (expected 380K; previous 419K)
Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +51K)
Continuing Claims (previous 3236000)
Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -29K)
8:30 AM ET. 2nd Quarter Advance estimate GDP
Annual Rate, Q/Q% (expected +8.5%; previous +6.4%)
Chain-Weighted Price Idx, Q/Q% (expected +5.4%; previous +4.3%)
PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +3.7%)
Purchase Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +4.0%)
Real Final Sales 1st Est, Q/Q% (previous +9.2%)
Core PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +2.5%)
Personal Consumption, Q/Q% (previous +11.4%)
8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales
Corn (Metric Tons) (previous -40.7K)
Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 238.3K)
Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 478.2K)
9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
10:00 AM ET. June Pending Home Sales Index
Pending Home Sales (previous 114.7)
Pending Home Sales Idx, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +8.0%)
Pending Home Sales Idx , Y/Y% (previous +13.1%)
10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 2678B)
Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +49B)
2:00 PM ET. SEC Closed Meeting
4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings
4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings
Friday, July 30, 2021
8:30 AM ET. June Personal Income & Outlays
Personal Income, M/M% (expected -0.4%; previous -2%)
Consumer Spending, M/M% (expected +0.6%; previous +0%)
PCE Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.4%)
PCE Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +3.9%)
PCE Core Price Idx, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +0.5%)
PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y% (expected +3.7%; previous +3.4%)
8:30 AM ET. 2nd Quarter Employment Cost Index
ECI, Q/Q\% (expected +0.9%; previous +0.9%)
ECI, Y/Y% (previous +2.6%)
9:45 AM ET. July Chicago Business Barometer - ISM-Chicago Business Survey - Chicago PMI
PMI-Adj (expected 64.0; previous 66.1)
10:00 AM ET. July University of Michigan Survey of Consumers – final
End-Mo Sentiment Idx (expected 80.5; previous 85.5)
End-Mo Expectations Idx (previous 83.5)
12-Month Inflation Forecast (previous 4.2%)
5-Year Inflation Forecast (previous 2.8%)
End-Mo Current Idx (previous 88.6)
3:00 PM ET. June Agricultural Prices
Farm Prices, M/M% (previous +1.8%)
The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes
The Dow Closed higher for the fifth-day in a row on Monday as it posted a new all-high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above May's high crossing at 35,091.56 would mark an upside breakout of a three-month old trading range while opening the door for additional gains near-term. Closes below last-Monday's low would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of June's low crossing at 33,281.93. First resistance is today's high crossing at 35,135.97. Second resistance is unknown. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 33,741.76. Second support is June's low crossing at 33,271.93.
The September NASDAQ 100 closed higher for the fifth-day in a row on Monday as it extends the rally off March's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project with the index trading in uncharted territory. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at 14,445.00 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 15,134.00. Second resistance is unknown. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 14,445.00. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 14,182.11.
The September S&P 500 closed higher on Monday as it extends this year's rally into uncharted territory. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends this year's rally upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 4252.40 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of June's low crossing at 4126.75. First resistance is today's high crossing at 4413.25. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 4252.40. Second support is June's low crossing at 4126.75.
INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""
September T-bonds closed down 7/32's at 163-26.
September T-bonds closed slightly lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 162-26 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If September resumes the rally of May's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 169-10 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 167-00. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 169-10. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 162-26. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 159-21.
September T-notes closed down 15-pts at 134.025.
September T-notes closed slightly lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 133.153 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 135.121 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 135.121. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 136.087. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 133.153. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 132.195.
ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""
September crude oil closed slightly higher on Monday as it extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $72.05 would signal that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. If September renews the decline off July's high, the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $64.67 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $72.05. Second resistance is the July 12th high crossing at $74.90. Third resistance is July's high crossing at $76.98. First support is the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $64.67. Second support is May's low crossing at $61.06.
September heating oil closed higher on Monday as it extended the rally off last-Tuesday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low, July's high crossing at $221.01 is the next upside target. If September resumes the decline off July's high, May's low crossing at $191.71 is the next downside target. First resistance is the July 13th high crossing at $219.01. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $221.01. First support is the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $194.20. Second support is May's low crossing at $191.71.
September unleaded gas closed higher for the fifth-day in a row on Monday as it extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low, July's high crossing at $2.3123 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.1805 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is today's high crossing at $2.2822. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $2.3123. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.1805. Second support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $2.0571. Second support is May's low crossing at 1.9926.
September Henry natural gas closed higher on Monday as it extended the rally off June's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off June's low, the November-2014 on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 4.544 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.728 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 4.165. Second resistance is the November-2014 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 4.544. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.823. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.728.
CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""
The September Dollar closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing 92.57 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If September renews the rally off May's low, March's high crossing at 93.43 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 93.20. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 93.43. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing 92.57. Second support is the July 6th low crossing at 92.00.
The September Euro closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold, diverging but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off May's high, March's low crossing at 117.47 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 118.40 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 118.40. Second resistance is the June 26th high crossing at 119.95. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 117.64. Second support is March's low crossing at 117.47.
The September British Pound closed higher on Monday as it extended the rally off last-Tuesday's low as it closed above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3793 signaling that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. If September extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low, the July 12th high crossing at 1.3913 is the next upside target. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 1.3223 is the next downside target. First resistance is the July 12th high crossing at 1.3913. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3971. First support the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 1.3578. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 1.3223.
The September Swiss Franc closed higher on Monday.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September renews the rally off July's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.1015 is the next upside target. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 75% retracement level of the March-May-rally crossing at 1.0744 is the next downside target. First resistance is the July 15th high crossing at 1.0984. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.1015. First support is the 75% retracement level of the March-May-rally crossing at 1.0775. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the March-May-rally crossing at 1.0701.
The September Canadian Dollar closed slightly higher on Monday as it extended the rally off last-Monday's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 79.92 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off June's high, the January 28th low crossing at 77.72 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 79.92. Second resistance is the July 14th high crossing at 80.48. First support is the January 28th low crossing at 77.72. Second support is the December 21st low crossing at 77.30.
The September Japanese Yen closed slightly higher on Monday but remains below the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.090639 signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends last-week's decline, July's low crossing at 0.089605 is the next downside target. If September renews the rally off July's low, the May 25th high crossing at 0.092170 is the next upside target. First resistance is the May 25th high crossing at 0.092170. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 0.092295. First support is July's low crossing at 0.089605. Second support is weekly support crossing at 0.089205.
PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""
August gold closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $1799.80 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of June's low crossing at $1750.10. If August resumes the rally off June's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $1835.70 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1835.70. Second resistance is the June 11th high crossing at $1906.20. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $1789.10. Second support is June's low crossing at $1750.10.
September silver closed slightly higher on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 25.879 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off May's high, March's low crossing at 23.825 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 25.879. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 26.860. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 24.790. Second support is March's low crossing at 23.825.
September copper closed sharply higher on Monday as it extended the rally off June's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at 471.10 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 430.65 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the June's 11th high crossing at 460.10. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 471.10. First support is July's low crossing at 416.65. Second support is June's low crossing at 409.40.
GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "
December Corn closed up $0.03 3/4-cents at $5.46 3/4.
December corn closed higher on Monday as it consolidates some of last-Friday's decline. Traders are expecting that this afternoon's crop condition report will show the good/excellent rating to come in steady to slightly lower. Today's high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the July 6th gap crossing at $5.73 1/2 would open the door for a possible test of July's high crossing at $6.11 1/4. If December extends last-Friday's decline, July's low crossing at $5.07 is the next downside target. First resistance is the July 6th gap crossing at $5.73 1/2. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $6.11 1/4. First support is July's low crossing at $5.07. Second support is May's low crossing at $5.00 1/4.
September wheat closed down $0.07-cents at $6.77.
September wheat closed lower due to profit taking on Monday as it consolidated some of the rally off July's low.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.61 1/2 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off July's low, the 75% retracement level of the May-July-decline crossing at $7.28 1/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $7.18. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the May-July-decline crossing at $7.28 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.61 1/2. Second support is July's low crossing at $6.09 1/2.
September Kansas City Wheat closed down $0.07-cents at $6.39.
September Kansas City wheat closed lower due to profit taking on Monday as it consolidates some of the rally off July's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.29 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off July's low, the 62% retracement level of the May-July-decline crossing at $6.81 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $6.74 1/4. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the May-July-decline crossing at $6.81 1/2 is the next upside target. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.29 1/4. Second support is July's low crossing at $5.78 1/4.
September Minneapolis wheat closed down $0.04 3/4-cents at $8.78 3/4.
September Minneapolis wheat closed lower on Monday as it extended the decline off last-Monday's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.60 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If September resumes the rally off June's low, the September-2011 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $9.83 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $9.44 1/2. Second resistance is the September-2012 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $9.83 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.60. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $7.96 3/4.
SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "
November soybeans closed up $0.06-cents at $13.57 3/4.
November soybeans closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November extends the decline off last-Monday's high, July's low crossing at $13.00 is the next downside target. If November renews the rally off June's low, June's high crossing at $14.80 is the next upside target. First resistance is July's high crossing at $14.23. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $14.80. First support is the July's low crossing at $13.00 1/2. Second support is the June 25th low crossing at $12.59 3/4.
December soybean meal closed down $1.10 to $355.10.
December soybean meal closed lower on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at $347.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $366.50 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $366.50. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $378.20. First support is today's low crossing at $348.70. Second support is June's low crossing at $347.00.
December soybean oil closed up 84-pts. at 64.07.
December soybean oil closed higher on Monday as it consolidated some of the decline off last-Monday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews the rally off June's low, June's high crossing at 67.06 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 60.96 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 66.34. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 67.06. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 60.96. Second support is the July 7th low crossing at 58.03. Third support is the June 25th low crossing at 56.66.
LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock
August hogs closed up $0.05 at $107.40.
August hogs closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off June's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off June's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $108.31 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $103.87 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If August renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $95.71 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $108.31. Second resistance is the June 17th gap crossing at $111.70. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $103.87. Second support is June's low crossing at $96.50. Third support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $95.71.
August cattle closed up $1.95 at $121.15.
August cattle closed higher on Monday following last-Friday's neutral to friendly cattle-on-feed report. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Today's close above the reaction high crossing at $122.60 signals that a short-term low has been posted. If August renews the decline off June's high, the June 8th low crossing at $117.23 is the next downside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at $123.50. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $124.33. First support is the July 9th low crossing at $118.85. Second support is the June 8th low at $117.23. Third support is June's low crossing at $114.63.
August Feeder cattle closed up $2.13 at $162.20.
August feeder cattle closed higher on Monday and spiked above April's high as it extended the rally off May's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off May's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2014-2020-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $174.84 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $157.73 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $163.15. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2014-2020-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $174.84. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $157.73. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $155.15.
FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food
September coffee closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off July's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, monthly resistance on the continuation chart crossing at $219.00 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Thursday's gap crossing at $177.90 would signal that a short-term top might be in or is near.
September cocoa closed sharply higher on Monday as it extended the rally off last-Tuesday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 23.99 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off May's high, the 87% retracement level of 2020's rally crossing at 22.03 is the next downside target.
October sugar closed higher on Monday as it extended the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends the rally off July's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2011-2020-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 19.47 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 17.40 would signal that a short-term top has been posted.
December cotton closed slightly lower on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December renews the rally off May's low, weekly resistance on the continuation chart crossing at 91.66 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at 86.35 would signal that a short-term top has been posted.
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