INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - March 17, 2021, 7:33 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

 



 

 

Wednesday, March 17, 2021

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx (previous 783.8)

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -1.3%)

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 289)

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous +7.2%)

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx (previous 3658.8)

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -5.0%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits

 



 

 

                       Total Starts (expected 1.54M; previous 1.580M)

 



 

 

                       Housing Starts, M/M% (expected -2.5%; previous -6.0%)

 



 

 

                       Building Permits (expected 1.75M; previous 1.881M)

 



 

 

                       Building Permits, M/M% (expected -7.0%; previous +10.4%)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 498.403M)

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +13.798M)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 231.603M)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -11.869M)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 137.492M)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -5.504M)

 



 

 

                       Refinery Usage (previous 69.0%)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 18.672M)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous -0.087M)

 

                        

 

2:00 PM ET. U.S. interest rate decision

 



 

 

                       Federal Funds Rate

 



 

 

                       Federal Funds Rate Change (Pts)

 



 

 

                       Fed Funds Rate-Range High (previous 0.25)

 



 

 

                       Fed Funds Rate-Range Low (previous 0.00)

 



 

 

                       FOMC Vote For Action (previous 11)

 



 

 

                       FOMC Vote Against Action (previous 0)

 



 

 

                       Discount Rate (previous 0.25)

 



 

 

                       Discount Rate Change (Pts) (previous +0)

 



 

 

                       Discount Rate-Range High

 



 

 

                       Discount Rate-Range Low

 



 

 

2:00 PM ET. Federal Reserve economic projections

 



 

 

                       Median Fed Funds Rate - 2020 (previous 0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Median Fed Funds Rate - 2021 (previous 0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Median Fed Funds Rate - 2022 (previous 0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Median Fed Funds Rate - 2023 (previous 0.1%)

 



 

 

Thursday, March 18, 2021  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. March-January-rally Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey

 



 

 

                       Business Activity (expected 22.0; previous 23.1)

 



 

 

                       Prices Paid (previous 54.4)

 



 

 

                       Employment (previous 25.3)

 



 

 

                       New Orders (previous 23.4)

 



 

 

                       Prices Received (previous 16.7)

 



 

 

                       Delivery Times (previous 15.1)

 



 

 

                       Inventories (previous 20.0)

 



 

 

                       Shipments (previous 21.5)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims (expected 700K; previous 712K)

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -42K)

 



 

 

                       Continuing Claims (previous 4144000)

 



 

 

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -193K)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

 



 

 

                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 682.8K)

 



 

 

                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 563.8K)

 



 

 

                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 360.5K)

 



 

 

9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. February Leading Indicators

 



 

 

                       Leading Index, M/M% (expected +0.3%; previous +0.5%)

 



 

 

                       Leading Index (previous 110.3)

 



 

 

                       Coincident Index, M/M% (previous +0.2%)

 



 

 

                       Lagging Index, M/M% (previous -0.6%)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 1793B)

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous -52B)

 

                        

 

2:00 PM ET. SEC Closed Meeting

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

 



 

 

Friday, March 19, 2021   

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. January Metropolitan Area Employment & Unemployment

 



 

 

Monday, March 22, 2021  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February CFNAI Chicago Fed National Activity Index

 



 

 

                       NAI (previous 0.66)

 



 

 

                       NAI, 3-mo Moving Avg (previous 0.47)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. February Existing Home Sales

 



 

 

                       Existing Sales (expected 6.69M)

 



 

 

                       Existing Sales, M/M% (previous +0.6%)

 



 

 

                       Unsold Homes Month's Supply (previous 1.9)

 



 

 

                       Median Price (USD) (previous 303900)

 



 

 

                       Median Home Price, Y/Y% (previous +14.1%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. 4th Quarter Quarterly Financial Report - Retail Trade

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. 4th Quarter Quarterly Financial Report – Industry

 



 

 



 

 

Tuesday, March 23, 2021   

 



 

 

7:45 AM ET. Weekly Chain Store Sales Index

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 4th Quarter International Transactions

 



 

 

                       Current Account (USD) (expected -178.5B)

 



 

 

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y%

 



 

 

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y%

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. March Richmond Fed Business Activity Survey

 



 

 

                       Mfg Idx (previous 14)

 



 

 

                       Shipments Idx (previous 12)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. February New Residential Sales

 



 

 

                       New Home Sales (previous 923K)

 



 

 

                       New Home Sales, M/M% (previous +4.3%)

 



 

 

                       New Home Sales Months Supply (previous 4.0)

 



 

 

1:00 PM ET. February Money Stock Measures

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

 



 

 

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 



 

 

Wednesday, March 24, 2021   

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W%

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W%

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W%

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 4th Quarter State Quarterly Personal Income

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February Advance Report on Durable Goods

 



 

 

                       Durable Goods-SA, M/M% (previous +3.4%)

 



 

 

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous +2.3%)

 



 

 

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous +1.4%)

 



 

 

                       Orders: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +0.5%)

 



 

 

                       Shipments: Cap Goods, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +2.1%)

 

                        

 

9:45 AM ET. March US Flash Manufacturing PMI

 



 

 

                       PMI, Mfg (previous 58.5)

 



 

 

9:45 AM ET. March US Flash Services PMI

 



 

 

                       PMI, Services (previous 58.9)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Refinery Usage

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day)

 


The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=indexes"  



The STOCK INDEXES: The June NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it consolidated some of the rally off March's low.The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 13,153.98 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June renews the decline off February's high, the 25% retracement level of the March-February-rally crossing at 12,146.81 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 13,153.98. Second resistance is the February 25th high crossing at 13,337.50. First support is March's low crossing at 12,200.00. Second support is the 25% retracement level of the March-February-rally crossing at 12,146.81.



The June S&P 500 was steady to slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning.Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off last-September's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 3839.71 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 3970.75. Second resistance is unknown.First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3839.71. Second support is March's low crossing at 3710.50.  



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: June T-bonds were lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off September's high, monthly support crossing at 155-05 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 158-14 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 158-14. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 163-14. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 155-12. Second support is long-term support on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 155-05.



June T-notes were lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening with the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this year's decline the February-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 130.070 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 132.294 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 132.294. Second resistance is the March 2nd high crossing at 133.230. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 131.230. Second support is the February-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 130.070. 



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



April crude oil was steady to lower in late-overnight trading as it extends the trading range of the past eight-days. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $63.13 would signal that a short-term top might have been posted. If April renews the rally off November's low, the October-2018 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $76.90 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $67.98. Second resistance is the October-2018 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $76.90. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $63.13. Second support is the March 3rd low crossing at $59.24.      



April heating oil was steady to lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $188.73 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If April resumes the rally off November's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $200.04 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $198.68. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $200.04. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $188.73. Second support is the March 2nd low crossing at $178.82.



April unleaded gas was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off November's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $200.94 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If April extends the rally off November's low, the October 8th 2018 high crossing at $221.41 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $217.00. Second resistance is the October 8th 2018 high crossing at $221.41. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $200.94. Second support is March's low crossing at $190.63.



April Henry natural gas was steady to slightly lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April extends the decline off February's high, the 87% retracement level of the December-February-rally crossing at 2.406 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 2.633 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 2.633. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.738. First support is the 75% retracement level of the December-February-rally crossing at 2.496. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the December-February rally crossing at 2.406.  



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The June Dollar was steady to slightly lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $91.17 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If June resumes the rally off February's low, the 50% retracement level of the September-January-decline crossing at $93.43 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at $92.42. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at $93.43. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $91.34. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $91.17.



The June Euro was steady to slightly higher overnight.The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June resumes the decline off February's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $117.85 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $120.44 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $120.44. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $121.17. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $118.61. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the November-January-rally crossing at $117.85.

 

The June British Pound was higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes last-Friday's high crossing at 1.4009 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3807 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for possible test of the 38% retracement level of the September-February rally crossing at 1.3672. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 1.4009. Second resistance is February's high crossing at 1.4245. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3807. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the September-February rally crossing at 1.3672.  



The June Swiss Franc was steady to lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0930 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June renews the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 1.0586 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 1.0855. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0930. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at 1.0695. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 1.0586.

 

The June Canadian Dollar was steady to lower overnight. The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off February's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $80.52 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $79.43 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $80.42. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $80.52. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $79.43. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $78.93.  



The June Japanese Yen was steady to slightly lower overnight and trading below the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 0.0920. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off January's high, the March-2020 low crossing at 0.0911 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0932 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 0.0921. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0932. First support is Monday's low crossing at 0.0915. Second support is the March-2020 low crossing at 0.0911.

 

PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: April gold was steady to slightly higher overnight as it extends the rally off March's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1739.60 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If April resumes the decline off January's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2019-2020-rally crossing at $1634.70. is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1739.60. Second resistance is 50-day moving average crossing at $1804.90. First support is the 62% retracement level of the 2019-2020-rally crossing at $1634.70. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2019-2020-rally crossing at $1533.30.



May silver was slightly higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $26.552 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If May resumes the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the November-February-rally crossing at $24.059 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $26.552. Second resistance is the February 23rd high crossing at $28.470. First support is the 62% retracement level of the November-February-rally crossing at $25.111. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the November-February-rally crossing at $24.059.  



May copper was steady to slightly higher in overnight trading. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at 4.3755 is the next upside target. Closes below March's low crossing at 3.8490 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is February's high crossing at 4.3755. Second resistance is the August-2011 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 4.5400. First support is March's low crossing at 3.8490. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.8348.   



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



May corn was steady to fractionally higher overnight as it extends this week's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally this week's rally, February's high crossing at $5.72 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.36 1/4 would open the door for a test of the February 11th low crossing at $5.23 1/4. First resistance is February's high crossing at $5.72. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $6.36. First support is the February 11th low crossing at $5.23 1/4. Second support is the the 25% retracement level of the August-February-rally crossing at $5.14.      



May wheat was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.56 1/2 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If May extends the decline off February's high, February's low crossing at $6.28 1/2 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.56 1/2. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $6.88 1/2. First support is February's low crossing at $6.28 1/2. Second support is January's low crossing at $6.26.

 

May Kansas City wheat was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off February's high, the 38% retracement level of the August-March-rally crossing at $5.79 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.27 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.27 3/4. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $6.64. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at $5.91 1/4. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the August-March-rally crossing at $5.79.



May Minneapolis wheat was lower overnight as it extends the January-March trading range. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off February's high, the the 38% retracement level of the December-January-rally crossing at $6.19 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.42 1/4 would temper the near-term bearish out. First resistance is February's high crossing at $6.58 3/4. Second resistance is January's high crossing at $6.62. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at $6.30 1/4. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the December-January-rally crossing at $6.19 3/4.       

     

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains



May soybeans was lower overnight.The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $13.87 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If May resumes the rally off last-August's low, psychological resistance crossing at $15.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $14.60. Second resistance is psychological resistance crossing at $15.00. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $13.87 1/4. Second support is the February 11th low crossing at $13.36 3/4.

 

May soybean meal was steady to lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $416.20 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If May resumes the decline off January's high, the 50% retracement level of August-January rally crossing at $376.30 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $409.60. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $416.20. First support is the 38% retracement level of the August-January rally crossing at $396.90. Second support is the 50% retracement level of August-January rally crossing at $376.30.      


May soybean oil was steady to slightly higher overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off October's low, the September-2012 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 58.14 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 51.22 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 55.75. Second resistance is the September-2012 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 58.14. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 53.74. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 51.22.      


LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



April hogs closed up $2.35 at $92.90. 



April hogs gapped up and closed sharply higher on Tuesday as it extended the rally off November's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If April extends the rally off November's low, the April-2019 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $99.83 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $87.92 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $93.13. Second resistance is the April-2019 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $99.83. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $87.92. Second support is the March 2nd low crossing at $85.13. 



April cattle closed down $0.93 at $118.20. 



April cattle closed lower on Tuesday as it renewed the decline off February's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible. If April extends the decline off February's high, the 50% retracement level of the October-February-rally crossing at $117.72 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $120.84 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $120.84. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $126.70. First support is today's low crossing at $118.12. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the October-February-rally crossing at $117.72. 



April Feeder cattle closed down $0.60 at $143.33. 


April Feeder cattle closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the rally off March's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If April extends the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at $145.80 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 141.48 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 144.60. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $145.80. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 141.48. Second support is March's low crossing at $137.22.           



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



May coffee closed higher on Tuesday as it extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low, February's high crossing at 140.45 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 12.88 would open the door for a possible test of February's low crossing at 12.21.          



May cocoa closed slightly higher on Tuesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off March's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 25.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 25.71 would temper the near-term bearish outlook.            



May sugar closed higher on Tuesday. The mid-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 16.43 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. If May extends the decline off February's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 15.74 is the next downside target.      



May cotton posted an inside day with a lower close on Tuesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 89.07 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at 82.87 would open the door for a possible test of February's low crossing at 81.06. 

Comments
By metmike - March 17, 2021, 12:15 p.m.
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Thanks tallpine!