Coffee-charts up
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Started by metmike - June 22, 2018, 12:24 p.m.

Coffee used to rally in May, dialing in risk premium for a potential frost/freeze but the last severe one(s) were in 1994 because they moved the coffee plantations farther north, closer to the equator after devastating freezes in the previous decades in far Southern Brazil.

Global warming has helped out a bit too.

Coffee

Kaffee saisonal

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Re: Coffee
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By metmike - June 22, 2018, 12:25 p.m.
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This is where they grow coffee in Brazil.....the worlds biggest producer.


The higher the number below, the greater the production. 1=highest.    

          

                       

map of coffee production in brazil agrob

Re: Re: Coffee
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By metmike - June 22, 2018, 12:25 p.m.
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  History of frosts/freezes and droughts in Brazil thru 2000.    

http://www.coffeeresearch.org/market/frost.htm

                           http://www.coffeeresearch.org/market/frosthistory.htm                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

DateSeverity (Damage)Coffee Frost or Drought
1902 (Late July/early August)DevastatingF*
1918 (June 24-26)SevereF*
1942 (Late June/early July)SevereF*
1943ModerateF*
1953 (July 4-5)SevereF*
1955 (July 30-August 1)Severeslight F
1957SevereF*
1962 (July 25-26)MinorF*
1963 (August 5-6)ModerateF and D
1965MinorF*
1966 (August 6)Severeslight F
1967 (June 8)MinorF*
1969 (July 9-10)ModerateF*
1972 (July 8-9)ModerateF*
1975 (July 17-19)Very SevereF*
1978 (August 13-16)ModerateF*
1979 (June 1)ModerateF*
1981 (July 20-22)SevereF*
1984 (August 25)MinorF*
1985 (August-November)MinorD
1988MinorF*
1994 (June 25-26 and July 9-10)Severe/Very SevereF and D
1999 (August to November)Severe (40% crop lost)
2000 (July 17)Moderate (est)F*

                                                              

* In most cases frost or drought was not                    indicated by the source.  Although only F is written in                    these cases it is likely a combination of the two forces                    that caused a devastating coffee crop.

By metmike - June 22, 2018, 12:26 p.m.
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A cold wave is coming thru the next 2 days but should not be cold enough to threaten the coffee. The coffee growing region is in the far, top right of the screen just northeast of where the blues are.

https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/t850anom_f048_shbg.gif


https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/t850anom_f048_shbg.gif

By metmike - June 22, 2018, 12:28 p.m.
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Coffee charts going back 10 years:


The last 7 days:

                

                   



The last month below

     


                   



Coffee 3 months below              

                   


1 Year below

                

                   


Coffee 5 years below                

                   


 Coffee 10 years below

Drought in Brazil in 2014 caused a spike

Drought in Brazil and bad weather globally in 2010 caused the 2011 spike