LIVESTOCK: August live cattle closed up $0.45 at 104.62
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. A big
and bullish double-bottom reversal pattern still could be
forming on the daily bar chart. But right now the bears
still have the overall near-term technical advantage.
August feeder cattle closed up $0.35 at $146.32 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high. The feeder cattle
market bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term
technical playing field. A bullish double-bottom reversal
pattern has formed on the daily chart.
July lean hogs closed up $1.57 at $80.97 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today. The hog bulls and
bears are back on a level overall near-term technical
playing field.
GRAINS: July corn futures closed up 11 cents at $3.78
1/4 today. Prices closed near the session high on short
covering and bargain hunting after hitting a 4.5-monthlow
on Monday. Today’s gains were impressive, but follow-
through buying this week will be important, to thensuggest
that a near-term market bottom is in place.
July soybeans closed up 1/4 cents at $9.54 a busheltoday.
Prices closed near the session low and hit another10-month
low today. Bears have the firm overall near-termtechnical
advantage. However, the market is well overdone on the
downside, on a technical basis, and due for a decent
corrective bounce very soon.
July soybean meal closed up $2.20 at $353.40 today.Prices
closed near mid-range on short covering after hitting a
four-month low on Monday. The meal bears still have the
overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in asix-
week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
July bean oil closed down 53 points 30.05 cents today.
Prices closed near the session low and hit a contract low
today. The bears have the solid overall near-termtechnical
advantage.
July SRW wheat closed up 20 1/2 cents at $5.35 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and scored a
bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. SRWbulls
have the firm overall near-term technical advantage and
gained fresh power today. Prices are in a choppy, two-
month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart.
July HRW wheat closed up 18 3/4 cents at $5.53 1/2 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The bullshave
the firm overall near-term technical advantage.
SOFTS: July sugar closed steady at 12.35 cents today.
Prices closed near mid-range today. The sugar bears still
have firm the overall near-term technical advantage.
July coffee closed up 45 points at 117.55 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The coffee
bears have the solid overall near-term technicaladvantage.
A bear flag or bearish pennant pattern may be forming on
the daily bar chart.
July cocoa closed up $29 at $2,401 a ton today. Prices
closed nearer the session high on short covering. Thecocoa
bears have the overall near-term technical advantage.
Prices last week hit a three-month low and are in a six-
week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
July cotton closed up 91 points at 95.66 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high and closed at a
contract high close today. The bulls have the solidoverall
near-term technical advantage. There are no early clues
that a market top is close at hand.
July orange juice closed down 255 points at $1.5445today.
Prices closed near the session low and hit anothersix-week
low today. Bulls have lost their slight overall near-term
technical advantage and recent pressure suggests a market
top is in place.
July lumber futures again closed down the $10.00 limit at
$569.60 today. Recent strong selling pressure suggests a
major market top is in place.
METALS: August gold futures closed down $2.30 at
$1,300.90 today. Prices closed near mid-range. Gold price
action has turned choppy and sideways recently. This has
negated a price downtrend and suggests a near-term market
bottom is in place. The gold bulls and bears are on alevel
overall near-term technical playing field.
July silver futures closed down $0.037 at $16.915 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high and hit anothersix-
week high today. The silver bulls have the overall near-
term technical advantage.
July N.Y. copper closed down 45 points at 325.30 cents
today. Prices closed near mid-range on mild profit taking
after hitting a 4.5-month high late last week. The copper
bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical
advantage. A bull flag or bullish pennant pattern may be
forming on the daily bar chart.
ENERGIES: July Nymex crude oil closed up $0.33 at $66.43
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today onmore
short covering. More gains in crude oil prices this week
would begin to suggest a near-term market bottom is in
place.
July heating oil closed up 103 points at $2.1710 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The bullshave
the overall near-term technical advantage and areregaining
some upside momentum.
July (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed down 64 points at
$2.0985 today. Prices closed near mid-range. The bullshave
the overall near-term technical advantage.
July natural gas closed down 1.4 cents at $2.935 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bulls havethe
overall near-term technical advantage amid recent choppy
trading.
CURRENCIES: The September Euro
currency closed down 16 points at 1.1859 today. Prices
closed near mid-range. The bears have the overallnear-term
technical advantage, but more price gains this week would
hint that a near-term market bottom is in place.
The September Japanese yen closed down 285 points at.91230
today. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit atwo-
week low today. Bears have the overall near-termtechnical
advantage.
The September Swiss franc closed down 19 points at 1.0220
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The
Swissy bears have the overall near-term technical
advantage. However recent price action suggests a market
bottom is in place. Prices are in a fledgling uptrend.
The September Canadian dollar closed down 20 points at
.7695 today. Prices closed near the session low today.The
bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.
The September British pound closed up 9 points at 1.3450
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The bearsstill
have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.Prices
are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
The September U.S. dollar index closed up 0.170 at 93.335
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The
bulls still have the overall near-term technicaladvantage.
September U.S. T-Bonds closed steady at 142 26/32 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. The bond
market bears have the overall near-term technical
advantage.
September U.S. T Notes closed down 2.0 (32nds) at119.12.0
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The bears have
the overall near-term technical advantage.
GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: U.S. stock indexes closed
weaker today. The world marketplace took in stride the
apparent positive conclusion of the summit meeting on
denuclearization between U.S. President Donald Trump and
North Korean President Kim Jong Un. World stock markets
were narrowly mixed after the meeting. U.S. Treasuriesand
the world currency markets also showed muted reactions to
the summit’s conclusion—probably because traders and
investors realize there are going to be lots of twistsand
turns on the road to complete denuclearization of North
Korea, but still reckon this is a good start. On tap
earlier today was the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) for
May. CPI came in at up 0.2% from April and up 2.8%, year-
on-year. Those numbers were in line with market
expectations and had little impact on the markets.
Attention now turns to the Federal Reserve’s Open Market
Committee (FOMC) meeting that began today and ends
Wednesday afternoon with a statement. It is widelyexpected
the FOMC will raise U.S. interest rates by 0.25% at this
meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will have a press
conference following the meeting. The European CentralBank
also holds its monetary policy meeting on Thursday. No
change is expected in ECB policy, but the central bank is
still on a path of easy money that is keeping itsinterest
rates very low, and diverging with those of the U.S. Bythe
end of the year the spread between key U.S. and Euro zone
interest rates is expected to be around 3.0%. The key
“outside markets” today find Nymex crude oil prices
slightly higher and trading right around $66.50 a barrel.
The U.S. dollar index is near steady today.
Thanks very much Jim!