INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - March 30, 2020, 8:01 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Monday, March 30, 2020 



10:00 AM ET. February Pending Home Sales Index



                       Pending Home Sales (previous 108.8)



                       Pending Home Sales Idx, M/M% (previous +5.2%)



                       Pending Home Sales Idx , Y/Y% (previous +5.7%)



10:30 AM ET. March Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey



                       Business Activity (previous 1.2)



                       Mfg Production Idx (previous 16.4)



The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes"



The STOCK INDEXES:The June NASDAQ 100 was higher in late-overnight trading as it consolidates some of last-Friday's decline. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Thursday's high crossing at 7893.50 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If June resumes the decline off February's high the January-2019 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 6616.75 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 7893.50. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 8208.09. First support is the January-2019 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 6616.75. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-rally on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 6321.77.



The June S&P 500 was steady to slightly higher in late-overnight trading as it consolidates some of last-Friday's decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning.Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2610.18 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If June resumes the decline off February's high, monthly support crossing at 2028.01 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2610.18. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 2780.02. First support is Monday's low crossing at 2174.90. Second support is monthly support crossing at 2028.01. 



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: June T-bonds were higher overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the March 16th high crossing at 182-21 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If June renews the decline off March's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 168-04 is the next downside target. First resistance is the March 16th high crossing at 182-21. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 191-22. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 167-20. Second support is February's low crossing at 159-18.  



June T-notes were higher overnight as it extends the rally off March's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening with the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off March's low, March's high crossing at 140.240 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 137.014 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 139.065. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 140.240. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 137.014. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 133.169.   



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



May crude oil was lower in overnight trading as it extends the decline off January's high. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends this year's decline, the October-1998 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 17.12 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 30.64 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 23.71. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 30.64. First support is the overnight low crossing at 19.92. Second support is the October-1998 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 17.12.



May heating oil was steady to slightly lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.36 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If May resumes this year's decline, the January 2016 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 84.87 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 111.84. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.36. First support is March's low crossing at 93.43. Second support is weekly support crossing at 84.87.   



May unleaded gas was lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off February's high, monthly support crossing at 32.40 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 90.55 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 76.12. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 90.55. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 46.05. Second support is monthly support crossing at 32.40. 



May Henry natural gas gapped down and was lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May resumes the decline off November's high, weekly support crossing at 1.530 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.779 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.779. Second resistance is 50-day moving average crossing at 1.871. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 1.587. Second support is weekly support crossing at 1.530.  



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The June Dollar was higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off March's high. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off March's high, the 62% retracement level of March's rally crossing at 98.14 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 101.09 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 101.09. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 103.96. First support is the 62% retracement level of March's rally crossing at 98.13. Second support is the 75% retracement level of March's rally crossing at 98.88. 



The June Euro was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off March's low, the March 16th high crossing at 112.78 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 109.36 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the March 16th high crossing at 112.78. Second resistance is March's  high crossing at 115.45. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 109.36. Second support is March's low crossing at 106.71.    



The June British Pound was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low.The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off March's low the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2760 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.1927 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2760. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 1.3212. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.1928. Second resistance is March's low crossing at 1.1438.



The June Swiss Franc was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off March's low, the March 16th high crossing at 1.0698 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.0342 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the March 16th high crossing at 1.0698. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 1.0943. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.0342. Second is March's low crossing at 1.0138.



The June Canadian Dollar was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 71.64 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.If June resumes the decline off December's high, the January-2016 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 68.09 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 71.64. Second resistance is the March 16th high crossing at 72.85. First support is March's low crossing at 68.20. Second support is the January-2016 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 68.09.  



The June Japanese Yen was lower overnight as it consolidates some of last-week's rally. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0933 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If June resumes this month's decline, February's low crossing at 0.0897 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0933. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 0.0992. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 0.0900. Second support is February's low crossing at 0.0897.



PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: April gold was slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a double top with March's high might have been posted with last-Wednesday's high. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $1576.20 would confirm that a double top has been posted. If April extends the rally off March's low, March's high crossing at $1704.30 is the next upside target. First resistance is March's high crossing at $1704.30. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $1809.50. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $1576.20. Second support is March's low crossing at $1450.90.



May silver was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving averagecrossing at $14.924 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If May renews this year's decline, the October 2008 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $8.400 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $14.924. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $13.524. Second support is March's low crossing at $11.640. 



May copper was steady to slightly lower overnight as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $234.55 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If May resumes this year's decline, the January-2016 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $193.55 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $223.95. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $234.55. First support is March's low crossing at $197.25. Second support is the January-2016 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $193.55.



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



May corn was higher overnight as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.59 would confirm that a low has been posted. If May renews the decline off January's high, monthly support crossing at $3.29 3/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at $3.56 3/4. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.59. First support is March's low crossing at $3.32. Second support is monthly support crossing at $3.29 3/4.    



May wheat was higher overnight as it remains poised to extend the rally off March's low. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the aforementioned rally, January's high crossing at $5.90 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.32 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $5.87. Second resistance is January's high crossing at $5.90 3/4. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.45 1/4. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.32.

   

May Kansas City Wheat closed down a $0.00 1/2-cent at $4.86 3/4.

 

May Kansas City wheat closed fractionally lower on Friday as it consolidated some of the rally off March's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off March's low, January's high crossing at $5.11 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.57 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at $5.05 3/4. Second resistance is January's high crossing at $5.11 3/4. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.70 1/2. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.57.    



May Minneapolis wheat was higher overnight as it extends the rally off March's low. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at $5.50 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.23 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.35 3/4. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $5.50 3/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.23. Second support is March's low crossing at $5.03.  



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



May soybeans were higher overnight as they extend the rally off March's low. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.89 1/2 would open the door for a possible test of March's high crossing at $9.12 1/2. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $8.66 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.89 1/2. Second resistance is March's high crossing at $9.12 1/2. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $8.66. Second support is March's low crossing at $8.21.    



May soybean meal was higher overnight. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May resumes the rally off February's low, last-June's high crossing at 336.60 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $311.40 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $336.30. Second resistance is last-June's high crossing at 336.60. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $319.70. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $311.40.     



May soybean oil was higher overnight as it extends the rally off March's low. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 26.95 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If May resumes the decline off January's high, monthly support crossing at 21.54 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 26.95. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 28.97. First support is March's low crossing at 24.68. Second support is monthly support crossing at 21.54.    



LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



April hogs closed down $4.45 at $58.45. 



April hogs gapped down and closed sharply lower on Friday as it extended the decline off Tuesday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April extends the aforementioned decline, March's low crossing at $52.13 is the next downside target. If April renews the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at $68.25 is the next upside target. First resistance is February's high crossing at $68.25. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $71.54. First support is today's low crossing at $58.40. Second support is March's low crossing at $52.13.  



April cattle closed down $4.50 at $100.95. 



April cattle closed limit down on Friday as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. The limit down close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning  neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $99.67 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If April extends the rally off March's low, March's high crossing at $112.65 is the next upside target. First resistance is March's high crossing at $112.65. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $112.76. First support is the 10-day crossing at $99.67. Second support is March's low crossing at $91.08. 

 

May Feeder cattle closed down $4.50-cents at $120.92. 



May Feeder cattle closed limit down on Friday as it consolidated some of the rally off March's low. The  limit down close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $118.93 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. If May resumes this month's rally, the 50-day moving average crossing at $134.39 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $134.39. Second resistance is March's high crossing at $138.20. First support the 10-day moving average crossing at $118.93. Second support is March's low crossing at $107.47.       



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



May coffee gapped down and closed sharply lower on Friday as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 11.20 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If May renews the aforementioned rally, the 75% retracement level of the December-February-decline crossing at 13.33 is the next upside target. 



May cocoa closed slightly higher on Friday as it extended the trading range of the past two-weeks. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off February's high, the October-2018 low crossing at 21.10 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 24.23 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.             



May sugar closed lower on Friday as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Thursday's low. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.93 are needed to temper the near-term bearish outlook. If May extends the decline off February's high, monthly support crossing at 9.91 is the next downside target.        



May cotton closed lower on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off January's high, monthly support crossing at 48.60 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 58.21 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted.   

Comments
By metmike - March 30, 2020, 2:44 p.m.
Like Reply

Thanks tallpine!


Weather looks much warmer and wetter for the 3rd day in a row. 

Too late for weather to make that much difference for ng.


Still early for corn planting.........speaking of which the planting intentions will be out tomorrow, March 31st.


Coronavirus numbers..........rate of increase slowed down for the 4th day in a row on Sunday. Will that continue this week???

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/48892/



Dow +500

Crude dipped below $20!

UNL expiring.