The problem in selecting 2012 as a analog for the Summer forecast ...or for example mentioning 1988 or 1983 is that these years all have a strong personal memory for both farmers and traders as being particularly bad Summers. So if you are going with the 2012 1988 1983 etc it had better not be a typical summer that features ordinary intervals of hot and dry then wet and cool Those 3 summers were exceptional .... extreme events . So if end up with ordinary weather patterns of June July and August then those who are forecasting the extreme events are going end up f looking pretty bad -- just like Captain Kirk and the $7.00 corn
Good to read you weather dave,
Do you know of any that are using 2012, 1988 or 1983 as anologs or are mentioning it?
yes I do.... the new guys on the block are
Who are the new guys on the block?
afc weather service now has much above temps the next several days for the plain states and a split with much above on the east coast with Texas and upper corn belt more normal
Captain Kirk, that is pretty funny Dave. We often times calls afc's Dr simon another name....Dr crazy, but that guy has a way of predicting LT pretty darn good