LIVESTOCK: June live cattle closed up $0.17 at 105.10
today. Prices closed nearer the session high. The cattle
market bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage.
August feeder cattle closed up $0.40 at $140.90 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high on more short
covering. The cattle market bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage.
June lean hogs closed down $0.62 at $73.37 today. Prices
closed nearer the session high today. The hog bears have
the firm overall near-term technical advantage and have
downside momentum.
GRAINS: July corn futures closed up 1 1/4 cents at $4.04
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The corn bulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage, amid a
choppy price uptrend in place on the daily bar chart.
July soybeans closed up 4 3/4 cents at $10.30 a bushel
today. Prices closed nearer the session high, on moreshort
covering and bargain hunting amid an easing of the U.S.-
China trade dispute. Bulls and bears are on a leveloverall
near-term technical playing field, but the bulls have
momentum on their side.
July soybean meal closed down $1.10 at $378.00 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today. The meal bulls havethe
overall near-term technical advantage. However, priceshave
been trending lower for three weeks.
July bean oil closed up 4 points 31.46 cents today.Prices
closed near the session low today after hitting afive-week
high early on. The bears still have the overall near-term
technical advantage.
July SRW wheat closed up 14 cents at $5.21 1/4 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and scored a
bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. Thebulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage and gained
fresh upside momentum today.
July HRW wheat closed up 14 cents at $5.40 1/2 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today and scored a
bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. Thebulls
have the overall near-term technical advantage and gained
fresh upside momentum today.
July sugar closed up 5 points at 12.15 cents
today. Prices closed near mid-range and hit a five-week
high today. The sugar bears still have the overall near-
term technical advantage. However, a four-month-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart has been negated and a
fledgling uptrend is in place, to suggest a market bottom
is in place, too.
July coffee closed up 65 points at 120.85 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high on more short
covering in a bear market. The coffee bears still havethe
firm overall near-term technical advantage.
July cocoa closed down $14 at $2,601 a ton today. Prices
closed nearer the session low and hit another five-weeklow
today. The cocoa bulls still have the overall near-term
technical advantage. However, prices have been trending
lower for three weeks and the recent downside breakout
suggests a market top is in place.
July cotton closed down 144 points at 86.98 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session low and scored a bearish
“outside day” down on the daily bar chart, after scoringa
new contract high early on. Today’s price action produceda
bearish “key reversal” down on the daily bar chart, which
is a chart clue that a market top is in now in place.
However, a bearish key reversal also occurred in early
March, and prices went on to move to new highs. Right now
the cotton bulls still have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage.
July orange juice closed up 205 points at $1.6950 today.
Prices closed near the session high. Bulls have the solid
overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a
steep, seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart.
July lumber futures again closed down the expanded $15.00
limit at $594.00 today. Prices last Friday hit another
contract and record high but then reversed course toscore
a big and bearish “key reversal” down on the daily chart,
to suggest a major market top is finally in place.
METALS: June gold futures closed down $2.50 at $1,293.50
today. Prices closed nearer the session high and sawshort
covering after hitting a six-month low on Monday. Prices
are still in a two-month-old downtrend on the daily bar
chart. The gold bears have the overall near-termtechnical
advantage.
July silver futures closed up $0.085 at $16.605 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today on more shortcovering.
The silver bears have the overall near-term technical
advantage.
July N.Y. copper closed up 310 points at 312.95 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a
three-week high today. The copper bulls have gained the
slight overall near-term technical advantage.
ENERGIES: July Nymex crude oil closed down $0.02 at
$72.32 today. Prices closed near the session low and hita
3.5-year high today. The bulls have the solid overallnear-
term technical advantage. There are still no early
technical clues that a market top is close at hand.
July heating oil closed up 1 point at $2.2698 today.Prices
closed near the session low. Prices last week hit a
contract high. The bulls have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage.
July (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 27 points at
$2.2551 today. Prices closed near the session low today
after hitting a contract high early on. The bulls havethe
solid overall near-term technical advantage.
July natural gas closed up 7.5 cents at $2.925 today.
Prices closed near the session high and hit a 3.5-month
high today. Bulls have the overall near-term technical
advantage and gained fresh power today.
CURRENCIES: The June Euro currency
closed up 5 points at 1.1800 today. Prices closed nearer
the session low. Prices Monday hit a six-month low. The
bears have the firm overall near-term technicaladvantage.
Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar
chart.
The June Japanese yen closed up 100 points at .90255today.
Prices closed near mid-range. Prices Monday hit a4.5-month
low. Bears have the firm overall near-term technical
advantage. Prices are in a seven-week-old downtrend onthe
daily bar chart.
The June Swiss franc closed up 38 points at 1.0083 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a two-week
high today. The Swissy bears still have the firm overall
near-term technical advantage.
The June Canadian dollar closed down 2 points at .7809
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The
bears have the overall near-term technical advantage.
The June British pound closed up 10 points at 1.3440today.
Prices closed nearer the session low. Prices Monday hit a
six-month low. The bears have the firm overall near-term
technical advantage. Prices are in a five-week-old
downtrend on the daily bar chart.
The June U.S. dollar index closed down 0.026 at 93.560
today. Prices closed nearer the session high. PricesMonday
hit a six-month high. The bulls have the firm overallnear-
term technical advantage. Prices are in a steepfour-week-
old uptrend on the daily bar chart.
June U.S. T-Bonds closed down 3/32 at 141 6/32 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. Prices last
Friday hit a contract low. The bond market bears have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage.
June U.S. T Notes closed down 1.0 (32nds) at 118.26.0
today. Prices closed near mid-range. Prices last week hita
contract low. The bears have the solid overall near-term
technical advantage.
GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: U.S. stock indexes closed
weaker today on mild profit taking. World stock markets
were mixed overnight, with Asian stocks down and European
stock indexes modestly up. Little risk aversion in the
marketplace recently is driving many world stock indexesto
multi-month highs. The apparent easing of U.S.-Chinatrade
tensions has traders and investors in upbeat moods early
this week. The key “outside markets” today saw Nymexcrude
oil prices weaker but hitting a new 3.5-year high of$72.90
a barrel. Brent crude is near $80.00 a barrel as the U.S.
is set to once again sanction Iran, which would likely
reduce that country’s oil sales on the world market. The
up-trending crude oil market is one bullish underlying
element for the metals markets. Meantime, the U.S. dollar
index was slightly lower on a mild corrective pullbackfrom
recent good gains that saw prices hit a six-month high on
Monday. The U.S. data-point highlight of the week will be
Wednesday afternoon’s release of the FOMC minutes fromthe
last meeting.
Thanks for the comprehensive report.