Ken's Afternoon Report
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Started by jimwyckoff - May 16, 2018, 3:34 p.m.

LIVESTOCK: June live cattle closed down $1.22 at 101.75 

today. Prices closed near the session low and closed at a

five-week low close. The cattle market bears have thefirm 

overall near-term technical advantage and have good 

downside momentum to suggest more pressure in the near 

term. 

 

August feeder cattle closed down $1.67 at $136.77 today. 

Prices closed nearer the session low and hit anotherfive-

week low today. The cattle market bears have the solid 

overall near-term technical advantage. 

 

June lean hogs closed up $1.05 at $75.77 today. Prices 

closed nearer the session high today. The hog bears still

have the overall near-term technical advantage. 

 

GRAINS: July corn futures closed down 3 1/4 cents at 

$3.99 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. 

The corn bulls still have the overall near-term technical

advantage. 

 

July soybeans closed down 19 1/2 cents at $9.99 1/4 a 

bushel today. Prices closed near the session low andclosed 

at a three-month low close today. Bears have gained the 

overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 

four-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. 

 

July soybean meal closed down $5.40 at $376.90 today. 

Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a three-week

low today. The meal bulls still have the overall 

near-term technical advantage, but are fading. 

 

July bean oil closed down 52 points 30.60 cents today. 

Prices closed nearer the session low today. The bearshave 

the firm overall near-term technical advantage. 

 

July SRW wheat closed steady at $4.93 1/2 today. Prices 

closed near mid-range today. The bulls and bears are on a

level overall near-term technical playing field. 

 

July HRW wheat closed up 3 1/4 cents at $5.12 3/4 today. 

Prices closed near mid-range today. The bulls and bearsare 

on a level overall near-term technical playing field. 

 

SOFTS: July sugar closed up 7 points at 11.59 cents 

today. Prices closed near the session high on short 

covering. The sugar bears still have the firm overallnear-

term technical advantage. A bearish symmetrical triangle 

pattern has formed on the daily bar chart. Prices are ina 

four-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. 

 

July coffee closed up 45 points at 117.40 cents today. 

Prices closed nearer the session high on tepid short 

covering in a bear market. The coffee bears have thesolid 

overall near-term technical advantage. 

 

July cocoa closed up $59 at $2,733 a ton today. Prices 

closed near the session high on short covering after 

hitting a four-week low early on today. Prices this week 

have seen a bearish downside “breakout” from the recent 

trading range at higher price levels. The cocoa bullsstill 

have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, 

today’s downside breakout suggests a market top is in 

place. 

 

July cotton closed up 73 points at 84.49 cents today. 

Prices closed near mid-range today. The cotton bulls have

the firm overall near-term technical advantage but have 

faded recently. 

 

July orange juice closed up 165 points at $1.7155 today. 

Prices closed near the session high and hit another 16-

month high today. Bulls have the solid overall near-term 

technical advantage. Prices are in a steep, six-week-old 

uptrend on the daily bar chart. 

 

July lumber futures closed up the $10.00 limit at $629.00

today. Prices hit another contract and record high today 

and closed near mid-range. The bulls have the strong 

overall near-term technical advantage. There are no early

chart clues that a near-term market top is close at hand.

 

METALS: June gold futures closed up $0.10 at $1,290.40 

today. Prices closed near mid-range and hit another five-

month low today. Prices Tuesday dropped below what was 

major psychological support at $1,300.00, which has now 

become stiff chart resistance. Prices are in a two-month-

old downtrend on the daily bar chart. The gold bears now 

have the overall near-term technical advantage. 

 

July silver futures closed up $0.071 at $16.34 today. 

Prices closed near the session high today on short 

covering. The silver bears have the overall near-term 

technical advantage. 

 

July N.Y. copper closed up 120 points at 306.80 cents 

today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The 

copper bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term 

technical playing field amid recent choppy trading. 

 

ENERGIES: June Nymex crude oil closed down $0.14 at 

$71.17 today. Prices closed nearer the session high onmild 

profit taking after hitting a 3.5-year high Tuesday. The 

bulls have the solid overall near-term technicaladvantage. 

There are no early technical clues that a market top is 

close at hand. 

 

June heating oil closed up 80 points at $2.2570 today. 

Prices closed near the session high today and closed at a

contract high close. The bulls have the solid overallnear-

term technical advantage. 

 

June (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 212 points at 

$2.2260 today. Prices closed near the session high andhit 

another contract high today. The bulls have the solid 

overall near-term technical advantage. 

 

June natural gas closed down 1.7 cents at $2.819 today. 

Prices closed nearer the session low today. Bulls havethe 

slight overall near-term technical advantage. 

 

CURRENCIES: The June Euro currency 

closed down 36 points at 1.1839 today. Prices closed near

mid-range and hit another five-month low today. The bears

have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.Prices 

are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. 

 

The June Japanese yen closed up 170 points at .90960today. 

Prices closed nearer the session high on short covering 

after hitting a 4.5-month low on Tuesday. Bears have the 

firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are ina 

six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. 

 

The June Swiss franc closed up 21 points at 1.0025 today.

Prices closed near mid-range today. The Swissy bears have

the solid overall near-term technical advantage. A 2.5-

month-old downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart. 

 

The June Canadian dollar closed up 48 points at .7824 

today. Prices closed nearer the session high today, on 

short covering. The bears have the overall near-term 

technical advantage. 

 

The June British pound closed down 9 points at 1.3518 

today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. The 

bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. 

Prices are in a four-week-old downtrend on the daily bar 

chart. 

 

The June U.S. dollar index closed up 0.122 at 93.220today. 

Prices closed near mid-range and hit another five-month 

high today. The bulls have the firm overall near-term 

technical advantage. Prices are in a steep four-week-old 

uptrend on the daily bar chart. 

 

June U.S. T-Bonds closed down 5/32 at 141 3/32 today. 

Prices closed nearer the session low and closed at a 

contract low close today. The bond market bears have the 

solid overall near-term technical advantage and gained 

fresh power today. 

 

June U.S. T Notes closed down 1.0 (32nds) at 118.20.0 

today. Prices closed nearer the session low and closed ata 

contract low close today. The bears have the solidoverall 

near-term technical advantage and gained more powertoday. 

 

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: U.S. stock indexes closed 

firmer today. It appears the U.S.-North Korea summit in 

June is unraveling, which is not surprising to many.North 

Korea has cancelled talks with South Korea and now saysit 

will not completely disarm its nuclear arsenal. The U.S. 

has not formally responded. This development could flareup 

into a markets-moving geopolitical event in the nearterm.

In overnight news, the Euro zone consumer price index for

April came in at up 0.3% from March and up 1.2%, year-on-

year. Those numbers were in line with marketexpectations.

Japan’s first-quarter GDP showed a growth rate of -0.2%, 

which was below forecasts for no change in growth.

Attention of the marketplace this week is also on U.S. 

trade meetings with China in Washington, D.C. Also, a 

possible U.S. decision on the NAFTA trade agreement with 

Canada and Mexico could be announced late this week, but 

many are skeptical it will happen so soon. Something else

to keep an eye on: The Turkish currency, the lira, fellto 

a record low against the U.S. dollar overnight, which 

prompted the Turkish central bank to issue a warningabout 

“unhealthy” developments in the markets. In years past, 

unstable secondary currency markets have produced a 

contagion effect in the major currencies. This is not the

case now, but it still warrants monitoring.

Comments
By metmike - May 16, 2018, 3:41 p.m.
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Thanks Jim!