INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - Oct. 9, 2018, 7:49 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

 



 

 

Tuesday, October 9, 2018  

 



 

 

6:00 AM ET. September NFIB Index of Small Business Optimism

 



 

 

                       Small Business Idx (expected 108.0; previous 108.8)

 



 

 

7:45 AM ET. The Retail Economist/Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index

 



 

 

                       Chain Store Sales, W/W% (previous +3.6%)

 



 

 

                       Chain Store Sales, M/M% (previous +2.9%)

 



 

 

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M% (previous +0.3%)

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +5.8%)

 



 

 

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +5.7%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. October IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

 



 

 

                       Economic Optimism Idx (previous 55.7)

 



 

 

                       6-Mo Economic Outlook (previous 53.3)

 



 

 

Wednesday, October 10, 2018  

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx (previous 352.6)

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous +0.0%)

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 240.7)

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous +0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx (previous 945.9)

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -0.1%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. September PPI

 



 

 

                       PPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous -0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Ex-Food & Energy PPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous -0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Personal Consumption (previous +0.0%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. August Monthly Wholesale Trade

 



 

 

                       Inventories, M/M% (expected +0.8%; previous +0.6%)

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

 



 

 

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +0.9M)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -1.7M)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -1.2M)

 



 

 

Thursday, October 11, 2018  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. September CPI

 



 

 

                       CPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous +0.2%)

 



 

 

                       Core CPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous +0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Energy Idx, M/M% (previous +1.9%)

 



 

 

                       Food Idx, M/M% (previous +0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Real Avg Wkly Pay-Infla Adj, M/M% (previous +0.1%)

 



 

 

                       CPI, Y/Y% (expected +2.4%; previous +2.7%)

 



 

 

                       Core Annual, Y/Y% (expected +2.3%; previous +2.2%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. September Real Earnings

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims (expected 210K; previous 207K)

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -8K)

 



 

 

                       Continuing Claims (previous 1650000)

 



 

 

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -13K)

 



 

 

9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 2866B)

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +98B)

 

                        

 

11:00 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 403.964M)

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +7.975M)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 235.221M)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -0.459M)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 136.131M)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.75M)

 



 

 

                       Refinery Usage (previous 90.4%)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 20.174M)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous +0.175M)

 

                        

 

12:00 PM ET. World Agricultural Supply & Demand Estimates (WASDE)

 



 

 

                       Corn, End Stocks (Bushels)

 



 

 

                       Soybeans, End Stocks (Bushels)

 



 

 

                       Wheat, End Stocks (Bushels)

 



 

 

12:00 PM ET. September Monthly U.S. Retail Chain Store Sales Index

 



 

 

1:00 PM ET. SEC Open Meeting

 



 

 

2:00 PM ET. September Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts & Outlays of the U.S. Govt

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures

 



 

 

Friday, October 12, 2018  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

 



 

 

                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 1431.1K)

 



 

 

                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 1525.2K)

 



 

 

                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 435.4K)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. September Import & Export Price Indexes

 



 

 

                       Import Prices (expected +0.2%; previous -0.6%)

 



 

 

                       Non-Petroleum Prices (previous -0.2%)

 



 

 

                       Petroleum Prices (previous -3.9%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. October University of Michigan Survey of Consumers – preliminary

 



 

 

                       Mid-Mo Sentiment (expected 100.0; previous 100.8)

 



 

 

                       Mid-Mo Expectations (previous 91.1)

 



 

 

                       Mid-Mo Current Idx (previous 116.1)

 


The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=indexes"  



The STOCK INDEXES:The December NASDAQ 100 was lower in overnight trading as it extends the decline off October's high. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the aforementioned decline, the 38% retracement level of the April-September-rally crossing at 7215.52. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 7557.75 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is October's high crossing at 7728.75. Second resistance is unknown. First support is Monday's low crossing at 7286.50. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the April-September-rally crossing at 7215.52.



The December S&P 500 was was lower overnight and poised to extend the decline off September's high. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the aforementioned decline, the 25% retracement level of the April-September-rally crossing at 2856.52 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2913.22 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is September's high crossing at 2945.50. Second resistance is is unknown. First support is Monday's low crossing at 2867.30. Second support is the 25% retracement level of the April-September-rally crossing at 2856.52.      



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: December T-bonds were lower overnight extends the decline off August's high. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower price are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off August's high, monthly support crossing at 134-04 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 139-31 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 138-31. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 139-31. First support is the overnight low crossing at 136-16. Second support is monthly support crossing at 134-04.  



December T-notes was lower overnight as it extends the decline off August's high. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off August's high, monthly support crossing at 114.192 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 118.187 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 118.089. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 118.187. First support is Monday's low crossing at 117.135. Second support is monthly support crossing at 114.192.



ENERGY MARKETS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=energy"



ENERGY MARKETS: NovemberNymex crude oil was higher overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 72.24 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If November resumes the rally off August's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2014-2016-decline crossing at 77.23 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 76.90. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2014-2016-decline crossing at 77.23. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 72.24. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 69.20.    



November heating oil was higher overnight signaling a possible end to the decline off last Wednesday's high. However, stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 231.51 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If November resumes the rally off August's low, the November-2014 high crossing at 254.68 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 245.00. Second resistance is the November-2014 high crossing at 254.68. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 238.47. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 231.51. 



November unleaded gas was higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 205.06 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If November resumes the rally off August's low, monthly resistance crossing at 217.77 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 215.00. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 217.77. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 205.06. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 197.54.  



November Henry natural gas was sharply higher overnight as it extends the rally off September's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If November extends the rally off September's low, the July-2015 high crossing at 3.457 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.017 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 3.368. Second resistance is the July-2015 high crossing at 3.457. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.142. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.017.  



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The December Dollar was higher overnight as it extends the rally off September's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off September's low, August's high crossing at 96.45 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 94.55 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 95.78. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 96.45. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 94.55. Second support is September's low crossing at 93.39.    



The December Euro was lower overnight as it extends the decline off September's high. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the aforementioned decline, August's low crossing at 114.09 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.02 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is September's high crossing at 118.93. Second resistance is July's high crossing at 119.36. First support is the overnight low crossing at 115.02. Second support is August's low crossing at 114.09.  



The December British Pound was lower overnight.Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3140 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December resumes the decline off September's high, September's low crossing at 1.2845 is the next downside target. First resistance is September's high crossing at 1.3350. Second resistance is July's high crossing at 1.3435. First support is September's low crossing at 1.2845. Second support is August's low crossing at 1.2735.



The December Swiss Franc was lower overnight as it extended the decline off September's high. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off September's high, July's low crossing at 1.0082 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0332 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.215. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0332. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 1.0108. Second support is July's low crossing at 1.0082. 



The December Canadian Dollar was lower overnight as it extends the decline off October's high. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 76.98 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December resumes the rally off September's low, the 50% retracement level of 2017-2018-decline crossing at 78.72 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of 2017-2018-decline crossing at 78.72. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of 2017-2018-decline crossing at 79.61. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 76.98. Second support is the September 27th low crossing at 76.56.



The December Japanese Yen was lower overnight as it consolidates some of its recent gains. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0891 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December extends the decline off August's high, the 87% retracement level of the 2015-2016 rally crossing at 0.0876 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0891. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0901. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at 0.0877. Second support isthe 87% retracement level of the 2015-2016 rally crossing at 0.0876.



PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: December gold was lower overnight as it extends Monday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 1184.30 would open the door for a possible test of August's low crossing at 1167.10. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1220.70 are needed to temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1220.70. Second resistance is the July-26th reaction high crossing at 1244.60. First support is the reaction low crossing at 1184.30. Second support is August's low crossing at 1167.10.



December silver was lower overnight as it extends Monday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 14.395 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above last-Tuesday's high crossing at 14.950 would open the door for additional short-term gains. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 14.950. Second resistance is the August 28th reaction high crossing at 15.070. First support is September's low crossing at 13.965. Second support is the December-2015 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 13.620. 



December copper was higher overnight. The mid-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 272.73 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December resumes the rally off September's low, the July 25th reaction high crossing at 288.85 is the next upside target. First resistance is the July 25th reaction high crossing at 288.85. Second resistance is the July 10th reaction high crossing at 290.20. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 272.73. Second support is September's low crossing at 258.00.



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



December corn was fractionally lower overnight as it continues to consolidate below resistance marked by September's high crossing at 3.69 3/4. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Closes above September's high crossing at 3.69 3/4 are needed to confirm that the intermediate-trend has turned sideways to higher. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.58 3/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is September's high crossing at 3.69 3/4. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 3.75 1/2. First support is the reaction low crossing at 3.54 1/2. Second support is September's low crossing at 3.42 1/2.



December wheat was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December resumes the decline off the late-September high, September's low crossing at 4.95 1/4 is the next downside target. If December renews the rally off September's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.38 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.38. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 5.49 1/2. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at 5.05 1/4. Second support is September's low crossing at 4.95 1/4.         



December Kansas City Wheat closed down 6 3/4-cents at 5.17 1/2. 



December Kansas City wheat posted a key reversal down on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews the decline off September's high, September's low crossing at 4.98 3/4 is the next downside target. If December resumes the rally off September's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.46 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 5.35 3/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.46 1/2. First support is October's low crossing at 5.06 1/2. Second support is September's low crossing at 4.98 3/4. 



December Minneapolis wheat was fractionally lower overnight as it consolidates below resistance marked by the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.96 1/4. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that the corrective rally off September's low might be coming to an end. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at 5.72 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.96 1/4 would open the door for additional gains and a possible test of the August 31st high crossing at 6.02. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.96 1/4. Second resistance is the August 31st high crossing at 6.02. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 5.72. Second support is September's low crossing at 5.60 1/4. 



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



November soybeans were lower overnight after testing resistance marked by the 25% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 8.74. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If November extends the rally off September's low, the 38% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 9.07 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 8.48 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 25% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 8.74. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 9.07. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 8.48. Second support is September's low crossing at 8.12 1/4.  



December soybean meal was lower overnight while extending the trading range of the past four-weeks. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 318.90 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December resumes the decline off the late-July high, the June 2017 low crossing at 301.20 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 318.90. Second resistance is the August-15th reaction high crossing at 339.40. First support is the 75% retracement level of the 2016-2018 rally crossing at 303.80. Second support is the June-2017 low crossing at 301.20. 



December soybean oil was lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 28.67 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the aforementioned rally, the 38% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 30.53 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 30.01. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 30.53. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 29.38. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 28.67. 



LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



December hogs closed unchanged at $57.55. 



December hogs closed unchanged on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off August low, June's high crossing at 60.75 is the next upside target. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 54.52 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is October's high crossing at 59.95. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 60.75. First support is the reaction low crossing at 54.52. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 53.34.    



December cattle closed up $0.10 at 118.25. 



December cattle closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.83 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off August's low, weekly resistance crossing at 122.88 is the next upside target. First resistance is October's high crossing at 119.75. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 122.88. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 117.83. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 115.28.   

 

October Feeder cattle closed down $0.10 at $157.67. 



October Feeder cattle closed lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Multiple closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 157.43 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If October resumes the rally off August's low, weekly resistance crossing at 160.48 is the next upside target. First resistance is September's high crossing at 159.90. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 160.48. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 157.43. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 153.24.    



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



December coffee gapped up and closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off September's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the aforementioned rally, the 50% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 113.31 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 10.16 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.             



December cocoa closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 21.61 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If September extends the decline off August's high, the December-2017 low crossing at 18.71 is the next downside target.   



March sugar closed higher on Monday as it extended the rally off September's low. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the aforementioned rally, the June 26th high crossing at 13.27 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 11.56 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. 



December cotton closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 78.70 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December extends decline off July's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2016-2018 rally crossing at 74.00 is the next downside target. 

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