Crude top? Price charts
11 responses | 0 likes
Started by metmike - Sept. 6, 2018, 12:43 p.m.

EIA weekly Petroleum summary below:


http://ir.eia.gov/wpsr/wpsrsummary.pdf

U.S.  commercial  crude  oil  inventories  (excluding  those  in  the  Strategic  Petroleum  

Reserve)  decreased  by  4.3  million  barrels  from  the  previous  week.  At  401.5  million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are at the five year average for this time of year. Total 

motor  gasoline  inventories  increased  by  1.8  million  barrels  last  week  and  are about  7%  above  the  five  year  average  for  this  time  of  year.  Finished  gasoline  and  blending  components inventories both increased last week. Distillate fuel inventories increased by 3.1 million barrels last week and are about 6% below the five 

year average for this time of year. 

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++



Crude getting hammered today.


Crude prices below.  Triple top?? Longer term uptrend still in place!


Crude 3 month chart

                   


Crude1year chart below


                   


Crude 5 year chart below

                   


Crude10 year chart below

               

                   
Comments
By metmike - Sept. 6, 2018, 12:44 p.m.
Like Reply

Crude prices historically. 

We are now into the time frame of a seasonal top!


http://charts.equityclock.com/seasonal_charts/futures/FUTURE_CL1.PNG

By metmike - Sept. 6, 2018, 12:46 p.m.
Like Reply

Unleaded Gasoline Price Charts(not as strong as crude or heating oil): Uptrend on longer term price chart still ......but maybe short term top(failed at resistence)  

3 month                 

                   


1 Year                

                   


5 year........are we headed back to the highs?

                   


10 Year                

                   
By metmike - Sept. 6, 2018, 12:48 p.m.
Like Reply

Here are the gas prices at the pump. Should be lower than this!!!!

The National Gas Price Heat Map from GasBuddy:

https://www.gasbuddy.com/GasPriceMap?z=4




By metmike - Sept. 6, 2018, 12:49 p.m.
Like Reply

Weekly US ending stocks of crude oil. Peaked in March 2017 and have been falling sharply since then. Now still close to the lowest in 3.5 years:

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCRSTUS1&f=W

          



         

Weekly ending stocks for unleaded gasoline. Barely peaked in Feb 2017 but have not dropped much...........similar this month to July 2017...still fairly high:

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGTSTUS1&f=W

                                    


                                             

             

Weekly US ending stocks for distillate fuel oil(heating oil-especially used in the Northeast). Peaked in Feb 2017 and had PLUNGED to the lowest in 4 years and almost the lowest in 10 years.

However, distillate stocks have increased a great deal recently(the last 2 months)!


https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WDISTUS1&f=W

                                    


By metmike - Sept. 6, 2018, 12:52 p.m.
Like Reply

Previous comments:

                Re: Re: Crude Oil Swing Trade            

                          By tjc - Sept. 4, 2018, 11:31 a.m.            

              Opposite view point here.

  Huge reversal taking place.

  Short at 7044.  Risk is new high

Probably good for 200-300 point drop this week

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

     

                By cutworm - Sept. 4, 2018, 5:09 p.m.            

            

Nice open tjc. a reversal at a resistance point. Hope mike and silver have stops in positive territory.


                                         By metmike - Sept. 4, 2018, 5:33 p.m.            

            

The seasonal top for the liquid energies is in this current time frame into October.  We could have  triple top in the crude market. 

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

         


                By silverspiker - Sept. 4, 2018, 8:43 p.m.            

                                                                     

good trade tjc.... it is weak this evening too... just prayin' plumber dude got paid.... all I know is underlying futures 

market NOT the "ETF"... good trades to all....

By tjc - Sept. 6, 2018, 1:59 p.m.
Like Reply

  Covered---200 points!

By metmike - Sept. 6, 2018, 2:08 p.m.
Like Reply

Congrats tjc. Great trade!


Thanks for sharing the trade with us.

By cutworm - Sept. 6, 2018, 2:10 p.m.
Like Reply

i was wondering what your exit strategy  would be.

By mcfarm - Sept. 6, 2018, 2:25 p.m.
Like Reply

paid 2.95 today...not happy about that

wait . .
0 likes
By Richard - Sept. 6, 2018, 2:40 p.m.
Like Reply

If $2.95 makes you unhappy, just wait for $12.95. You'll be dreaming about that $2.95 Price!! Heck, take a picture of that price and save it. In Future years nobody will believe that Gas was this cheap!

By tjc - Sept. 7, 2018, 10:56 a.m.
Like Reply

  Long.   Stop at today's low