2026 Alarming Debt -THE REAL STRUCTURAL RISK OF 2026            

                           Started by fayq - Dec. 25, 2025, 12:32 p.m.            

                                     https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/116767/   

Global debt has exceeded global assets by an estimated 12–14%, with total debt reaching nearly 330% of world GDP. Liquidity is now largely controlled by an unseen shadow-banking layer, creating synthetic leverage far beyond real economic output.

Roger Babson’s 5-stage collapse model places the world squarely in Stage 3 (“credit strain”) with Stage 4 (“liquidation”) likely emerging in the second half of 2026. August 2026 is a critical convergence month due to historical cycles, Japan–US yield divergence, astro-quant timing, and Gann price-time geometry.

Silver’s behavior confirms rising recession, stagflation, and hyperinflation tail-risks. Market microstructure (O’Hara) and volatility clustering (Engle) show a fragile system where small shocks can cause outsized systemic reactions.

In short: 2026 is mathematically and structurally positioned for the most significant financial stress event since 2008 — possibly echoing 1929, 1979, or 2000 depending on the path of yields.> /? just my 2 c3nts