Stock Market 10-24-25
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Started by metmike - Oct. 24, 2025, 9:42 a.m.

The last thread was getting pretty long!

Previous threads:

                A word of caution            

                            81 responses |               

                Started by kris - Sept. 24, 2025, 10:47 p.m.        

    https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/114902/

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Previous thread:

                S & P 500 futures.            

                            47 responses |      

                Started by mikempt - March 31, 2025, 10:17 a.m.    

        https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/110810/

Comments
By metmike - Oct. 24, 2025, 9:48 a.m.
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These were the last posts at those threads to start off the thinking on this new one:

                Re: A word of caution                       

                        By kris - Oct. 21, 2025, 11:49 p.m.            

            The DJI and the DJT closed above last weeks' highs today; final gasp maybe ? 

Neither the NQ ES or RT followed suit but instead stayed in a rather narrow range which makes today very vulnerable both up or down .... 

(he's still whittling .... } 

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                Re: A word of caution                      

                By kris - Oct. 21, 2025, 11:56 p.m.           

            

                                    


++++++++++++++++++++                             

    Re: A word of caution            

                           By kris - Oct. 21, 2025, 11:59 p.m.                       

The above chart of the daily NQ shows my L to L and H to H counts , both come up with today Tuesday and tomorrow Wednesday as being potential highs, we shall soon have resolution ... !

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                Re: Re: A word of caution            

                           By metmike - Oct. 22, 2025, 8:14 p.m.            

            Here was the latest today, a down day!

What do you think, kris?

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market

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                Re: Re: Re: A word of caution                        

                By metmike - Oct. 23, 2025, 7:21 p.m.            

            I continue to be amazed that the rich people's Ponzi Scheme and their power in being able to control  a self fulfilling prophesy, with Trump's policies benefiting them and AI acting as fuel is keeping the stock market up here.

Major tops in most markets usually don't end by treading water for so many days close to record highs like this, then suddenly failing but anything is possible here. I think kris's assessment is probably right based on history and fundamentals. However, a manipulated market doesn't need to follow any of that.

The government shut down and lack of economic data could be part of the market being so quiet here. I've not looked at volume recently but might guess that its reduced with the reduced volatility and lack of big moves expected at near record high prices.

Lots of uncertainty for sure, including mine!

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market

Amazingly long pause at and just below record highs, technically looks like a continuation pattern/bull flag. 

News could break us in either direction. News of the government shut down ending would take us to the upside since the extended shut down, negative tariff and economic news has somehow been unable to keep us down.......so far.

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                Re: Re: Re: Re: A word of caution            

                         By metmike - Oct. 24, 2025, 9:36 a.m.           

            

Upside breakout to the bull flag(wedge) pattern identified yesterday.

Bull/bear flags are continuation patterns(temporary pauses in the trend).

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market


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                               Re: Re:  S & P 500 futures.                        

                By gedigan - Oct. 24, 2025, 8:45 a.m.            

            NQ quarterly chart

How many pay attention to this timeframe?

Kinda cuts out lower time frame noise  

New highs this am 

                 

By metmike - Oct. 24, 2025, 9:53 a.m.
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Thanks, gedigan. Nice chart.

Welcome back!

By metmike - Oct. 24, 2025, 5:06 p.m.
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Closed near the highs and at an all time record!

Typically when this happens, Trump is the most likely to display especially unhinged behavior because he interprets stock market highs as a positive reinforcement signal from the rich people he cares about that he should double down on whatever he's been doing.

I am dead serious!!

White House says government shutdown could eliminate next inflation report despite optimistic numbers

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/white-house-says-government-shutdown-could-eliminate-next-inflation-report-despite-optimistic-numbers

"THE STOCK MARKET IS STRONGER THAN EVER BEFORE BECAUSE OF TARIFFS!" Trump wrote on Truth Social.

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This is the truth about tariffs:

                More delusional tariffs!            

                            28 responses |        

                Started by metmike - Sept. 14, 2025, 5:51 p.m. 

           https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/114673/

By metmike - Oct. 25, 2025, 6:46 p.m.
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Nancy Pelosi Beat the S&P 500 by 559%. Here Are the Stocks She Owns Today

https://247wallst.com/investing/2025/10/23/nancy-pelosi-beat-the-sp-500-by-559-here-are-the-stocks-she-owns-today/

  • Top 1%: Own about $25.6 trillion in stocks.
  • Top 10%: Own approximately $57.9 trillion, which is 87% of household stock holdings.
  • Bottom 50%: Own about $540 billion, or 1% of all stocks.
By metmike - Oct. 26, 2025, 11:10 a.m.
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I hadn't been following close and didn't realize that Trump was going to China this week. This is THE OBVIOUS REASON for the stock market to hit new highs at the end of  last week!!!!

US and China ease trade tensions on first day of Trump’s Asia diplomacy tour    

https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-asia-trip-china-10-26-25