Hello TS Erin-soon to be a major hurricane
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Started by metmike - Aug. 11, 2025, 11:11 a.m.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?start#contents

  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&basin=atlc&fdays=7

50% of a cyclone developing next week from the wave off the coast of Africa.




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By metmike - Aug. 11, 2025, 11:26 a.m.
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These were the individual European Ensemble solutions from the last 0z solution.

1. Day 7

2. Day 10

3. Day 12

4. Day 15


By WxFollower - Aug. 11, 2025, 12:44 p.m.
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Thanks, Mike!

 At this point, it is a higher threat to Bermuda than to the US. But it’s still early. Regardless, this is projected to become a large ACE producer.

By metmike - Aug. 11, 2025, 2:17 p.m.
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Thanks, Larry!

Pretty strong system when it matures, even though the track, as of now is unlikely to hit the US mainland.

By metmike - Aug. 12, 2025, 8:08 p.m.
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Here's the latest.  Low threat to US East Coast but possible. Top winds 115 mph in 5 days.


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?start#contents